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Match facts
Tournament
US Open, Women
Category
Grandslam
Round
Round of 128
Surface
hard
Recent form
M. Kessler 1 of last 5
L C. McNally 0–2 L A. Kalinskaya 1–2 W C. Brace 2–0 L R. Zarazúa 0–2 L A. Sabalenka 0–2E. Alexandrova 2 of last 5
L C. Tauson 1–2 L S. Bejlek 1–2 W A. Blinkova 2–1 L E. Svitolina 1–2 W A. Sabalenka 2–1Win probability
M. KesslerE. Alexandrova
54%
Model confidence
Why the model thinks so
- Better ranking (+46 places)
- 2 tiers above
- More effective serve
- Better on break points
M. Kessler
2.75
2.38
▼
consensus price, since opening
E. Alexandrova
1.44
1.57
▲
consensus price, since opening
Match winnerdecimal
Bookmaker
M. Kessler
E. Alexandrova
Bet365
2.38
1.57
Betsson
2.31 ▼
1.58 ▲
Interwetten
2.30 ▼
1.60 ▲
Novibet
2.40 ▼
1.58 ▲
Consensus
2.35 ▼
1.58 ▲
E. Alexandrova at 1.57
71%
win rate at similar odds (7 matches) · market implies 64% · value signal
O/U Games 21.50Full Match
Bookmaker
Over
Under
Betsson
1.73 ▼
1.94 ▲
Interwetten
1.75 ▼
1.95 ▲
Novibet
1.75
1.98
Consensus
1.74 ▼
1.96 ▲
O/U Games 22.50Full Match
Bookmaker
Over
Under
Bet365
1.91
1.80
Betsson
1.97 ▲
1.71 ▼
Interwetten
1.95
1.75
Novibet
1.93
1.78
Consensus
1.94 ▲
1.76 ▼
Games Handicap 2.50Full Match
Bookmaker
M. Kessler
E. Alexandrova
Bet365
1.83
1.83
Betsson
1.93 ▲
1.78 ▼
Interwetten
1.90
1.80
Novibet
1.90 ▲
1.80
Consensus
1.89 ▲
1.80 ▼
Odd/Even GamesFull Match
Bookmaker
Odd
Even
Betsson
1.83 ▼
1.87
Consensus
1.83 ▼
1.87
O/U Sets 2.50Full Match
Bookmaker
Over
Under
Betsson
2.41 ▲
1.50 ▼
Novibet
2.30 ▲
1.58
Consensus
2.36 ▲
1.54 ▼
Set Handicap -1.50Full Match
Bookmaker
M. Kessler
E. Alexandrova
Betsson
3.60 ▼
1.25 ▲
Interwetten
3.60 ▼
1.25 ▲
Consensus
3.60 ▼
1.25 ▲
Player O/U Games 11.50Full Match
Bookmaker
Over
Under
Betsson
1.69 ▲
2.05 ▼
Interwetten
1.70 ▲
2.05 ▼
Novibet
1.64 ▲
2.15 ▲
Consensus
1.68 ▲
2.08
O/U Double Faults 6.50Full Match
Bookmaker
Over
Under
Novibet
1.20
4.00
Consensus
1.20
4.00
O/U Tie Breaks 0.50Full Match
Bookmaker
Over
Under
Novibet
3.00 ▼
1.36 ▲
Consensus
3.00 ▼
1.36 ▲
Match Winner1st Set
Bookmaker
M. Kessler
E. Alexandrova
Bet365
2.20
1.67
Betsson
2.20 ▼
1.64 ▲
Interwetten
2.20
1.60
Novibet
2.20
1.66 ▲
Consensus
2.20
1.64 ▲
O/U Games 7.501st Set
Bookmaker
Over
Under
Novibet
1.12
5.50
Consensus
1.12
5.50
Games Handicap 1.501st Set
Bookmaker
M. Kessler
E. Alexandrova
Betsson
1.87 ▲
1.83 ▼
Interwetten
1.85
1.85
Novibet
1.83
1.83
Consensus
1.85 ▲
1.84 ▼
Odd/Even Games1st Set
Bookmaker
Odd
Even
Betsson
1.85
1.85
Novibet
1.98
1.72
Consensus
1.98 ▲
1.72 ▼
Player O/U Games 5.501st Set
Bookmaker
Over
Under
Novibet
1.88
1.81
Consensus
1.88
1.81
Player O/U Games 11.501st Set
Bookmaker
Over
Under
Betsson
1.68
2.07
Interwetten
1.70
2.05
Novibet
1.60
2.10
Consensus
1.66
2.07
Match Winner2nd Set
Bookmaker
M. Kessler
E. Alexandrova
Interwetten
2.20
1.60
Novibet
2.15 ▼
1.64 ▲
Consensus
2.18 ▼
1.62 ▲
O/U Games 6.502nd Set
Bookmaker
Over
Under
Novibet
1.02
10.50
Consensus
1.02
10.50
O/U Games 7.502nd Set
Bookmaker
Over
Under
Novibet
1.11
5.50
Consensus
1.11
5.50
Games Handicap 1.502nd Set
Bookmaker
M. Kessler
E. Alexandrova
Novibet
1.90
1.83
Consensus
1.90
1.83
Games Handicap 2.502nd Set
Bookmaker
M. Kessler
E. Alexandrova
Betsson
1.90
1.80
Interwetten
1.90
1.80
Novibet
1.85
1.80
Consensus
1.88
1.80
Odd/Even Games2nd Set
Bookmaker
Odd
Even
Betsson
1.85
1.85
Novibet
2.00
1.72
Consensus
2.00 ▲
1.72 ▼
Player O/U Games 11.502nd Set
Bookmaker
Over
Under
Betsson
1.69 ▲
2.05 ▼
Interwetten
1.70 ▲
2.05 ▼
Novibet
1.64 ▲
2.15 ▲
Consensus
1.68 ▲
2.08