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Cruzeiro
Cruzeiro
Cruzeiro
Grêmio
Cruzeiro
Grêmio
Grêmio
Grêmio
Grêmio
Grêmio
Grêmio
Cruzeiro
Cruzeiro
Cruzeiro
Grêmio
Cruzeiro
Cruzeiro
Cruzeiro
Renato Portaluppi
Grêmio
Cruzeiro
Grêmio
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1
Cruzeiro
Commentary
90'
Full-time. Grêmio 2-4 Cruzeiro.
90+6'
Cruzeiro
Corner, Cruzeiro.
90'
6 minutes of added time.
88'
Cruzeiro
Corner, Cruzeiro.
85'
Cruzeiro
Corner, Cruzeiro.
83'
Grêmio
Corner, Grêmio.
79'
Cruzeiro
Corner, Cruzeiro.
63'
Grêmio
Corner, Grêmio.
50'
Grêmio
Corner, Grêmio.
49'
Grêmio
Corner, Grêmio.
46'
The second half is under way.
45'
Half-time. Grêmio 2-1 Cruzeiro.
45+2'
Grêmio
Corner, Grêmio.
45'
8 minutes of added time.
45'
Grêmio
Corner, Grêmio.
44'
Grêmio
Corner, Grêmio.
44'
Cruzeiro
Corner, Cruzeiro.
40'
Cruzeiro
Offside, Cruzeiro.
30'
Cruzeiro
Corner, Cruzeiro.
13'
Grêmio
Corner, Grêmio.
12'
Cruzeiro
Corner, Cruzeiro.
11'
Cruzeiro
Corner, Cruzeiro.
4'
Cruzeiro
Corner, Cruzeiro.
1'
Kick-off: Grêmio vs Cruzeiro.
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
236768 EUR · live
Away
1.01 · implied 99.0%
67.3%
-31.7 vs price
Home
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
21.2%
+21.1 vs price
Draw
500.0 · implied 0.2%
11.5%
+11.3 vs price
Half time
267 EUR · live
Away
16.0 · implied 6.2%
43.0%
+36.8 vs price
Home
1.43 · implied 69.9%
30.7%
-39.3 vs price
Draw
2.46 · implied 40.7%
25.8%
-14.8 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
10101 EUR · live
Over
1.14 · implied 87.7%
65.6%
-22.2 vs price
Under
8.0 · implied 12.5%
34.4%
+21.9 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
1017 EUR · live
Under
2.04 · implied 49.0%
92.8%
+43.7 vs price
Over
1.84 · implied 54.3%
7.2%
-47.2 vs price
15 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 8 clips
Player of the match
Match events
17'
⚽
C. Vinícius (pen)1–0
23'
⚽
K. Jorge · assist M. Pereira1–1
36'
🔁
E. Noriega ◂ D. Barbosa
41'
⚽
C. Pavón2–1
Half-time · 2–1
48'
⚽
K. Jorge2–2
61'
⚽
K. Jorge · assist W. Furtado2–3
66'
🔁
M. Henrique ◂ Zé Lucas
66'
🔁
M. Braithwaite ◂ F. Krovinović
67'
J. Marcelo · Foul
71'
M. Pereira · Argument
73'
W. Kannemann · Argument
73'
W. Kannemann · Foul
76'
K. Arroyo · Foul
79'
🔁
Wesley ◂ K. Arroyo
80'
⚽
J. Marcelo · assist Gerson2–4
Full-time · 2–4
90'
🔁
J. Enamorado ◂ F. Amuzu
90'
🔁
Tetê ◂ C. Pavón
90'+2
🔁
F. Bruno ◂ J. Marcelo
90'+2
🔁
L. Rodríguez ◂ K. Jorge
90'+2
🔁
B. Rodrigues ◂ Gerson
Coaches
Renato PortaluppiArtur Jorge 
Recent form
GrêmioDHInternacional1-1
DARemo1-1
DHPalmeiras0-0
LABotafogo2-3
LHVasco da Gama1-2
CruzeiroLARed Bull Bragantino2-4
WHSão Paulo2-0
WAVitória3-1
LASantos1-2
WHAthletico3-1
About this match
**Grêmio's searching for a spark, and Cruzeiro's riding hot — but both teams are riddled with absences in this crucial Brasileirão clash.** 🔥
Grêmio's winless run (3D, 2L) screams "need a result," while Cruzeiro's 3-1-1 punch over five games has them looking dangerous. Head-to-head leans Cruzeiro's way (22 wins vs 19), but streaks trump history.
Key storylines:
- **Grêmio's attacking load** falls on **C. Pavón** and **C. Vinícius** with **J. Cabral** sidelined by thigh injury
- **Cruzeiro's midfield chemistry** — **Gerson** pulling strings with **M. Pereira** — could exploit **Grêmio's** missing defensive reinforcements
- Five absences cripple **Cruzeiro** (including **L. Sinisterra**), but **K. Kenji** up front remains a problem
Expected lineups:
- **Grêmio**: Weverton, Marlon, W. Kannemann, G. Martins, Diego Caito, E. Noriega, F. Amuzu, M. Villasanti, F. Krovinović, C. Pavón, C. Vinícius
- **Cruzeiro**: Otávio, J. Marcelo, F. Bruno, J. Jesus, Fagner, M. Pereira, Gerson, K. Jorge, K. Arroyo, J. Costa, K. Kenji
Prediction:
**1-1 draw.** Both teams are fragile—Grêmio's stuck in neutral, Cruzeiro's injuries pile up—making a stalemate the slight lean. 🤝
Where to watch
GE TVGloboplayPremiereTV Globoge tv
Fanatiz USA
Match facts
Stadium
Arena do Grêmio
City
Porto Alegre
Kickoff
18 Oct, 19:00 UTC
Competition
Brasileirão Serie A
Highlights & clips
Grêmio
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1
Cruzeiro
1
Weverton
5.0
27
Diego Caito
6.6
6
G. Martins
5.5
4
W. Kannemann
5.2
23
Marlon
6.7
20
M. Villasanti
7.6
8
E. Noriega
6.9
↑ 36'
99
J. Enamorado
↑ 90'
22
M. Braithwaite
6.8
↑ 66'
11
Tetê
↑ 90'
95
C. Vinícius
6.8
81
Otávio
7.1
12
W. Furtado
6.6
15
F. Bruno
↑ 90'
34
J. Jesus
7.2
25
L. Villalba
6.5
7
M. Henrique
6.5
↑ 66'
29
L. Romero
7.3
20
Wesley
6.9
↑ 79'
10
M. Pereira
7.8
97
L. Rodríguez
↑ 90'
9
B. Rodrigues
↑ 90'
Substitutes
12GG. Grando
54DP. Gabriel
14DM. Rocha
3DW. Leonardo
38DC. Paulista
18DJ. Pedro
2DF. Balbuena
7MC. Pavón↓ 90'7.8
9MF. Amuzu↓ 90'7.5
10MF. Krovinović↓ 66'6.6
15MD. Barbosa↓ 36'6.5
17MDodi
Coach: Renato Portaluppi
Top stats
40%Possession60%
1.99Expected goals (xG)1.48
17Total shots13
6Shots on target6
3Big chances3
8Corners8
Shots
6Shots off target3
5Blocked shots4
9Shots inside box9
8Shots outside box4
0Hit woodwork1
1Big chances scored3
2Big chances missed1
-2.04Goals prevented0.06
Attack
27Touches in box32
59Final third entries57
0Offsides1
15Free kicks19
6Fouled in final third2
Passing
330Passes515
258Accurate passes439
16/50 (32%)Long balls28/53 (53%)
3/23 (13%)Crosses3/15 (20%)
13Throw-ins21
Duels
48Duels52
32/64 (50%)Ground duels32/64 (50%)
12/27 (44%)Aerial duels15/27 (56%)
2/6 (33%)Dribbles3/10 (30%)
6Dispossessed8
Defending
15Tackles10
67Tackles won80
8Interceptions7
30Clearances34
38Recoveries39
Discipline
19Fouls16
2Yellow cards3
1Red cards0
Goalkeeping
2Saves4
1Big saves1
6Goal kicks8
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 26 bookmakers
1X2Cruzeiro to win 40% · 2.62 @ Bet365
CornersOver 9.5 corners 54% · 1.84 @ Pinnacle
CornersOver 8.5 corners 66% · 1.47 @ Pinnacle
BTTSBoth teams to score 57% · 3.00 @ William Hill
1X2Draw 27% · 2.56 @ 1xBet
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 52% · 4.00 @ William Hill
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 76% · 1.95 @ 1xBet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 71% · 1.43 @ Pinnacle
Who winsGrêmio to win (DNB) 52% · 2.50 @ Bet365
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 57% · 1.58 @ Pinnacle
1X2Grêmio to win 33% · 3.20 @ 1xBet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
3.06
Grêmio
3.50
Draw
2.20
Cruzeiro
Double Chanceconsensus
1.62
Grêmio or Draw
1.29
Grêmio or Cruzeiro
1.36
Draw or Cruzeiro
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.57
Yes
2.25
No
Home Win to Nilconsensus
5.00
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
4.33
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.04
Over 0.50
10.90
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.22
Over 1.50
4.05
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.73
Over 2.50
2.08
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.91
Over 3.50
1.36
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
5.50
Over 4.50
1.13
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
2.31
Grêmio
1.57
Cruzeiro
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.22
Over 7.50
3.17
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.45
Over 8.50
2.49
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.83
Over 9.50
1.93
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.24
Over 10.50
1.57
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
2.80
Over 11.50
1.33
Under 11.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.0%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.0%.
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