Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedTap a player for their full match card.
**Coritiba hosting Grêmio in a Monday night battle where both sides are badly stuck in the mud.** Neither team has won in their last five, making this feel less like a clash of form and more like a game waiting to happen. 🏟️
Coritiba's winless run (0-2-3) has been brutal, including a 4-0 hammering from Fluminense. Grêmio aren't much better — three draws and two losses from their last five — so expect caution over creativity here. This screams stalemate energy, though Coritiba holds a slight edge in H2H history (11 wins to Grêmio's 16).
Key storylines:
- **Pedro Morisco** and Grêmio's **Weverton** will be working overtime in what figures to be a low-scoring affair
- **Josué and Fabinho** need to unlock Coritiba's midfield against a disciplined Grêmio setup anchored by **E. Noriega**
- Missing pieces matter: Coritiba without **T. Santos** and Grêmio minus **W. Kannemann** (red card) both operating at reduced firepower
Expected lineups:
- **Coritiba**: Pedro Morisco, Bruno Melo, T. Cóser, J. Maranhão, F. Bustos, S. Gomez, R. Moledo, Josué, Fabinho, J. Lavega, P. Rocha
- **Grêmio**: Weverton, Marlon, Wallace, G. Martins, Diego Caito, E. Noriega, C. Pavón, M. Villasanti, F. Krovinović, F. Amuzu, C. Vinícius
Prediction:
**1-1** — both teams equally desperate for points but equally unconvincing. A draw feels like the fairest outcome. 🤝
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.0%.
Report a data issue
Spotted something wrong on this match? Tell us what and we'll fix it.