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Eduardo Dominguez
Atlético Mineiro
Vitória
Atlético Mineiro
4-2-3-1 · 4-1-4-1
Vitória
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
556944 EUR · live
Home
1.01 · implied 99.0%
89.7%
-9.3 vs price
Away
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
6.8%
+6.7 vs price
Draw
21.0 · implied 4.8%
3.5%
-1.3 vs price
Half time
9672 EUR · live
Home
1.01 · implied 99.0%
78.6%
-20.4 vs price
Away
90.0 · implied 1.1%
10.8%
+9.6 vs price
Draw
18.5 · implied 5.4%
10.6%
+5.2 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
185871 EUR · live
Under
1.35 · implied 74.1%
80.3%
+6.2 vs price
Over
3.95 · implied 25.3%
19.7%
-5.6 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
20795 EUR · live
Under
1.01 · implied 99.0%
96.1%
-2.9 vs price
Over
100.0 · implied 1.0%
3.9%
+2.9 vs price
14 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 4 clips
Player of the match
Match events
25'
⚽
T. Borbas · assist Reinier1–0
35'
D. Tarzia · Foul
44'
Á. Preciado · Foul
Half-time · 1–0
46'
🔁
Mateusinho ◂ E. Brítez
59'
M. Cissé · Foul
60'
🔁
G. Scarpa ◂ T. Borbas
63'
⚽
Reinier2–0
69'
🔁
Renê ◂ A. Bruno
69'
🔁
Matheuzinho ◂ D. Tarzia
69'
🔁
Erick ◂ E. Martinez
75'
🔁
Dudu ◂ A. Minda
81'
🔁
Walace ◂ Caique
87'
⚽
Erick2–1
Full-time · 2–1
90'
🔁
C. C. Soares ◂ Reinier
90'
🔁
V. Hugo ◂ Alexsander
Coaches
Jair Ventura 
Recent form
DACruzeiro1-1
DAInternacional0-0
DHRed Bull Bragantino2-2
WHGrêmio3-0
WARed Bull Bragantino1-0
LAVasco da Gama0-1
LHBahia0-2
WHBotafogo1-0
LAFlamengo0-2
WHAthletico4-0
Where to watch
Arena Sport Premium 2
Premiere
Sportdigital FUSSBALLSportdigital+
Match facts
Stadium
Arena MRV
City
Belo Horizonte
Kickoff
29 Aug, 21:30 UTC
Competition
Brasileirão Serie A
Highlights & clips
1
G. Delfim
6.7
23
Á. Preciado
7.2
2
Natanael
6.7
40
V. F. C. Teixeira
7.4
36
K. P. Resende
6.4
25
T. Pérez
7.5
14
V. Hugo
↑ 90'
39
M. Cissé
7.2
29
C. C. Soares
↑ 90'
92
Dudu
6.8
↑ 75'
10
G. Scarpa
6.6
↑ 60'
1
L. Arcanjo
7.4
98
Mateusinho
6.8
↑ 46'
25
Cacá
7.2
36
L. Cândido
6.2
83
Jamerson
6.3
10
Matheuzinho
6.9
↑ 69'
7
Marinho
6.7
8
T. Pochettino
6.6
15
Walace
6.5
↑ 81'
33
Erick
7.8
↑ 69'
91
Renê
6.2
↑ 69'
Substitutes
31GR. Alves
53DP. Tocantins
6DR. Lodi
19MReinier↓ 90'8.7
5MAlexsander↓ 90'7.3
15MK. Castaño
48MGutte
28MT. Cuello
21MA. Franco
18FT. Borbas↓ 60'7.0
27FA. Minda↓ 75'6.7
9FM. Cassierra
Coach: Eduardo Dominguez
Top stats
61%Possession39%
1.46Expected goals (xG)0.64
18Total shots14
8Shots on target3
3Big chances0
4Corners5
Shots
6Shots off target4
4Blocked shots7
12Shots inside box7
6Shots outside box7
0Hit woodwork0
1Big chances scored0
2Big chances missed0
0.06Goals prevented-0.16
Attack
29Touches in box21
69Final third entries52
2Offsides0
13Free kicks12
Passing
636Passes395
579Accurate passes329
28/48 (58%)Long balls24/48 (50%)
2/17 (12%)Crosses7/27 (26%)
22Throw-ins21
Duels
52Duels48
43/82 (52%)Ground duels39/82 (48%)
10/19 (53%)Aerial duels9/19 (47%)
15/25 (60%)Dribbles5/13 (38%)
12Dispossessed8
Defending
16Tackles22
50Tackles won59
10Interceptions5
26Clearances19
46Recoveries52
Discipline
12Fouls13
2Yellow cards1
Goalkeeping
2Saves6
0Big saves3
8Goal kicks8
1Punches0
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 36 bookmakers
Who winsAtlético-MG to win (DNB) 76% · 1.31 @ forbet
1X2Atlético-MG to win 55% · 2.05 @ 888Sport
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 54% · 1.08 @ forbet
CornersOver 8.5 corners 61%
BTTSBTTS: No 52% · 1.85 @ 888Sport
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 75% · 1.04 @ Novibet
1X2Draw 26% · 2.55 @ forbet
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 72% · 1.35 @ 10bet
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 62%
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 50% · 1.80 @ Bet365
1X2Vitória to win 19% · 5.40 @ 1xBet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.62
Atlético Mineiro
3.61
Draw ▼
5.37
Vitória ▲
Double Chanceconsensus
1.14
Atlético Mineiro or Draw
1.26
Atlético Mineiro or Vitória ▲
2.16
Draw or Vitória
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.99
Yes ▲
1.73
No ▼
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.06
Over 0.50
9.50
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.32
Over 1.50
3.10
Under 1.50 ▼
Total Goals 2.50consensus
2.01
Over 2.50 ▼
1.74
Under 2.50 ▲
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.52
Over 3.50 ▲
1.26
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
7.00
Over 4.50
1.10
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.22
Atlético Mineiro
3.88
Vitória
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.91
Over 9.50
1.80
Under 9.50
Odd / Even Goalsconsensus
1.88
Over
1.81
E
1X2 (1st Half)consensus
2.17
Atlético Mineiro
2.14
Draw
5.63
Vitória
1X2 (2nd Half)consensus
1.98
Atlético Mineiro
2.46
Draw
5.13
Vitória
Double Chance (1st Half)consensus
1.11
Atlético Mineiro or Draw
1.57
Atlético Mineiro or Vitória
1.56
Draw or Vitória
Double Chance (2nd Half)consensus
1.12
Atlético Mineiro or Draw
1.42
Atlético Mineiro or Vitória
1.66
Draw or Vitória
Total Goals (1st Half) 2.50consensus
7.38
Over 2.50
1.06
Under 2.50
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
Atlético Mineiro to win or draw
✓
81% confidence
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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