Live win probability
BSD modelIn-game win probability from our ML pre-match model, updated by score, time and live xG. Something FotMob and Sofascore don't show.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Timeline
⚽C. Garcés
11'
⚽
45'
⚽
45'
🔁G. Barreto ◂ M. Martinich
66'
🔁J. Moreno ◂ P. Lima
71'
🔁R. Flores ◂ H. Linares
71'
⚽A. Hohberg
79'
🔁M. Succar ◂ N. Bandiera
83'
🔁L. Casiani ◂ J. Vargas
83'
🔁J. H. Chávez ◂ D. Saggiomo
83'
🔁R. Aguilar ◂ A. Hohberg
84'
🔁J. Romagnoli ◂ C. Garcés
84'
J. Moreno
87'
🔁R. Sandoval ◂ C. Souza
88'
🔁L. Pimentel ◂ J. Castillo
88'
⚽
90'
⚽
90'
Coaches
Horacio MelgarejoEduardo Sarago 
Recent form
CiencianoDJuventud de Las Piedras1-1Cienciano
DCienciano1-1Melgar
DCienciano1-1Bolívar
Academia Puerto CabelloWAcademia Puerto Cabello2-1Atlético Mineiro
DAcademia Puerto Cabello0-0Monagas
WUniversidad Central0-1Academia Puerto Cabello
WDeportivo La Guaira1-2Academia Puerto Cabello
WBarquisimeto SC0-1Academia Puerto Cabello
Match facts
Stadium
Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega
City
Cusco
Referee
Ivo Nigel Mendez Chavez
Kickoff
17 Apr, 02:00 UTC
Cienciano
4-2-3-1 · 4-3-3
Academia Puerto Cabello
31
Í. Espinoza
6.7
13
C. Nunez
6.9
4
M. Amondarain
7.4
3
K. Becerra
7.6
39
H. Caparó
6.8
16
M. Martinich
7.0
29
A. Robles
7.5
7
C. Souza
7.5
10
A. Hohberg
8.1
11
N. Bandiera
6.1
21
C. Garcés
6.8
1
J. Graterol
6.4
29
J. Vargas
6.4
26
J. Ramos
6.9
63
S. Obradović
6.3
14
G. Bortagaray
6.2
5
G. Gonzalez
5.9
6
P. Lima
6.5
27
H. Linares
6.0
15
D. Saggiomo
7.4
9
A. Ponce
6.5
19
J. Castillo
6.0
47%Possession53%
2.65Expected goals (xG)0.44
19Total shots5
6Shots on target2
4Big chances1
4Corners1
11Fouls5
1Yellow cards1
Model prediction BSD ML
Both Teams to ScoreBTTS Yes 58%
Total Goals 1.5Over 1.5 goals 86% · Pick: Over 1.5 goals
Total Goals 2.5Over 2.5 goals 69%
Total Goals 3.5Over 3.5 goals 49%