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Match facts
Tournament
Porto 2, Portugal
Category
Challenger
Round
Qualification Round 1
Surface
clay
Key factors
Ranking
Pyotr Nesterov is ranked 164 places higher
Form
Radu Albot comes in with better momentum
Serve
Radu Albot has the stronger first serve
Recent form
P. Nesterov 2 of last 5
L C. Taberner 1–2 L Y. Milev 1–2 L G. Piraino 0–2 W R. M. Papoe 2–0 W A. Andreev 2–0R. Albot 3 of last 5
L Y. Erel 0–2 W G. Kravchenko 2–0 W R. D. Turcanu 2–1 W A. Braynin 2–1 L L. Rossi 1–2Win probability
P. NesterovR. Albot
54%
Model confidence
Why the model thinks so
- Ranked far higher (+164 places)
- Better on break points
P. Nesterov
1.53
consensus price, since opening
R. Albot
2.38
consensus price, since opening
Match winnerdecimal
Bookmaker
P. Nesterov
R. Albot
Gamdom
1.56
2.34
Consensus
1.53
2.38
P. Nesterov at 1.53
88%
win rate at similar odds (8 matches) · market implies 65% · value signal