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Vagner Mancini
Red Bull Bragantino
Grêmio
Red Bull Bragantino
4-2-3-1 · 4-1-4-1
Grêmio
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
389575 EUR · live
Home
1.01 · implied 99.0%
79.7%
-19.4 vs price
Draw
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
11.1%
+11.0 vs price
Away
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
9.3%
+9.2 vs price
Half time
2208 EUR · live
Draw
1.81 · implied 55.2%
40.0%
-15.3 vs price
Home
3.05 · implied 32.8%
35.0%
+2.2 vs price
Away
8.2 · implied 12.2%
25.0%
+12.8 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
40951 EUR · live
Under
1.01 · implied 99.0%
71.6%
-27.4 vs price
Over
100.0 · implied 1.0%
28.4%
+27.4 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
2459 EUR · live
Under
1.02 · implied 98.0%
90.7%
-7.3 vs price
Over
50.0 · implied 2.0%
9.3%
+7.3 vs price
12 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 2 clips
Player of the match
Match events
15'
VAR
Goal not given after review · J. Herrera
25'
J. Capixaba · Foul
Half-time · 0–0
45'+3
E. Noriega · Foul
46'
🔁
C. Pavón ◂ Tetê
64'
🔁
H. Mosquera ◂ J. Herrera
64'
🔁
Fabinho ◂ E. Ramires
64'
🔁
J. Cabral ◂ F. Amuzu
72'
🔁
E. Sasha ◂ L. Barbosa
72'
A. Sant Anna · Foul
76'
Weverton · Argument
86'
🔁
Y. A. d. Aquino ◂ Vinicinho
86'
🔁
G. Neves ◂ Rodriguinho
86'
Wallace · Foul
88'
🔁
C. Vinícius ◂ F. Krovinović
Full-time · 1–0
90'+2
🔁
D. Barbosa ◂ E. Noriega
90'+5
⚽
G. Marques · assist G. Neves1–0
Coaches
Vagner ManciniLuís Castro 
Recent form
Red Bull BragantinoDAAtlético Mineiro2-2
DAAthletico1-1
LHAtlético Mineiro0-1
LHCorinthians0-2
WHClub Sporting Cristal1-0
GrêmioLAAtlético Mineiro0-3
WHSão Paulo2-1
WHMirassol1-0
DAMirassol1-1
LHBolívar0-1
Where to watch
PremiereTV Globo
Match facts
Stadium
Estádio Cícero de Souza Marques
City
Bragança Paulista
Kickoff
23 Aug, 19:00 UTC
Competition
Brasileirão Serie A
Highlights & clips
Red Bull Bragantino
4-2-3-1 · 4-1-4-1
Grêmio
18
T. Volpi
6.9
23
A. Sant Anna
7.4
14
P. Henrique
7.9
16
G. Marques
8.9
29
J. Capixaba
7.8
30
H. Mosquera
7.0
↑ 64'
41
Y. A. d. Aquino
6.6
↑ 86'
5
Fabinho
7.3
↑ 64'
8
E. Sasha
6.5
↑ 72'
22
G. Neves
6.8
↑ 86'
9
I. Pitta
6.1
1
Weverton
6.6
27
Diego Caito
6.8
82
Wallace
7.9
3
W. Leonardo
6.9
23
Marlon
6.4
15
D. Barbosa
↑ 90'
7
C. Pavón
6.5
↑ 46'
20
M. Villasanti
6.3
95
C. Vinícius
6.6
↑ 88'
77
J. Cabral
6.6
↑ 64'
22
M. Braithwaite
6.3
Top stats
54%Possession46%
2.76Expected goals (xG)0.53
27Total shots14
4Shots on target1
4Big chances0
8Corners5
Shots
12Shots off target8
11Blocked shots5
15Shots inside box8
12Shots outside box6
0Hit woodwork0
4Big chances missed0
0.08Goals prevented0.07
Attack
35Touches in box15
68Final third entries53
1Offsides1
12Free kicks9
3Fouled in final third3
Passing
460Passes408
412Accurate passes341
28/41 (68%)Long balls24/65 (37%)
6/37 (16%)Crosses4/18 (22%)
23Throw-ins10
Duels
60Duels40
37/62 (60%)Ground duels25/62 (40%)
14/23 (61%)Aerial duels9/23 (39%)
14/20 (70%)Dribbles1/8 (13%)
9Dispossessed7
Defending
14Tackles15
57Tackles won73
9Interceptions6
25Clearances36
44Recoveries41
Discipline
9Fouls12
2Yellow cards3
Goalkeeping
1Saves2
1Big saves2
8Goal kicks17
0Punches1
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 63 bookmakers
Who winsRB Bragantino to win (DNB) 69% · 1.44 @ hardrock
1X2RB Bragantino to win 54% · 2.25 @ 888Sport
CornersOver 9.5 corners 52%
CornersOver 8.5 corners 64%
1X2Draw 25% · 2.65 @ fonbet
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 51% · 1.93 @ betinasia
BTTSBoth teams to score 52% · 1.91 @ Novibet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 71% · 1.36 @ betinasia
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 74% · 1.29 @ 10bet
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 59%
1X2Grêmio to win 21% · 4.50 @ efbet.net
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.72
Red Bull Bragantino ▼
3.70
Draw ▲
4.52
Grêmio ▲
Double Chanceconsensus
1.19
Red Bull Bragantino or Draw ▼
1.25
Red Bull Bragantino or Grêmio ▼
2.02
Draw or Grêmio ▲
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.79
Yes ▲
1.92
No ▲
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.26
Over 1.50 ▼
3.54
Under 1.50 ▲
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.84
Over 2.50 ▼
1.90
Under 2.50 ▲
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.09
Over 3.50 ▼
1.33
Under 3.50 ▲
Draw No Betconsensus
1.33
Red Bull Bragantino ▼
3.01
Grêmio ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 12.50consensus
3.49
Over 12.50
1.24
Under 12.50
Total Corners (O/U) 13.50consensus
4.50
Over 13.50
1.15
Under 13.50
European Handicap 1.00consensus
1.21
Red Bull Bragantino +1
5.48
Draw +1
9.29
Grêmio -1
Odd / Even Goalsconsensus
1.89
Over ▼
1.83
E ▲
1X2 (1st Half)consensus
2.31
Red Bull Bragantino ▼
2.20
Draw ▲
4.56
Grêmio ▲
1X2 (2nd Half)consensus
2.13
Red Bull Bragantino ▼
2.53
Draw ▲
4.15
Grêmio ▲
Double Chance (1st Half)consensus
1.15
Red Bull Bragantino or Draw ▼
1.55
Red Bull Bragantino or Grêmio ▼
1.50
Draw or Grêmio ▲
Double Chance (2nd Half)consensus
1.18
Red Bull Bragantino or Draw ▼
1.42
Red Bull Bragantino or Grêmio ▼
1.59
Draw or Grêmio ▲
Draw No Bet (1st Half)consensus
1.41
Red Bull Bragantino ▼
2.65
Grêmio ▲
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
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