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Match facts
Tournament
Porto 2, Portugal
Category
Challenger
Round
Round of 32
Surface
clay
Key factors
Ranking
Otto Virtanen is ranked 229 places higher
Recent form
O. Virtanen 2 of last 5
L V. Vacherot 1–2 W L. Catarina 2–0 L A. Rublev 2–3 L G. Dimitrov W/O W J. Pinnington Jones 2–1T. Pereira 2 of last 5
L P. Tsitsipas 1–2 L F. Pieczonka 1–2 W R. Molleker 2–1 W I. Lopez Morillo 2–1 L G. Olivieri 0–2Win probability
O. VirtanenT. Pereira
75%
Model confidence
Why the model thinks so
- Ranked far higher (+229 places)
- Better on break points
- Strong in tiebreaks (75%)
O. Virtanen
1.18
consensus price, since opening
T. Pereira
4.50
consensus price, since opening
Match winnerdecimal
Bookmaker
O. Virtanen
T. Pereira
Gamdom
1.17
4.40
Consensus
1.18
4.50
O. Virtanen at 1.18
90%
win rate at similar odds (10 matches) · market implies 85% · value signal