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Jair Ventura
Vitória
Bahia
Vitória
4-2-3-1 · 4-3-3
Bahia
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
233739 EUR · live
Away
1.01 · implied 99.0%
69.0%
-30.0 vs price
Home
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
21.9%
+21.8 vs price
Draw
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
9.2%
+9.1 vs price
Half time
740 EUR · live
Draw
1.68 · implied 59.5%
80.7%
+21.2 vs price
Home
5.0 · implied 20.0%
9.6%
-10.4 vs price
Away
5.3 · implied 18.9%
9.5%
-9.4 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
93186 EUR · live
Under
1.01 · implied 99.0%
85.9%
-13.1 vs price
Over
40.0 · implied 2.5%
14.3%
+11.8 vs price
13 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 3 clips
Player of the match
Match events
26'
Matheuzinho · Foul
42'
R. Nestor · Foul
Half-time · 0–0
46'
🔁
T. Pochettino ◂ D. Tarzia
46'
🔁
E. Martinez ◂ Walace
63'
🔁
Marinho ◂ Erick
67'
⚽
A. Véliz · assist E. Pulga0–1
70'
🔁
R. Kayzer ◂ Matheuzinho
71'
🔁
J. Lucas ◂ Erick
77'
🔁
Mateusinho ◂ E. Brítez
78'
E. Pulga · Foul
82'
🔁
R. Pablo ◂ E. Pulga
82'
🔁
M. Araújo ◂ R. Nestor
Full-time · 0–2
90'+2
Ramon · Foul
90'+4
🔁
Everaldo ◂ A. Véliz
90'+7
J. Lucas
90'+7
Cacá · Argument
90'+7
⚽
J. Lucas · assist M. Araújo0–2
90'+8
Marinho · Argument
Coaches
Jair VenturaRogério Ceni 
Recent form
VitóriaWHBotafogo1-0
LAFlamengo0-2
WHAthletico4-0
LAAthletico0-2
LHPalmeiras0-4
BahiaDAChapecoense3-3
DHVasco da Gama0-0
DAFluminense0-0
DHCorinthians1-1
DAAtlético Mineiro1-1
Where to watch
PremiereTV Globo
Match facts
Stadium
Estádio Manoel Barradas
City
Salvador
Kickoff
23 Aug, 19:00 UTC
Competition
Brasileirão Serie A
Highlights & clips
Vitória
4-2-3-1 · 4-3-3
Bahia
1
L. Arcanjo
7.7
98
Mateusinho
6.5
↑ 77'
25
Cacá
7.1
36
L. Cândido
6.3
13
Ramon
6.3
88
Z. Vitor
6.7
6
E. Martinez
6.5
↑ 46'
7
Marinho
6.6
↑ 63'
79
R. Kayzer
6.5
↑ 70'
8
T. Pochettino
6.6
↑ 46'
91
Renê
5.9
1
Ronaldo
7.6
31
R. Gómez
6.9
33
D. Duarte
7.5
21
S. R. Mingo
7.3
46
L. Juba
8.8
6
J. Lucas
7.5
↑ 71'
5
N. Acevedo
7.1
77
R. Pablo
6.4
↑ 82'
99
C. Olivera
6.5
27
Everaldo
↑ 90'
15
M. Araújo
7.6
↑ 82'
Substitutes
71GY. Sena
2DE. Brítez↓ 77'6.4
18DKauan
26DEdenílson
83DJamerson
15MWalace↓ 46'7.2
12MD. Tarzia↓ 46'6.8
33MErick↓ 63'6.4
10MMatheuzinho↓ 70'6.4
11FOsvaldo
9FA. Bruno
23FF. Santos
Coach: Jair Ventura
Substitutes
17GG. Herrera
66DJ. Guilherme
44DM. Victor
3DM. Moreno
4DKanu
11MR. Nestor↓ 82'7.0
14MErick↓ 71'6.4
23MM. Sanabria
8MC. Alexandre
9FA. Véliz↓ 90'7.7
16FE. Pulga↓ 82'7.4
12FW. José
Coach: Rogério Ceni
Top stats
47%Possession53%
0.46Expected goals (xG)4.28
14Total shots28
2Shots on target9
0Big chances7
7Corners7
Shots
8Shots off target12
4Blocked shots7
6Shots inside box17
8Shots outside box11
1Hit woodwork1
0Big chances scored2
0Big chances missed5
0.45Goals prevented0.05
Attack
23Touches in box29
46Final third entries50
1Offsides1
10Free kicks13
1Fouled in final third5
Passing
296Passes340
210Accurate passes278
18/53 (34%)Long balls22/47 (47%)
9/22 (41%)Crosses8/20 (40%)
18Throw-ins12
Duels
40Duels60
32/77 (42%)Ground duels45/77 (58%)
11/31 (35%)Aerial duels20/31 (65%)
2/10 (20%)Dribbles14/28 (50%)
10Dispossessed6
Defending
20Tackles18
85Tackles won72
6Interceptions8
27Clearances44
41Recoveries49
Discipline
13Fouls10
4Yellow cards3
Goalkeeping
6Saves2
12Goal kicks12
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 56 bookmakers
CornersOver 8.5 corners 61%
1X2Draw 29% · 2.52 @ efbet.net
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 52% · 1.90 @ ggbet
1X2Bahia to win 33% · 3.10 @ fonbet
BTTSBoth teams to score 54% · 1.91 @ Novibet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 74% · 1.33 @ Bet365
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 72% · 1.33 @ 10bet
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 62%
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 51%
1X2Vitória to win 38% · 2.95 @ fonbet
Who winsVitória to win (DNB) 51% · 1.81 @ forbet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.47
Vitória ▼
3.20
Draw ▲
2.81
Bahia ▲
Double Chanceconsensus
1.40
Vitória or Draw ▼
1.32
Vitória or Bahia ▲
1.50
Draw or Bahia ▲
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.71
Yes ▼
2.02
No ▲
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.29
Over 1.50 ▼
3.32
Under 1.50 ▲
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.95
Over 2.50 ▼
1.80
Under 2.50 ▲
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.31
Over 3.50 ▼
1.29
Under 3.50 ▲
Draw No Betconsensus
1.79
Vitória
1.90
Bahia
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.20
Over 7.50
3.93
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 12.50consensus
3.38
Over 12.50 ▲
1.26
Under 12.50
European Handicap 2.00consensus
1.10
Vitória +2
7.65
Draw +2
12.94
Bahia -2
Odd / Even Goalsconsensus
1.91
Over
1.80
E
1X2 (1st Half)consensus
3.12
Vitória ▲
2.08
Draw
3.27
Bahia
1X2 (2nd Half)consensus
2.84
Vitória
2.41
Draw
2.95
Bahia ▲
Double Chance (1st Half)consensus
1.27
Vitória or Draw
1.61
Vitória or Bahia
1.30
Draw or Bahia
Double Chance (2nd Half)consensus
1.33
Vitória or Draw
1.46
Vitória or Bahia
1.35
Draw or Bahia
Draw No Bet (1st Half)consensus
1.79
Vitória ▲
1.90
Bahia ▼
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
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