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Match facts
Tournament
US Open, Men
Category
Grandslam
Round
Round of 64
Surface
hard
Key factors
Ranking
Carlos Alcaraz is ranked 69 places higher
Surface
Carlos Alcaraz wins +33% more on this surface
Recent form
J. Faria 4 of last 5
W J. Brooksby 3–2 L L. Musetti 0–2 W A. Walton 2–1 W B. Shelton 2–0 W J. Brooksby 2–0C. Alcaraz 3 of last 5
W R. Safiullin 3–0 L T. Machač W/O W O. Virtanen 2–0 L J. Sinner 0–2 W V. Vacherot 2–0Win probability
J. FariaC. Alcaraz
88%
Model confidence
Why the model thinks so
- Better ranking (+69 places)
- 3 tiers above
- Dominant on this surface (86% win rate)
- More titles on this surface
J. Faria
7.00
consensus price, since opening
C. Alcaraz
1.10
consensus price, since opening
Match winnerdecimal
Bookmaker
J. Faria
C. Alcaraz
10bet
8.00 ▲
1.06
1xBet
9.30
1.07
888Sport
8.00 ▲
1.06 ▼
Bet365
8.00 ▲
1.08 ▼
Betsson
7.90 ▲
1.07 ▼
Betway
9.00 ▲
1.07 ▼
Bwin
8.25 ▲
1.07 ▼
Interwetten
8.00 ▲
1.07 ▼
Marathon
8.30 ▲
1.07
Novibet
8.50 ▲
1.10
SportingBet
8.25 ▲
1.07 ▼
Unibet
8.00 ▲
1.08
Consensus
8.29 ▼
1.07 ▼
C. Alcaraz at 1.10
91%
win rate at similar odds (23 matches) · market implies 91% · value signal
O/U Games 33.50Full Match
Bookmaker
Over
Under
10bet
1.90
1.83 ▼
1xBet
1.91
1.94
888Sport
1.80
1.91
Bet365
1.83
1.83
Betsson
1.87 ▲
1.80 ▼
Betway
1.83
1.83
Interwetten
1.90 ▲
1.80 ▼
Marathon
1.85 ▲
1.88 ▼
Novibet
1.80
1.90
Unibet
1.93 ▲
1.85 ▼
Consensus
1.86 ▲
1.86
O/U Games 34.00Full Match
Bookmaker
Over
Under
10bet
1.90 ▲
1.85 ▼
Marathon
1.89 ▲
1.82 ▼
Consensus
1.90 ▲
1.84 ▼
Games Handicap 7.00Full Match
Bookmaker
J. Faria
C. Alcaraz
10bet
1.90 ▲
1.80 ▼
1xBet
1.77
1.95
Consensus
1.84 ▼
1.88 ▲
Odd/Even GamesFull Match
Bookmaker
Odd
Even
10bet
2.05 ▼
1.70 ▲
1xBet
1.86
1.86
Betsson
2.06
1.68 ▼
Marathon
1.86
1.86
Novibet
2.00
1.72
Unibet
2.07 ▲
1.68 ▼
Consensus
1.98 ▼
1.76 ▲
O/U Sets 3.50Full Match
Bookmaker
Over
Under
1xBet
1.99
1.75
Betsson
1.91 ▲
1.80 ▼
Betway
2.05 ▲
1.70 ▼
Marathon
1.99 ▲
1.75 ▼
Novibet
1.90
1.80 ▼
Unibet
2.11
1.67 ▼
fonbet
2.07 ▲
1.70 ▼
Consensus
2.00 ▲
1.74 ▼
Set Handicap -2.50Full Match
Bookmaker
J. Faria
C. Alcaraz
Unibet
21.00 ▲
1.00
fonbet
15.00 ▲
1.01
Consensus
18.00 ▲
1.01
Player O/U Games 12.50Full Match
Bookmaker
Over
Under
1xBet
1.62
2.16
Marathon
1.62
2.16
Novibet
1.67
2.12
Unibet
1.78 ▲
2.01 ▼
Consensus
1.67 ▼
2.11
O/U Double Faults 10.50Full Match
Bookmaker
Over
Under
Betsson
1.85
1.85
Consensus
1.85
1.85
Match Winner1st Set
Bookmaker
J. Faria
C. Alcaraz
10bet
4.00
1.22
1xBet
3.54
1.26
888Sport
4.00 ▲
1.22 ▼
Bet365
4.33 ▲
1.22 ▼
Betsson
4.08 ▲
1.22 ▼
Betway
4.00 ▲
1.22 ▼
Bwin
3.90 ▲
1.22 ▼
Interwetten
3.80 ▼
1.22 ▲
Marathon
3.54 ▲
1.26 ▼
Novibet
3.95
1.25
SportingBet
3.90 ▲
1.22 ▼
Unibet
4.10 ▲
1.23 ▲
Consensus
3.93 ▲
1.23 ▼
O/U Games 6.501st Set
Bookmaker
Over
Under
Novibet
1.01
12.00
Consensus
1.01
12.00
O/U Games 7.501st Set
Bookmaker
Over
Under
1xBet
1.08
7.10
Marathon
1.04
7.70 ▲
Novibet
1.07
7.00
fonbet
1.07
7.00 ▲
Consensus
1.07 ▲
7.20 ▲
Games Handicap -2.501st Set
Bookmaker
J. Faria
C. Alcaraz
fonbet
9.00 ▲
1.04 ▼
Consensus
9.00 ▲
1.04 ▼
Odd/Even Games1st Set
Bookmaker
Odd
Even
1xBet
1.79
1.94
Marathon
1.79 ▼
1.94 ▲
Novibet
1.87
1.83
Consensus
1.82 ▼
1.90 ▲
Player O/U Games 3.501st Set
Bookmaker
Over
Under
1xBet
1.57
2.25
Marathon
1.57 ▼
2.25 ▲
Consensus
1.57 ▼
2.25 ▲
Match Winner2nd Set
Bookmaker
J. Faria
C. Alcaraz
1xBet
4.05
1.21
888Sport
3.75 ▲
1.25 ▼
Betway
4.00 ▲
1.22 ▼
Bwin
4.40 ▲
1.19 ▼
Interwetten
4.00 ▲
1.20 ▼
Marathon
4.05 ▲
1.21 ▼
Novibet
3.95 ▲
1.22 ▼
SportingBet
4.40 ▲
1.19 ▼
Unibet
4.20 ▲
1.22 ▼
Consensus
4.09 ▲
1.21 ▼
O/U Games 7.502nd Set
Bookmaker
Over
Under
Novibet
1.07
7.00
Consensus
1.07
7.00
Games Handicap 1.502nd Set
Bookmaker
J. Faria
C. Alcaraz
1xBet
2.69
1.41
Marathon
2.69 ▲
1.41 ▼
Consensus
2.69 ▲
1.41 ▼
Odd/Even Games2nd Set
Bookmaker
Odd
Even
1xBet
1.88
1.84
Marathon
1.88 ▼
1.84
Novibet
1.87
1.80
Consensus
1.88
1.83 ▲
Player O/U Games 3.502nd Set
Bookmaker
Over
Under
1xBet
1.60
2.22
Marathon
1.60 ▼
2.22 ▲
Consensus
1.60 ▼
2.22 ▲