Grêmio 2-0 Athletico: Stats, xG & Lineups – Oct 30, 2026

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Brasileirão Serie A ·Fri 30 Oct

Grêmio

2–0

HT 1–0

Full time

Athletico

Arena do Grêmio, Porto Alegre · Ref: Alex Gomes Stefano

Commentary

90'

Full-time. Grêmio 2-0 Athletico.

90+4'

Wallace

Attempt missed. Wallace (Grêmio), header from a set piece. xG 0.09.

90+2'

Weverton

Yellow card for Weverton (Grêmio) for time wasting.

90+1'

Bruno Zapelli

Attempt missed. Bruno Zapelli (Athletico), right-footed shot from a throw-in. xG 0.05.

90'

3 minutes of added time.

90'

Marlon

Attempt blocked. Marlon (Grêmio), left-footed shot from a free kick. xG 0.07.

89'

S. Mendoza

Substitution, Athletico: Dudu comes on for S. Mendoza.

88'

Bruno Zapelli

Yellow card for Bruno Zapelli (Athletico) for foul.

87'

M. Villasanti

Substitution, Grêmio: W. Leonardo comes on for M. Villasanti.

85'

S. Mendoza

Attempt blocked. S. Mendoza (Athletico), left-footed shot. xG 0.18.

82'

M. Braithwaite

Attempt blocked. M. Braithwaite (Grêmio), header from a corner. xG 0.04.

81'

Grêmio

Corner, Grêmio.

80'

J. Cruz

Substitution, Athletico: J. Rivaldo comes on for J. Cruz.

79'

F. Amuzu

Substitution, Grêmio: C. Paulista comes on for F. Amuzu.

78'

Athletico

Corner, Athletico.

78'

Bruno Zapelli

Attempt blocked. Bruno Zapelli (Athletico), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

74'

J. Cruz

Attempt blocked. J. Cruz (Athletico), right-footed shot from a free kick. xG 0.06.

71'

G. Benavídez

Attempt missed. G. Benavídez (Athletico), header from a corner. xG 0.09.

71'

Athletico

Corner, Athletico.

69'

E. Noriega

Yellow card for E. Noriega (Grêmio) for foul.

68'

F. Balbuena

Substitution, Grêmio: Dodi comes on for F. Balbuena.

67'

J. Enamorado

Substitution, Grêmio: Tetê comes on for J. Enamorado.

67'

C. Vinícius

Substitution, Grêmio: M. Braithwaite comes on for C. Vinícius.

66'

C. Vinícius

Yellow card for C. Vinícius (Grêmio) for argument.

65'

Athletico

Corner, Athletico.

65'

L. Esquivel

Attempt blocked. L. Esquivel (Athletico), left-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.04.

65'

Athletico

Corner, Athletico.

63'

J. F. Aguirre

Attempt blocked. J. F. Aguirre (Athletico), header from a corner. xG 0.13.

63'

Athletico

Corner, Athletico.

62'

Leozinho

Substitution, Athletico: K. C. Vargas comes on for Leozinho.

61'

Athletico

Corner, Athletico.

61'

J. F. Aguirre

Attempt saved. J. F. Aguirre (Athletico), header. xG 0.32.

61'

L. Esquivel

Attempt blocked. L. Esquivel (Athletico), left-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.01.

61'

Athletico

Corner, Athletico.

60'

J. Cruz

Attempt saved. J. Cruz (Athletico), left-footed shot. xG 0.38.

59'

F. Amuzu

Attempt blocked. F. Amuzu (Grêmio), right-footed shot from a free kick. xG 0.06.

59'

J. Enamorado

Attempt missed. J. Enamorado (Grêmio), left-footed shot from a throw-in. xG 0.15.

56'

J. Enamorado

Attempt saved. J. Enamorado (Grêmio), right-footed shot. xG 0.13.

52'

F. Balbuena

Goal! Grêmio 2-0 Athletico. F. Balbuena (Grêmio) scores.

52'

C. Vinícius

Attempt blocked. C. Vinícius (Grêmio), left-footed shot. xG 0.03.

52'

F. Balbuena

Attempt blocked. F. Balbuena (Grêmio), header from a corner. xG 0.02.

52'

Grêmio

Corner, Grêmio.

50'

C. Vinícius

Attempt missed. C. Vinícius (Grêmio), header from a set piece. xG 0.05.

46'

K. Viveros

Attempt missed. K. Viveros (Athletico), right-footed shot. xG 0.06.

46'

J. Portilla

Substitution, Athletico: Bruno Zapelli comes on for J. Portilla.

46'

Leonardo Derik

Substitution, Athletico: G. Benavídez comes on for Leonardo Derik.

46'

The second half is under way.

45'

Half-time. Grêmio 1-0 Athletico.

45+5'

Athletico

Corner, Athletico.

45+2'

J. Cruz

Attempt blocked. J. Cruz (Athletico), right-footed shot. xG 0.12.

45'

7 minutes of added time.

43'

E. Noriega

Attempt blocked. E. Noriega (Grêmio), right-footed shot. xG 0.10.

43'

Grêmio

Corner, Grêmio.

42'

Grêmio

Offside, Grêmio.

39'

Marlon

Goal! Grêmio 1-0 Athletico. Marlon (Grêmio) scores.

37'

Leonardo Derik

Yellow card for Leonardo Derik (Athletico) for foul.

34'

Marlon

Attempt missed. Marlon (Grêmio), left-footed shot from a throw-in. xG 0.02.

29'

C. Vinícius

Attempt saved. C. Vinícius (Grêmio), header from a set piece. xG 0.04.

29'

J. Enamorado

Yellow card for J. Enamorado (Grêmio) for foul.

23'

J. Portilla

Yellow card for J. Portilla (Athletico) for foul.

22'

J. Portilla

Attempt missed. J. Portilla (Athletico), left-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.03.

18'

E. Noriega

Attempt missed. E. Noriega (Grêmio), header from a corner. xG 0.06.

18'

Grêmio

Corner, Grêmio.

17'

Grêmio

Corner, Grêmio.

17'

F. Amuzu

Attempt saved. F. Amuzu (Grêmio), right-footed shot. xG 0.04.

13'

K. Viveros

Attempt saved. K. Viveros (Athletico), right-footed shot. xG 0.04.

12'

Marlon

Attempt blocked. Marlon (Grêmio), left-footed shot. xG 0.02.

11'

Grêmio

Offside, Grêmio.

10'

J. Cruz

Attempt saved. J. Cruz (Athletico), left-footed shot. xG 0.03.

S. Mendoza

Attempt missed. S. Mendoza (Athletico), left-footed shot. xG 0.07.

Wallace

Attempt missed. Wallace (Grêmio), header from a corner. xG 0.07.

C. Vinícius

Off the woodwork! C. Vinícius (Grêmio), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.23.

Kick-off: Grêmio vs Athletico.

Where the money is

372596 EUR matched · captured 1 day ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 193435 EUR · live

Home 1.01 · implied 99.0%

78.5%

-20.5 vs price

Away 1000.0 · implied 0.1%

17.5%

+17.4 vs price

Draw 1000.0 · implied 0.1%

4.0%

+3.9 vs price

Half time 49 EUR

Away 3.85 · implied 26.0%

81.8%

+55.8 vs price

Draw 2.36 · implied 42.4%

17.9%

-24.5 vs price

Home 3.05 · implied 32.8%

0.3%

-32.5 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 109582 EUR · live

Under 1.01 · implied 99.0%

69.2%

-29.8 vs price

Over 12.0 · implied 8.3%

31.8%

+23.5 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals 23 EUR

Over 8.0 · implied 12.5%

100.0%

+87.5 vs price

15 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Highlights 4 clips

Player of the match

Match events

23' J. Portilla · Foul

29' J. Enamorado · Foul

37' Leonardo Derik · Foul

39' ⚽ Marlon1–0

Half-time · 1–0

46' 🔁 G. Benavídez ◂ Leonardo Derik

46' 🔁 Bruno Zapelli ◂ J. Portilla

52' ⚽ F. Balbuena2–0

62' 🔁 K. C. Vargas ◂ Leozinho

66' C. Vinícius · Argument

67' 🔁 M. Braithwaite ◂ C. Vinícius

67' 🔁 Tetê ◂ J. Enamorado

68' 🔁 Dodi ◂ F. Balbuena

69' E. Noriega · Foul

79' 🔁 C. Paulista ◂ F. Amuzu

80' 🔁 J. Rivaldo ◂ J. Cruz

87' 🔁 W. Leonardo ◂ M. Villasanti

88' Bruno Zapelli · Foul

89' 🔁 Dudu ◂ S. Mendoza

Full-time · 2–0

90'⁺² Weverton · Time wasting

Coaches

Renato Portaluppi

Odair Hellmann

Recent form

Grêmio

WACoritiba1-0

LHCruzeiro2-4

DHInternacional1-1

DARemo1-1

DHPalmeiras0-0

Athletico

DAVitória1-1

LHPalmeiras0-2

WAChapecoense4-1

DHAtlético Mineiro2-2

WHBahia2-1

About this match

**Grêmio's got the home vibes going, but Athletico just torched Chapecoense 4-1** — so much for a sleepy Friday night in Porto Alegre. 🔥

Grêmio's been shaky (1W-3D-1L), caught between peaks and valleys. Athletico, meanwhile, swung wildly from a 0-2 hammering by Palmeiras to a demolition job at Chapecoense. Historically, Grêmio owns this fixture with 23 wins to Athletico's 13.

Key storylines:

- **Grêmio's attack hinges on C. Vinícius and F. Amuzu** — they need clinical finishing to break down Athletico's three-back shape
- **Athletico's midfield trio of L. Gustavo, S. Mendoza, and G. Junior** will try to suffocate play and hit on the counter
- **Injury pile-up at Athletico** (Claudinho out, Dantas sidelined) weakens their spine, but they've still got momentum from last week

Expected lineups:

- **Grêmio**: Weverton, P. Gabriel, Wallace, G. Martins, Diego Caito, M. Villasanti, C. Pavón, F. Krovinović, F. Amuzu, E. Noriega, C. Vinícius
- **Athletico**: Mycael, J. F. Aguirre, L. Esquivel, B. Baldini, G. Junior, S. Mendoza, L. Gustavo, J. Cruz, K. Viveros, Leozinho, J. Rivaldo

Prediction:

**Grêmio 1-1 Athletico**. Home advantage edges it, but Athletico's defensive solidity + injuries to Grêmio's depth suggest a cagey draw.

Where to watch

GloboplayPremiereSportv

Match facts

Stadium

Arena do Grêmio

City

Porto Alegre

Referee

Alex Gomes Stefano

5.25 yellows/match · 53 matches

Kickoff

30 Oct, 00:30 UTC

Competition

Brasileirão Serie A

Top stats

30%Possession70%

1.38Expected goals (xG)1.46

19Total shots16

5Shots on target4

3Big chances3

6Corners8

Shots

7Shots off target5

7Blocked shots7

11Shots inside box9

8Shots outside box7

2Hit woodwork0

1Big chances scored0

2Big chances missed3

1.25Goals prevented-0.38

Attack

19Touches in box24

40Final third entries82

2Offsides0

17Free kicks13

6Fouled in final third2

Passing

229Passes543

168Accurate passes491

17/46 (37%)Long balls14/29 (48%)

8/13 (62%)Crosses6/33 (18%)

16Throw-ins22

Duels

44Duels55

25/63 (40%)Ground duels37/62 (60%)

17/32 (53%)Aerial duels14/31 (45%)

1/7 (14%)Dribbles8/16 (50%)

12Dispossessed1

Defending

9Tackles17

56Tackles won53

11Interceptions7

37Clearances22

36Recoveries40

Discipline

13Fouls17

4Yellow cards3

0Red cards0

Goalkeeping

4Saves3

1Big saves0

15Goal kicks4

1Punches0

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 1 bookmaker

Grêmio 40%

28%

Athletico 32%

CornersOver 9.5 corners 57% · 1.83 @ Bet365

CornersOver 8.5 corners 68%

GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 57% · 1.65 @ Bet365

BTTSBTTS: No 51% · 1.80 @ Bet365

1X2Draw 28% · 2.05 @ Bet365

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 75% · 1.25 @ Bet365

1X2Athletico to win 32% · 3.75 @ Bet365

1X2Grêmio to win 40% · 3.10 @ Bet365

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 69% · 1.40 @ Bet365

Who winsGrêmio to win (DNB) 52% · 1.67 @ Bet365

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 54%

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

2.30

Grêmio

3.25

Draw

2.85

Athletico

Double Chanceconsensus

1.40

Grêmio or Draw

1.33

Grêmio or Athletico

1.57

Draw or Athletico

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

1.95

Yes

1.80

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.07

Over 0.50

8.50

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.40

Over 1.50

3.00

Under 1.50

Total Goals 2.50consensus

2.20

Over 2.50

1.65

Under 2.50

Total Goals 3.50consensus

4.00

Over 3.50

1.25

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

9.00

Over 4.50

1.07

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

1.67

Grêmio

2.10

Athletico

Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus

1.83

Over 9.50

1.83

Under 9.50

1X2 (1st Half)consensus

3.10

Grêmio

2.05

Draw

3.75

Athletico

Full odds via API →

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

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