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Match facts
Tournament
Montreal
Category
Masters1000
Round
Semifinals
Surface
hard
Key factors
Surface
Rafael Jodar wins +19% more on this surface
Recent form
B. Nakashima 4 of last 5
W L. Darderi 2–0 W A. Rinderknech 2–1 W T. Droguet 2–1 W D. Altmaier 2–0 L T. Fritz 1–2Win probability
R. JódarB. Nakashima
62%
Model confidence
Why the model thinks so
- Dominant on this surface (73% win rate)
- More titles on this surface
- Better on break points
- Strong in tiebreaks (67%)
R. Jódar
1.40
consensus price, since opening
B. Nakashima
3.00
consensus price, since opening
Match winnerdecimal
Bookmaker
R. Jódar
B. Nakashima
10bet
1.42 ▲
2.70 ▼
888Sport
1.44 ▲
2.75 ▼
Bet365
1.44 ▲
2.75 ▼
Betsson
1.44 ▲
2.80 ▼
Betway
1.44 ▲
2.75 ▼
Bwin
1.45 ▲
2.75 ▼
Interwetten
1.43 ▲
2.80 ▼
Marathon
1.43 ▲
2.81 ▼
Novibet
1.43 ▲
2.95 ▼
SportingBet
1.45 ▲
2.75 ▼
Unibet
1.44 ▲
2.75 ▼
William Hill
1.44 ▲
2.75 ▼
fonbet
1.40 ▼
2.90 ▼
Consensus
1.40 ▼
2.79 ▼
R. Jódar at 1.40
89%
win rate at similar odds (19 matches) · market implies 71% · value signal
O/U Games 22.00Full Match
Bookmaker
Over
Under
10bet
1.80
1.90
Marathon
1.82 ▲
1.90
Consensus
1.81 ▲
1.90 ▼
O/U Games 22.50Full Match
Bookmaker
Over
Under
10bet
1.95 ▲
1.75 ▼
888Sport
1.91 ▲
1.80 ▼
Bet365
1.83
1.83
Betsson
1.88 ▼
1.83 ▲
Betway
1.90
1.83 ▲
Bwin
1.90 ▼
1.78 ▲
Interwetten
1.85 ▼
1.85 ▲
Marathon
1.92 ▼
1.81 ▲
Novibet
1.83 ▼
1.83 ▼
SportingBet
1.90 ▼
1.78 ▲
Unibet
1.89 ▼
1.85 ▲
William Hill
1.91 ▲
1.80 ▼
Consensus
1.89 ▼
1.81 ▲
Games Handicap -3.50Full Match
Bookmaker
R. Jódar
B. Nakashima
10bet
1.95
1.75
888Sport
1.91 ▲
1.80 ▼
Bet365
2.00
1.73
Betsson
1.97 ▲
1.75 ▼
Betway
1.95
1.75
Bwin
1.90 ▼
1.78 ▲
Interwetten
1.95 ▲
1.75 ▼
Novibet
1.95 ▼
1.75 ▲
SportingBet
1.90 ▼
1.78 ▲
Unibet
1.99 ▲
1.76 ▼
William Hill
1.91 ▲
1.80 ▼
Consensus
1.94 ▲
1.76 ▼
Games Handicap -3.00Full Match
Bookmaker
R. Jódar
B. Nakashima
10bet
1.75 ▼
1.95 ▲
Consensus
1.75
1.95
Odd/Even GamesFull Match
Bookmaker
Odd
Even
10bet
1.83
1.83
Betsson
1.85
1.85
Betway
1.85
1.85
Marathon
1.86
1.86
Novibet
1.85
1.85
Unibet
1.85
1.85
Consensus
1.85
1.85
O/U Sets 2.50Full Match
Bookmaker
Over
Under
10bet
2.30
1.55
Betsson
2.32 ▼
1.54 ▲
Marathon
2.38 ▼
1.53 ▲
Novibet
2.30 ▼
1.55 ▲
Unibet
2.35 ▼
1.55 ▲
William Hill
2.25 ▲
1.60 ▼
fonbet
2.40 ▼
1.55 ▲
Consensus
2.33
1.55 ▲
Set Handicap -1.50Full Match
Bookmaker
R. Jódar
B. Nakashima
10bet
2.15 ▲
1.65 ▼
Betsson
2.14 ▲
1.63 ▼
Bwin
2.05 ▲
1.65 ▼
Interwetten
2.10 ▲
1.65 ▼
Novibet
2.15 ▲
1.63 ▼
SportingBet
2.05 ▲
1.65 ▼
Unibet
2.14 ▲
1.63 ▼
William Hill
2.20 ▲
1.62 ▼
fonbet
2.10 ▼
1.70 ▼
Consensus
2.12 ▲
1.65 ▼
Player O/U Games 10.50Full Match
Bookmaker
Over
Under
William Hill
1.17 ▲
4.50 ▼
Consensus
1.17 ▲
4.50 ▼
O/U Double Faults 2.50Full Match
Bookmaker
Over
Under
Novibet
1.25
3.60
Consensus
1.25
3.60
O/U Tie Breaks 0.50Full Match
Bookmaker
Over
Under
Novibet
2.25 ▲
1.57 ▼
Consensus
2.25
1.57 ▼
Match Winner1st Set
Bookmaker
R. Jódar
B. Nakashima
10bet
1.53 ▲
2.40 ▼
888Sport
1.53
2.38
Bet365
1.53 ▲
2.50 ▼
Betsson
1.54 ▲
2.49
Betway
1.50
2.40 ▼
Bwin
1.50 ▲
2.40 ▼
Interwetten
1.50 ▲
2.40 ▼
Marathon
1.53 ▲
2.38 ▼
Novibet
1.53 ▲
2.50 ▼
SportingBet
1.50 ▲
2.40 ▼
Unibet
1.52 ▲
2.42 ▼
William Hill
1.53
2.38
fonbet
1.55 ▲
2.50 ▼
Consensus
1.52 ▲
2.43 ▼
O/U Games 6.501st Set
Bookmaker
Over
Under
William Hill
1.01
21.00 ▼
Consensus
1.01
21.00
Games Handicap -3.501st Set
Bookmaker
R. Jódar
B. Nakashima
10bet
5.00
1.14
Marathon
5.05 ▲
1.13
William Hill
4.50 ▼
1.17 ▲
fonbet
4.80 ▲
1.14 ▼
Consensus
4.84
1.15
Odd/Even Games1st Set
Bookmaker
Odd
Even
Marathon
1.82 ▲
1.90
Novibet
1.87 ▲
1.83 ▲
Consensus
1.85 ▲
1.87 ▲
Player O/U Games 3.501st Set
Bookmaker
Over
Under
William Hill
1.15 ▲
4.75 ▼
Consensus
1.15
4.75
Match Winner2nd Set
Bookmaker
R. Jódar
B. Nakashima
1xBet
–
2.53 ▼
888Sport
1.53 ▲
2.38 ▼
Betway
1.50
2.38 ▼
Bwin
1.50 ▲
2.40 ▼
Interwetten
1.50
2.40
Marathon
1.49 ▲
2.47 ▼
Novibet
1.50 ▼
2.45 ▼
SportingBet
1.50 ▲
2.40 ▼
Unibet
1.52 ▲
2.40 ▼
William Hill
1.53 ▲
2.38 ▼
Consensus
1.51 ▲
2.41
O/U Games 7.502nd Set
Bookmaker
Over
Under
Marathon
1.03
8.00 ▲
Novibet
1.06 ▼
7.00
Consensus
1.05
7.50 ▲
Games Handicap -3.502nd Set
Bookmaker
R. Jódar
B. Nakashima
Marathon
4.90 ▲
1.13
Consensus
4.90 ▲
1.13 ▼
Odd/Even Games2nd Set
Bookmaker
Odd
Even
Marathon
1.86 ▼
1.86 ▲
Novibet
1.87
1.83 ▲
Consensus
1.87
1.85 ▲
Player O/U Games 4.502nd Set
Bookmaker
Over
Under
Marathon
1.26 ▲
3.48 ▼
Consensus
1.26 ▲
3.48 ▼