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Match facts
Tournament
US Open, Men
Category
Grandslam
Round
Quarterfinals
Surface
hard
Recent form
F. Tiafoe 4 of last 5
W D. Medvedev 3–0 W V. Vacherot 3–0 W R. Sakamoto 3–0 W M. Damm Jr 3–2 L A. Fils 1–2A. Michelsen 4 of last 5
W T. Etcheverry 3–0 W D. Merida 3–0 W B. Nakashima 3–0 W F. Cinà 3–0 L T. Fritz 0–2Win probability
F. TiafoeA. Michelsen
60%
Model confidence
Why the model thinks so
- Better ranking (+34 places)
- More effective serve
- Better on break points
F. Tiafoe
1.73
1.62
▼
consensus price, since opening
A. Michelsen
2.10
2.30
▲
consensus price, since opening
Match winnerdecimal
Bookmaker
F. Tiafoe
A. Michelsen
10bet
1.65 ▲
2.20 ▼
1xBet
1.65 ▼
2.29 ▲
888Sport
1.67 ▲
2.20 ▼
Bet365
1.67 ▲
2.20 ▼
Betano
1.65
2.27 ▲
Betsson
1.64 ▲
2.20 ▼
Betway
1.65 ▼
2.30 ▲
Bwin
1.65 ▼
2.25 ▲
Interwetten
1.65 ▲
2.20 ▼
Marathon
1.64 ▼
2.27 ▲
Novibet
1.67 ▼
2.30
SportingBet
1.65 ▼
2.25 ▲
Unibet
1.67 ▲
2.24 ▲
William Hill
1.67 ▲
2.20 ▼
fonbet
1.62
2.30
Consensus
1.65 ▼
2.24 ▼
F. Tiafoe at 1.62
60%
win rate at similar odds (10 matches) · market implies 62%
A. Michelsen at 2.30
50%
win rate at similar odds (6 matches) · market implies 43% · value signal
O/U Games 40.00Full Match
Bookmaker
Over
Under
10bet
1.85
1.90
1xBet
1.92 ▲
1.85 ▼
Marathon
1.92 ▲
1.85 ▼
Consensus
1.90 ▲
1.87
Games Handicap -2.00Full Match
Bookmaker
F. Tiafoe
A. Michelsen
10bet
1.85 ▲
1.85
1xBet
1.89 ▲
1.88 ▼
Consensus
1.87 ▲
1.87
Odd/Even GamesFull Match
Bookmaker
Odd
Even
10bet
1.90
1.80
1xBet
1.89
1.89
Betsson
1.89
1.82 ▲
Marathon
1.89
1.89
Unibet
1.94 ▼
1.87 ▲
William Hill
1.85
1.85
Consensus
1.89
1.85 ▼
O/U Sets 3.50Full Match
Bookmaker
Over
Under
1xBet
1.48
2.61
Betano
1.47 ▼
2.50 ▲
Betsson
1.44
2.60
Betway
1.44
2.60
Marathon
1.48
2.61
Novibet
1.42
2.70
Unibet
1.44
2.60
William Hill
1.44 ▼
2.63 ▲
fonbet
1.45
2.60
Consensus
1.45 ▼
2.61 ▲
Set Handicap -2.50Full Match
Bookmaker
F. Tiafoe
A. Michelsen
10bet
4.00
1.20
1xBet
4.15 ▲
1.22 ▼
Betano
3.90
1.25
Betsson
3.90 ▲
1.22 ▼
Betway
4.00
1.22
Interwetten
3.80
1.22
Unibet
3.90 ▲
1.21 ▼
William Hill
4.00
1.22
fonbet
3.95
1.23
Consensus
3.96 ▲
1.22 ▼
Player O/U Games 18.50Full Match
Bookmaker
Over
Under
William Hill
1.36 ▼
3.00 ▲
Consensus
1.36 ▼
3.00 ▲
Player O/U Games 19.50Full Match
Bookmaker
Over
Under
1xBet
1.58
2.32
Marathon
1.58
2.32
Unibet
1.60
2.18
William Hill
1.53
2.38
Consensus
1.57
2.30
O/U Double Faults 6.50Full Match
Bookmaker
Over
Under
Novibet
1.30
3.20
Consensus
1.30
3.20
O/U Tie Breaks 0.50Full Match
Bookmaker
Over
Under
1xBet
1.53
2.38
Betano
1.39
2.77
Novibet
1.46
2.55
Consensus
1.43 ▼
2.66 ▲
Match Winner1st Set
Bookmaker
F. Tiafoe
A. Michelsen
10bet
1.73 ▲
2.05 ▼
1xBet
1.74 ▼
2.07 ▲
888Sport
1.70 ▼
2.05 ▲
Bet365
1.80 ▲
2.00 ▼
Betano
1.70
2.07
Betsson
1.72 ▲
2.07 ▼
Betway
1.73 ▲
2.00 ▼
Bwin
1.67 ▼
2.10 ▲
Interwetten
1.85 ▲
2.15 ▲
Marathon
1.74 ▼
2.07 ▲
Novibet
1.77 ▲
2.00 ▼
SportingBet
1.67 ▼
2.10 ▲
Unibet
1.72 ▲
2.06 ▼
William Hill
1.70 ▼
2.05 ▲
fonbet
1.73 ▼
2.10
Consensus
1.73 ▲
2.06 ▲
O/U Games 7.501st Set
Bookmaker
Over
Under
1xBet
1.03 ▲
10.50 ▼
Interwetten
1.04
10.00
Marathon
1.03
9.90 ▲
Novibet
1.03
9.00
William Hill
1.04 ▼
10.00 ▲
fonbet
1.03
9.50
Consensus
1.03 ▲
9.82 ▲
Games Handicap -3.501st Set
Bookmaker
F. Tiafoe
A. Michelsen
fonbet
6.50
1.08
Consensus
6.50
1.08
Games Handicap -2.501st Set
Bookmaker
F. Tiafoe
A. Michelsen
1xBet
3.70
1.26
Marathon
3.70
1.26
William Hill
4.33
1.20
Consensus
3.91
1.24
Odd/Even Games1st Set
Bookmaker
Odd
Even
1xBet
1.81 ▲
1.98 ▼
Marathon
1.81 ▲
1.98 ▼
Novibet
1.75
1.95
Consensus
1.79 ▲
1.97 ▼
Player O/U Games 3.501st Set
Bookmaker
Over
Under
William Hill
1.22 ▲
4.00 ▼
Consensus
1.22 ▲
4.00 ▼
Match Winner2nd Set
Bookmaker
F. Tiafoe
A. Michelsen
1xBet
1.72 ▼
2.10 ▲
888Sport
1.73 ▲
2.00 ▼
Betano
1.70
2.07
Betway
1.73 ▲
2.00 ▼
Bwin
1.72
2.05
Interwetten
1.70
2.15 ▲
Marathon
1.72 ▼
2.10 ▲
Novibet
1.70
2.05 ▼
SportingBet
1.72
2.05
Unibet
1.72 ▲
2.05 ▼
William Hill
1.73 ▲
2.00 ▼
Consensus
1.72 ▲
2.06 ▲
O/U Games 7.502nd Set
Bookmaker
Over
Under
1xBet
1.03
9.80 ▼
Marathon
1.03
9.80 ▲
Novibet
1.03
9.00
Consensus
1.03 ▲
9.53 ▼
Games Handicap -2.502nd Set
Bookmaker
F. Tiafoe
A. Michelsen
1xBet
3.54 ▼
1.27 ▲
Marathon
3.54 ▼
1.27 ▲
Consensus
3.54 ▼
1.27 ▲
Odd/Even Games2nd Set
Bookmaker
Odd
Even
1xBet
1.86 ▲
1.92 ▼
Marathon
1.86 ▲
1.92 ▼
Novibet
1.75
1.95
Consensus
1.82 ▲
1.93 ▼
Player O/U Games 4.502nd Set
Bookmaker
Over
Under
1xBet
1.37
2.99 ▼
Marathon
1.37
2.99 ▲
Consensus
1.37 ▲
2.99 ▲