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Match facts
Tournament
US Open, Men
Category
Grandslam
Round
Round of 128
Surface
hard
Key factors
Ranking
Tomaš Machač is ranked 51 places higher
Form
Toby Samuel comes in with better momentum
Recent form
T. Samuel 4 of last 5
W C. Garin 1–1 W B. Harris 2–1 W F. Maestrelli 2–1 L J. Friend 0–2 W J. Pinnington Jones 2–0T. Machač 1 of last 5
L M. Rottgering 0–2 L P. Carreño Busta 0–2 L A. Zverev 0–3 W Z. Bergs 3–0 L D. Medvedev W/OWin probability
T. SamuelT. Machač
63%
Model confidence
Why the model thinks so
- Better ranking (+51 places)
- Better on this surface
- More titles on this surface
T. Samuel
1.80
consensus price, since opening
T. Machač
2.00
consensus price, since opening
Match winnerdecimal
Bookmaker
T. Samuel
T. Machač
10bet
1.73
2.15
1xBet
1.86
2.09
888Sport
1.67 ▼
2.10 ▲
Bet365
1.62 ▼
2.30 ▲
Betsson
1.65 ▼
2.19 ▲
Bwin
–
2.18
Interwetten
1.65 ▼
2.20 ▲
Marathon
1.68 ▼
2.19 ▲
Novibet
1.68 ▼
2.25 ▲
SportingBet
1.65
–
Unibet
–
2.11 ▲
William Hill
1.73 ▼
2.20
fonbet
1.70 ▼
2.20 ▲
Consensus
1.56 ▼
2.09 ▼
T. Samuel at 1.80
80%
win rate at similar odds (5 matches) · market implies 56% · value signal
O/U Games 39.50Full Match
Bookmaker
Over
Under
Betsson
1.90 ▲
1.77 ▼
Interwetten
1.90 ▲
1.80 ▼
Marathon
1.77
1.95
Novibet
1.78
1.93
Consensus
1.84 ▲
1.86 ▼
O/U Games 40.50Full Match
Bookmaker
Over
Under
Bet365
1.83
1.83
Betsson
1.83
1.83
Interwetten
1.85
1.85
Marathon
1.87
1.87
Novibet
1.85
1.83
Consensus
1.85
1.84
Games Handicap -1.50Full Match
Bookmaker
T. Samuel
T. Machač
888Sport
1.80
1.91
Bet365
1.83
1.83
Betsson
1.83
1.88
Interwetten
1.85
1.85
Novibet
1.80
1.90
Unibet
1.97
1.88
Consensus
1.85
1.88
Games Handicap -1.00Full Match
Bookmaker
T. Samuel
T. Machač
10bet
1.90
1.95
Consensus
1.90
1.95
Games Handicap -0.50Full Match
Bookmaker
T. Samuel
T. Machač
Betsson
1.84
1.87
Betway
1.80
1.91
Interwetten
1.85
1.85
Unibet
1.84
1.87
Consensus
1.83
1.87
Odd/Even GamesFull Match
Bookmaker
Odd
Even
Betsson
1.85
1.85
Marathon
1.86
1.86
Novibet
1.85
1.85
Consensus
1.86 ▲
1.86 ▲
O/U Sets 3.50Full Match
Bookmaker
Over
Under
1xBet
1.44
2.62
Betsson
1.46 ▲
2.55 ▼
Marathon
1.44
2.61 ▼
Novibet
1.43 ▲
2.65
William Hill
1.53
2.50
fonbet
1.45
2.70
Consensus
1.46 ▲
2.60 ▼
Set Handicap -2.50Full Match
Bookmaker
T. Samuel
T. Machač
10bet
4.00 ▼
1.18 ▲
1xBet
4.60
1.17
Betsson
3.85 ▼
1.22 ▲
Betway
4.00
1.25
Interwetten
3.80 ▼
1.22 ▲
Unibet
4.20 ▼
1.21 ▲
fonbet
4.05 ▼
1.20 ▲
Consensus
3.98 ▼
1.21 ▲
O/U Double Faults 10.50Full Match
Bookmaker
Over
Under
Novibet
1.35
2.95
Consensus
1.35
2.95
O/U Tie Breaks 0.50Full Match
Bookmaker
Over
Under
Novibet
1.55
2.30
Consensus
1.55
2.30
Match Winner1st Set
Bookmaker
T. Samuel
T. Machač
10bet
1.73 ▼
2.00 ▲
1xBet
1.81
1.91
888Sport
1.67 ▼
–
Bet365
1.73 ▼
2.10 ▲
Betsson
1.72 ▼
2.07 ▲
Betway
1.73
–
Interwetten
1.70 ▼
2.05 ▲
Marathon
1.77 ▼
1.92 ▲
Novibet
1.78 ▼
2.00 ▲
Unibet
1.78
2.00
William Hill
1.70 ▼
2.10 ▲
fonbet
1.77 ▼
2.05 ▲
Consensus
1.73 ▼
1.84 ▲
O/U Games 7.501st Set
Bookmaker
Over
Under
1xBet
1.01
10.20
Marathon
1.01
10.25
Novibet
1.06 ▲
7.50 ▼
Consensus
1.04 ▼
8.88 ▲
Games Handicap -2.501st Set
Bookmaker
T. Samuel
T. Machač
Unibet
3.90
1.23
William Hill
2.75
1.40
Consensus
3.33 ▲
1.32 ▼
Odd/Even Games1st Set
Bookmaker
Odd
Even
1xBet
1.74
2.00
Marathon
1.74
2.00 ▲
Novibet
1.78 ▼
1.90 ▲
Consensus
1.76
1.95
Player O/U Games 3.501st Set
Bookmaker
Over
Under
William Hill
1.14
4.75
Consensus
1.14
4.75
Match Winner2nd Set
Bookmaker
T. Samuel
T. Machač
1xBet
1.81
1.91
888Sport
1.73
2.05 ▲
Betway
1.73
2.00 ▲
Interwetten
1.70 ▼
2.05 ▲
Marathon
1.70 ▼
2.05 ▲
Novibet
1.72 ▼
2.05 ▲
Unibet
1.75
2.03 ▲
William Hill
1.73
–
Consensus
1.63 ▼
1.89 ▲
O/U Games 7.502nd Set
Bookmaker
Over
Under
Novibet
1.05
8.00
Consensus
1.05
8.00
Games Handicap -1.502nd Set
Bookmaker
T. Samuel
T. Machač
Marathon
2.16
1.56 ▲
Novibet
2.05 ▼
1.67 ▲
Consensus
2.11
1.62 ▼
Odd/Even Games2nd Set
Bookmaker
Odd
Even
Marathon
1.80 ▲
1.94
Novibet
1.83
1.85
Consensus
1.82 ▲
1.90
Player O/U Games 4.502nd Set
Bookmaker
Over
Under
1xBet
1.39
–
Marathon
1.35 ▼
2.93 ▲
Consensus
1.35 ▼
2.93 ▲
Player O/U Games 5.502nd Set
Bookmaker
Over
Under
Marathon
1.48
2.62
Consensus
1.48
2.62