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São Paulo
Mirassol
São Paulo
Mirassol
Mirassol
São Paulo
São Paulo
São Paulo
São Paulo
São Paulo
Mirassol
Mirassol
Mirassol
Mirassol
Mirassol
Rafael Guanaes
Mirassol
São Paulo
Mirassol
4-2-3-1 · 3-4-2-1
São Paulo
Commentary
90'
Full-time. Mirassol 1-1 São Paulo.
90+6'
São Paulo
Corner, São Paulo.
90'
5 minutes of added time.
90'
Mirassol
Offside, Mirassol.
63'
São Paulo
Corner, São Paulo.
61'
Mirassol
Corner, Mirassol.
60'
Mirassol
Corner, Mirassol.
53'
São Paulo
Corner, São Paulo.
46'
The second half is under way.
45'
Half-time. Mirassol 1-1 São Paulo.
45+5'
São Paulo
Corner, São Paulo.
45'
8 minutes of added time.
44'
São Paulo
Corner, São Paulo.
37'
São Paulo
Corner, São Paulo.
37'
São Paulo
Corner, São Paulo.
25'
Mirassol
Corner, Mirassol.
23'
Mirassol
Corner, Mirassol.
21'
Mirassol
Corner, Mirassol.
18'
Mirassol
Corner, Mirassol.
14'
Mirassol
Corner, Mirassol.
1'
Kick-off: Mirassol vs São Paulo.
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
257146 EUR · live
Draw
1.04 · implied 96.2%
61.2%
-35.0 vs price
Home
55.0 · implied 1.8%
30.5%
+28.7 vs price
Away
100.0 · implied 1.0%
8.3%
+7.3 vs price
Half time
305 EUR
Draw
2.28 · implied 43.9%
69.1%
+25.2 vs price
Away
4.2 · implied 23.8%
20.0%
-3.8 vs price
Home
2.98 · implied 33.6%
11.0%
-22.6 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
59597 EUR · live
Under
1.02 · implied 98.0%
59.4%
-38.6 vs price
Over
14.0 · implied 7.1%
41.0%
+33.8 vs price
12 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 3 clips
Player of the match
Match events
7'
⚽
Rafael1–0
17'
Djhordney · Foul
26'
I. Borduchi · Foul
39'
⚽
P. Lima · assist D. Bobadilla1–1
Half-time · 1–1
61'
Eduardo · Foul
64'
🔁
P. Maia ◂ M. Antônio
64'
🔁
G. Santana ◂ L. Moura
67'
🔁
Wallisson Luiz ◂ Denilson
67'
🔁
C. Eduardo ◂ B. Santos
67'
🔁
Shaylon ◂ N. Moura
70'
W. Machado · Foul
74'
🔁
Fernandinho ◂ Alesson
77'
🔁
Wendell ◂ I. Borduchi
77'
🔁
P. Ferreira ◂ Djhordney
78'
🔁
Z. Roberto ◂ Eduardo
83'
Wallisson Luiz · Foul
87'
🔁
Victor Sá ◂ D. Bobadilla
Full-time · 1–1
Coaches
Rafael GuanaesDorival Júnior 
Recent form
MirassolWHInternacional2-0
LABahia0-1
DARed Bull Bragantino1-1
WAUberlândia EC4-0
WHBotafogo2-0
São PauloWHVasco da Gama1-0
WHVitória2-1
LACruzeiro0-2
LHSantos1-2
WHInternacional1-0
About this match
**Mirassol's red-hot form meets a wobbling São Paulo side looking for answers.** The hosts have won three of their last five and are quietly becoming a problem in the Brasileirão; the Tricolores, meanwhile, just got embarrassed 0-2 at Cruzeiro and are bleeding momentum. 🔥
Mirassol's defense has tightened up significantly, while São Paulo's backline is thin with **D. Duarte** sidelined and defensive depth stretched. The midfield battle could be where this is won—Denilson and Igor Formiga will need to disrupt São Paulo's build-up play to keep the hosts sharp.
Key storylines:
- **Mirassol's home fortress** vs a visiting side desperate to arrest a two-game losing streak
- **B. Santos** leading the line for the hosts against a São Paulo rearguard missing key personnel
- Denilson's midfield control could be the difference in a tight contest
Expected lineups:
- **Mirassol**: Walter, Reinaldo, W. Machado, J. Victor, Igor Formiga, Denilson, N. Moura, B. Santos
- **São Paulo**: Rafael, I. Borduchi, R. Arboleda, Sabino, P. Lima, P. Maia, M. Antônio, J. Calleri
Prediction:
**Mirassol 1–1 São Paulo**
Close match with both sides canceling each other out, but slight lean to Mirassol's edge at home.
Where to watch
GloboplayPremierePremiere 5TV Globo
Fanatiz USAPremiere 5
Match facts
Stadium
Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia
City
Mirassol
Kickoff
24 Oct, 19:30 UTC
Competition
Brasileirão Serie A
Highlights & clips
Mirassol
4-2-3-1 · 3-4-2-1
São Paulo
22
Walter
6.7
32
Igor Formiga
7.0
34
J. Victor
7.6
3
W. Machado
7.6
6
Reinaldo
7.2
7
Shaylon
6.5
↑ 67'
80
Wallisson Luiz
6.6
↑ 67'
95
E. Carioca
6.8
99
Z. Roberto
6.4
↑ 78'
17
Fernandinho
6.6
↑ 74'
96
C. Eduardo
6.7
↑ 67'
23
Rafael
8.2
28
Newton
6.3
5
R. Arboleda
7.1
54
L. Osorio
6.9
32
P. Lima
7.4
18
Wendell
6.6
↑ 77'
29
P. Maia
6.8
↑ 64'
46
P. Ferreira
6.9
↑ 77'
27
Victor Sá
6.4
↑ 87'
43
G. Santana
6.3
↑ 64'
10
Luciano
6.8
Substitutes
90GThomazella
2DL. Oliveira
20DD. Borges
44DGabriel
27MDenilson↓ 67'6.9
25MN. Moura↓ 67'6.7
33MEduardo↓ 78'6.4
19MG. Silva
10MChico
5MJapa
77FAlesson↓ 74'7.0
30FB. Santos↓ 67'6.7
Coach: Rafael Guanaes
Top stats
45%Possession55%
1.28Expected goals (xG)1.11
18Total shots14
4Shots on target3
1Big chances3
7Corners7
Shots
10Shots off target6
4Blocked shots5
15Shots inside box10
3Shots outside box4
1Hit woodwork1
0Big chances scored1
1Big chances missed2
0.0Goals prevented0.33
Attack
24Touches in box21
54Final third entries44
1Offsides0
13Free kicks13
3Fouled in final third1
Passing
414Passes501
360Accurate passes442
26/41 (63%)Long balls19/50 (38%)
8/22 (36%)Crosses3/23 (13%)
20Throw-ins19
Duels
48Duels52
25/61 (41%)Ground duels36/61 (59%)
14/21 (67%)Aerial duels7/21 (33%)
3/10 (30%)Dribbles6/9 (67%)
10Dispossessed7
Defending
10Tackles17
60Tackles won71
5Interceptions5
28Clearances21
42Recoveries43
Discipline
13Fouls13
3Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
Goalkeeping
2Saves4
0Big saves2
10Goal kicks11
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 24 bookmakers
CornersOver 9.5 corners 58% · 1.56 @ Pinnacle
CornersOver 8.5 corners 69% · 1.29 @ betfair
Who winsMirassol to win (DNB) 65% · 1.67 @ Betano
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 53% · 1.15 @ William Hill
1X2Draw 29% · 2.40 @ Bet365
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 75% · 1.31 @ Pinnacle
BTTSBoth teams to score 52% · 3.40 @ Bet365
1X2São Paulo to win 31% · 3.40 @ William Hill
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 71% · 2.21 @ 1xBet
1X2Mirassol to win 40% · 2.62 @ Bet365
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 53% · 1.85 @ 1xBet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.30
Mirassol
3.30
Draw
3.10
São Paulo
Double Chanceconsensus
1.35
Mirassol or Draw
1.31
Mirassol or São Paulo
1.57
Draw or São Paulo
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.77
Yes
1.95
No
Home Win to Nilconsensus
3.70
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
5.00
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.04
Over 0.50
9.00
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.33
Over 1.50
3.40
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
2.04
Over 2.50
1.79
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.50
Over 3.50
1.29
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
7.38
Over 4.50
1.08
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.61
Mirassol
2.15
São Paulo
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.15
Over 7.50
4.20
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.28
Over 8.50
3.04
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.53
Over 9.50
2.30
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
1.92
Over 10.50
1.82
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
2.41
Over 11.50
1.49
Under 11.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.0%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.0%.
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