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Match facts
Tournament
US Open, Women
Category
Grandslam
Round
Round of 128
Surface
hard
Key factors
Ranking
Jessica Pegula is ranked 60 places higher
Surface
Jessica Pegula wins +19% more on this surface
Form
Jessica Pegula comes in with better momentum
Recent form
J. Pegula 4 of last 5
L C. Gauff 0–2 W I. Świątek 2–1 W A. Anisimova 2–1 W S. Cirstea 2–1 W E. Navarro 2–0E. Ruse 2 of last 5
L A. Eala 0–1 W M. Linette 2–0 L A. Potapova 0–2 W P. Stearns 2–0 L K. Quevedo 0–2Win probability
J. PegulaE. Ruse
81%
Model confidence
Why the model thinks so
- Better ranking (+60 places)
- 3 tiers above
- Dominant on this surface (69% win rate)
- Better recent form
J. Pegula
1.13
consensus price, since opening
E. Ruse
6.00
consensus price, since opening
Match winnerdecimal
Bookmaker
J. Pegula
E. Ruse
Gamdom
1.10
8.20
Consensus
1.13
6.00
J. Pegula at 1.13
95%
win rate at similar odds (21 matches) · market implies 88% · value signal