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Internacional
Internacional
Grêmio
Internacional
Grêmio
Grêmio
Grêmio
Grêmio
Grêmio
Grêmio
Internacional
Grêmio
Renato Portaluppi
Grêmio
Internacional
Grêmio
4-3-3 · 3-4-2-1
Internacional
Commentary
90'
Full-time. Grêmio 1-1 Internacional.
90+4'
Internacional
Corner, Internacional.
90+4'
Attempt blocked. F. Torres (Internacional), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.11.
90+3'
Internacional
Corner, Internacional.
90'
5 minutes of added time.
89'
Grêmio
Corner, Grêmio.
85'
Attempt missed. B. Henrique (Internacional), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.02.
84'
Internacional
Corner, Internacional.
76'
Grêmio
Corner, Grêmio.
75'
Grêmio
Offside, Grêmio.
53'
Attempt saved. A. Bernabei (Internacional), left-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.03.
52'
Attempt blocked. Alerrandro (Internacional), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.14.
46'
Attempt blocked. B. Aguirre (Internacional), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.03.
46'
The second half is under way.
45'
Half-time. Grêmio 0-1 Internacional.
45'
6 minutes of added time.
45'
Grêmio
Corner, Grêmio.
39'
Grêmio
Corner, Grêmio.
28'
Grêmio
Offside, Grêmio.
20'
Grêmio
Corner, Grêmio.
14'
Internacional
Corner, Internacional.
9'
Grêmio
Corner, Grêmio.
1'
Kick-off: Grêmio vs Internacional.
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
178755 EUR · live
Away
260.0 · implied 0.4%
47.5%
+47.1 vs price
Draw
1.02 · implied 98.0%
34.0%
-64.0 vs price
Home
75.0 · implied 1.3%
18.5%
+17.2 vs price
Half time
1697 EUR · live
Draw
9.2 · implied 10.9%
37.0%
+26.1 vs price
Away
1.06 · implied 94.3%
35.2%
-59.1 vs price
Home
6.0 · implied 16.7%
27.6%
+11.0 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
66781 EUR · live
Under
1.03 · implied 97.1%
75.5%
-21.6 vs price
Over
17.5 · implied 5.7%
24.5%
+18.8 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
2820 EUR · live
Under
1.02 · implied 98.0%
91.1%
-7.0 vs price
Over
120.0 · implied 0.8%
8.9%
+8.1 vs price
13 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 3 clips
Player of the match
Match events
25'
A. Patrick · Foul
27'
R. Villagra · Argument
29'
M. Villasanti · Argument
33'
⚽
Vitinho · assist Alerrandro0–1
Half-time · 0–1
46'
🔁
B. Henrique ◂ A. Patrick
53'
B. Henrique · Foul
60'
🔁
J. Carbonero ◂ Alerrandro
62'
🔁
M. Braithwaite ◂ F. Krovinović
62'
🔁
J. Enamorado ◂ Diego Caito
65'
F. Amuzu · Foul
69'
🔁
P. Paula ◂ T. Maia
73'
⚽
Wallace1–1
85'
🔁
M. Bahia ◂ A. Bernabei
85'
🔁
F. Torres ◂ B. Aguirre
86'
🔁
Tetê ◂ F. Amuzu
86'
🔁
G. Martins ◂ D. Barbosa
87'
🔁
C. Paulista ◂ Marlon
Full-time · 1–1
90'+7
Wallace · Argument
Coaches
Renato PortaluppiEduardo Baptista 
Recent form
GrêmioDARemo1-1
DHPalmeiras0-0
LABotafogo2-3
LHVasco da Gama1-2
LAVitória0-1
InternacionalWHCorinthians2-1
LASão Paulo0-1
WAChapecoense2-1
LHSantos2-3
LAGrêmio1-3
About this match
**The Clássico Gre-Nal gets spicy when both teams are struggling** — Grêmio winless in five and Internacional limping along themselves. Low stakes, high noise. 🔥
Grêmio's form is rough (0W-2D-3L) but they're at home in a derby where the H2H stats suggest anything goes (15-19-14 is basically a coin flip). Internacional won their last two but just lost to São Paulo, so momentum is murky for both sides.
Key storylines:
- **Tetê** and **C. Vinícius** need to deliver up front for Grêmio; Internacional's rearguard (missing **G. Maripán**) could be exposed
- **Alerrandro** carries Internacional's attacking load with **A. Sanabria** sidelined by calf injury
- **Wallace** and **W. Kannemann** anchor Grêmio's defense but suspension issues (**E. Noriega**, **G. Martins**) have already stretched the squad thin
Expected lineups:
- **Grêmio**: Weverton, Marlon, Wallace, W. Kannemann, Diego Caito, F. Amuzu, M. Villasanti, Tetê, C. Vinícius
- **Internacional**: M. Cunha, A. Bernabei, G. Mercado, J. Juninho, B. Gomes, B. Henrique, Vitinho, Alerrandro
Prediction:
**Grêmio 1–1 Internacional**. Home turf and derby chaos usually favors a draw when both teams are out of form. 🤝
Where to watch
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Match facts
Stadium
Arena do Grêmio
City
Porto Alegre
Kickoff
11 Oct, 20:30 UTC
Competition
Brasileirão Serie A
Highlights & clips
Grêmio
4-3-3 · 3-4-2-1
Internacional
1
Weverton
6.5
99
J. Enamorado
6.9
↑ 62'
82
Wallace
7.9
4
W. Kannemann
7.7
38
C. Paulista
6.8
↑ 87'
22
M. Braithwaite
6.4
↑ 62'
6
G. Martins
6.8
↑ 86'
20
M. Villasanti
6.6
7
C. Pavón
7.7
95
C. Vinícius
6.6
11
Tetê
6.4
↑ 86'
12
Anthoni
6.1
15
B. Gomes
7.1
25
G. Mercado
6.5
18
J. Juninho
6.7
6
M. Bahia
6.8
↑ 85'
5
R. Villagra
6.8
27
P. Paula
6.3
↑ 69'
4
F. Torres
6.5
↑ 85'
28
Vitinho
7.2
7
J. Carbonero
7.0
↑ 60'
8
B. Henrique
6.8
↑ 46'
Top stats
67%Possession33%
1.44Expected goals (xG)0.78
12Total shots14
3Shots on target3
1Big chances0
6Corners5
Shots
5Shots off target6
4Blocked shots5
5Shots inside box9
7Shots outside box5
1Big chances scored0
-0.61Goals prevented0.2
Attack
11Touches in box24
90Final third entries61
2Offsides0
26Free kicks10
3Fouled in final third3
Passing
555Passes279
468Accurate passes188
38/68 (56%)Long balls20/67 (30%)
6/36 (17%)Crosses6/20 (30%)
20Throw-ins16
Duels
56Duels44
48/81 (59%)Ground duels33/81 (41%)
18/36 (50%)Aerial duels18/36 (50%)
8/19 (42%)Dribbles4/10 (40%)
9Dispossessed8
Defending
14Tackles20
50Tackles won65
7Interceptions14
34Clearances37
52Recoveries50
Discipline
10Fouls26
3Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
Goalkeeping
2Saves2
0Big saves1
10Goal kicks13
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 15 bookmakers
CornersOver 9.5 corners 52% · 2.00 @ Bet365
CornersOver 8.5 corners 64%
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 53% · 1.80 @ Bet365
1X2Draw 28% · 2.10 @ Bet365
BTTSBTTS: No 51% · 1.91 @ 888Sport
Who winsGrêmio to win (DNB) 60% · 1.88 @ Unibet
1X2Internacional to win 32% · 3.50 @ Bet365
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 73% · 1.30 @ Bet365
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 72% · 1.33 @ Bet365
1X2Grêmio to win 40% · 3.00 @ Bet365
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 59%
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.30
Grêmio
3.30
Draw
2.85
Internacional
Double Chanceconsensus
1.40
Grêmio or Draw
1.33
Grêmio or Internacional
1.57
Draw or Internacional
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.85
Yes
1.85
No
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.06
Over 0.50
10.00
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.33
Over 1.50
3.40
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
2.00
Over 2.50
1.80
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.50
Over 3.50
1.30
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
6.50
Over 4.50
1.11
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.85
Grêmio
1.85
Internacional
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
2.00
Over 9.50
1.73
Under 9.50
1X2 (1st Half)consensus
3.00
Grêmio
2.10
Draw
3.50
Internacional
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.0%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.0%.
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