Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedTap a player for their full match card.
**Mirassol's looking for consistency at home while Vitória desperately needs to snap a four-game losing streak.** This is a clash between a team finding its rhythm and one in full crisis mode. 📉
Mirassol's been decent lately — picking up a win and a couple draws — but Vitória's form is genuinely rough. The visitors have won just once in five and are leaking goals everywhere. Mirassol should fancy their chances here.
Key storylines:
- **Mirassol's attack vs Vitória's battered backline**: With **E. Brítez, L. Cândido**, and co. stretched thin (five players out, including both wingers), the home side's **G. Silva** and **B. Santos** have room to operate.
- **Vitória hunting an away spark**: Desperately need anything on the road — this is a chance to shake off the malaise, but the absences keep piling up.
- **Home advantage in a mismatch**: Mirassol at the Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia typically favors the hosts; Vitória's injury crisis makes survival the goal.
Expected lineups:
- **Mirassol**: A. Muralha, Reinaldo, W. Machado, Gabriel, N. Moura, G. Cazonatti, Alesson, Eduardo, G. Silva, B. Santos
- **Vitória**: L. Arcanjo, Jamerson, L. Cândido, E. Brítez, Cacá, Walace, D. Tarzia, Matheuzinho, Erick, Renê
Prediction:
**Mirassol 2–0 Vitória**. Home side should control this one; Vitória's too banged up to trouble them. 🎯
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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