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Luís Castro
Grêmio
Chapecoense
Grêmio
4-1-4-1 · 4-2-3-1
Chapecoense
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
446476 EUR · live
Home
1.01 · implied 99.0%
91.3%
-7.7 vs price
Away
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
5.8%
+5.7 vs price
Draw
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
2.9%
+2.8 vs price
Half time
488 EUR
Away
7.2 · implied 13.9%
52.7%
+38.8 vs price
Home
2.16 · implied 46.3%
42.4%
-3.9 vs price
Draw
2.48 · implied 40.3%
20.6%
-19.7 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
50999 EUR · live
Under
8.8 · implied 11.4%
58.2%
+46.8 vs price
Over
1.12 · implied 89.3%
41.9%
-47.4 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
2159 EUR
Under
1.14 · implied 87.7%
79.1%
-8.6 vs price
Over
8.2 · implied 12.2%
20.8%
+8.6 vs price
15 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 5 clips
Player of the match
Match events
15'
⚽
Maurício Garcez · assist G. Augusto0–1
18'
⚽
G. Martins · assist J. Enamorado1–1
28'
⚽
C. Pavón2–1
40'
Marlon · Foul
44'
W. Kannemann · Argument
Half-time · 2–1
46'
🔁
P. Gabriel ◂ Marlon
52'
🔁
C. Vinícius ◂ M. Braithwaite
52'
🔁
J. Pedro ◂ J. Enamorado
55'
E. Doma · Foul
56'
⚽
G. Martins · assist C. Pavón3–1
61'
🔁
M. Carvalho ◂ B. Matias
61'
🔁
F. Rossi ◂ Maurício Garcez
65'
🔁
Zortéa ◂ D. Barbosa
71'
B. Pacheco · Foul
75'
🔁
Fernando ◂ B. Pacheco
76'
🔁
Tetê ◂ F. Amuzu
80'
🔁
D. Borrero ◂ Marcinho
80'
🔁
Ênio ◂ G. Augusto
Full-time · 3–1
90'+2
Tetê · Foul
Coaches
Luís CastroRafael Lacerda 
Recent form
GrêmioDAInternacional0-0
LARed Bull Bragantino0-1
LAAtlético Mineiro0-3
WHSão Paulo2-1
WHMirassol1-0
ChapecoenseWHSão Paulo1-0
DHBahia3-3
LACoritiba1-2
LACruzeiro0-2
DHCruzeiro0-0
Where to watch
GloboplayPremiere
DAZN
Match facts
Stadium
Arena do Grêmio
City
Porto Alegre
Kickoff
30 Aug, 21:30 UTC
Competition
Brasileirão Serie A
Highlights & clips
Grêmio
4-1-4-1 · 4-2-3-1
Chapecoense
1
Weverton
9.2
7
C. Pavón
8.3
6
G. Martins
8.9
82
Wallace
8.2
54
P. Gabriel
6.4
↑ 46'
50
Zortéa
7.2
↑ 65'
18
J. Pedro
6.9
↑ 52'
20
M. Villasanti
6.4
10
F. Krovinović
6.5
11
Tetê
6.5
↑ 76'
95
C. Vinícius
6.8
↑ 52'
98
Anderson
6.2
5
Heitor
5.8
21
Kauan
6.6
3
E. Doma
6.2
12
Fernando
6.9
↑ 75'
88
Y. Felipe
6.8
80
M. Carvalho
6.4
↑ 61'
97
Ênio
6.7
↑ 80'
77
D. Borrero
6.6
↑ 80'
29
F. Rossi
6.7
↑ 61'
9
T. E. S. d. Oliveira
7.3
Substitutes
12GG. Grando
23DMarlon↓ 46'6.7
4DW. Kannemann
3DW. Leonardo
9MF. Amuzu↓ 76'6.8
15MD. Barbosa↓ 65'6.5
65MRiquelme
40MJ. Forneck
99FJ. Enamorado↓ 52'6.5
22FM. Braithwaite↓ 52'6.4
30FM. Nascimento
Coach: Luís Castro
Substitutes
30GMatheus
91DB. Pacheco↓ 75'6.3
15DR. Thyere
44DLuciano
16MB. Matias↓ 61'6.7
19MD. Antunes
70MR. Tadeu
26MEverton
10FG. Augusto↓ 80'7.5
31FMaurício Garcez↓ 61'7.2
7FMarcinho↓ 80'6.5
Coach: Rafael Lacerda
Top stats
53%Possession47%
0.77Expected goals (xG)2.46
12Total shots32
5Shots on target9
1Big chances5
5Corners7
Shots
2Shots off target18
5Blocked shots5
6Shots inside box17
6Shots outside box15
0Hit woodwork0
0Big chances scored1
1Big chances missed4
2.41Goals prevented-1.04
Attack
17Touches in box35
45Final third entries49
10Free kicks11
2Fouled in final third3
Passing
538Passes462
483Accurate passes418
34/57 (60%)Long balls19/33 (58%)
2/17 (12%)Crosses9/30 (30%)
9Throw-ins14
Duels
45Duels55
30/66 (45%)Ground duels36/66 (55%)
11/26 (42%)Aerial duels15/26 (58%)
9/22 (41%)Dribbles10/16 (63%)
4Dispossessed5
Defending
11Tackles17
64Tackles won71
5Interceptions7
28Clearances17
50Recoveries52
Discipline
11Fouls10
3Yellow cards2
Goalkeeping
7Saves2
17Goal kicks4
1Punches0
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 43 bookmakers
Who winsGrêmio to win (DNB) 81% · 1.25 @ forbet
1X2Grêmio to win 61% · 1.91 @ 888Sport
CornersOver 9.5 corners 53% · 1.80 @ betfair
CornersOver 8.5 corners 65% · 1.44 @ betfair
BTTSBTTS: No 51% · 1.30 @ 10bet
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 51% · 4.60 @ 888Sport
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 75% · 2.10 @ 888Sport
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 71% · 1.40 @ msport
1X2Draw 23% · 2.80 @ Unibet
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 58% · 1.70 @ Pinnacle
1X2Chapecoense to win 16% · 6.40 @ betcity
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.46
Grêmio
4.17
Draw
6.49
Chapecoense ▲
Double Chanceconsensus
1.10
Grêmio or Draw
1.20
Grêmio or Chapecoense ▼
2.51
Draw or Chapecoense
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.92
Yes
1.79
No
Home Clean Sheetconsensus
2.15
YES
1.62
NO
Away Clean Sheetconsensus
5.25
YES
1.12
NO
Home Win to Nilconsensus
2.55
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
9.50
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.03
Over 0.50
10.75
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.24
Over 1.50
3.70
Under 1.50 ▼
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.78
Over 2.50
1.96
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.93
Over 3.50
1.36
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
6.00
Over 4.50
1.12
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.15
Grêmio
4.80
Chapecoense
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.22
Over 7.50
3.50
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.44
Over 8.50
2.55
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.70
Over 9.50
2.05
Under 9.50
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
Grêmio to win or draw
✓
84% confidence
Grêmio to avoid defeat
✓
81% confidence
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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