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Match facts
Tournament
Ningbo, China
Category
Wta500
Round
Round of 16
Surface
hard
Key factors
Ranking
Leylah Fernandez is ranked 92 places higher
Surface
Leylah Fernandez wins +21% more on this surface
Form
Aliaksandra Sasnovich comes in with better momentum
Recent form
L. Fernandez 3 of last 5
W E. Mertens 2–1 L J. Ostapenko 1–2 W H. Shi 2–0 W E. Alexandrova 2–1 L K. Rakhimova 1–2A. Sasnovich 4 of last 5
W D. Kasatkina 2–0 W A. Kalinina 0–0 W A. Bondár 2–0 L E. Kalieva 0–2 W L. Fruhvirtová 2–0Head to head
L
WTA 125K Vic, Spain Women Singles · Apr 2025 · clay
1–2
W/L from L. Fernandez's perspective.
Win probability
L. FernandezA. Sasnovich
72%
Model confidence
Why the model thinks so
- Better ranking (+92 places)
- 2 tiers above
- Dominant on this surface (65% win rate)
- More titles on this surface
L. Fernandez
1.50
consensus price, since opening
A. Sasnovich
2.63
consensus price, since opening
Match winnerdecimal
Bookmaker
L. Fernandez
A. Sasnovich
10bet
1.42 ▼
2.70 ▲
1xBet
1.46 ▼
2.80 ▲
888Sport
1.44 ▼
2.75 ▲
Bet365
1.44 ▼
2.75 ▲
Betano
1.47
2.70
Betsson
1.45 ▼
2.70 ▲
Betway
1.44
2.75
Bwin
1.48
2.60
Interwetten
1.45 ▼
2.70 ▲
Novibet
1.46 ▼
2.75 ▲
SportingBet
1.48
2.60
Unibet
1.44 ▼
2.65 ▲
Vistabet
1.48
2.60
William Hill
1.44 ▼
2.75 ▲
fonbet
1.45 ▼
2.75 ▲
Consensus
1.45 ▼
2.70 ▼
L. Fernandez at 1.50
61%
win rate at similar odds (18 matches) · market implies 67%
A. Sasnovich at 2.63
40%
win rate at similar odds (5 matches) · market implies 38% · value signal
O/U Games 21.50Full Match
Bookmaker
Over
Under
1xBet
1.83
1.83
888Sport
1.91 ▲
1.80 ▼
Bet365
1.91 ▲
1.80 ▼
Betsson
1.91 ▲
1.80 ▼
Betway
1.90 ▲
1.80 ▼
Interwetten
1.90 ▲
1.80 ▼
Novibet
1.91 ▲
1.80 ▼
Unibet
1.91 ▲
1.80 ▼
William Hill
1.91 ▲
1.80 ▼
Consensus
1.90 ▲
1.80 ▼
Games Handicap -3.50Full Match
Bookmaker
L. Fernandez
A. Sasnovich
1xBet
1.92 ▲
1.93 ▲
888Sport
1.80 ▼
1.91 ▲
Bet365
1.80 ▼
1.91 ▲
Betsson
1.80 ▼
1.90 ▲
Betway
1.80 ▼
1.90 ▲
Interwetten
1.80 ▼
1.90 ▲
Novibet
1.81 ▼
1.90 ▲
Unibet
1.80 ▼
1.90 ▲
William Hill
1.80 ▼
1.91 ▲
Consensus
1.81 ▼
1.91 ▲
Odd/Even GamesFull Match
Bookmaker
Odd
Even
10bet
1.80
1.90
1xBet
1.86
1.86
Betsson
1.86
1.84 ▼
Betway
1.85 ▼
1.85 ▲
Unibet
1.86
1.84 ▼
William Hill
1.85
1.85
Consensus
1.85 ▼
1.86 ▲
O/U Sets 2.50Full Match
Bookmaker
Over
Under
1xBet
2.42
1.51
Betano
2.30
1.57
Betsson
2.50 ▲
1.47 ▼
Betway
2.30
1.50
Unibet
2.53 ▲
1.48 ▼
William Hill
2.30 ▲
1.57 ▼
fonbet
2.55 ▲
1.50
Consensus
2.41 ▲
1.51 ▼
Set Handicap -1.50Full Match
Bookmaker
L. Fernandez
A. Sasnovich
1xBet
2.11 ▼
1.66 ▲
Betano
2.15
1.65
Betsson
2.05 ▼
1.69 ▲
Betway
2.00 ▼
1.73 ▲
Interwetten
2.05 ▼
1.70 ▲
Novibet
2.05 ▼
1.68 ▲
Unibet
2.06 ▼
1.68 ▲
William Hill
2.10 ▼
1.67 ▲
fonbet
2.08 ▼
1.70 ▲
Consensus
2.07 ▼
1.68 ▲
Player O/U Games 11.50Full Match
Bookmaker
Over
Under
Novibet
1.24 ▼
3.80 ▲
Unibet
1.24 ▼
3.80 ▲
William Hill
1.22 ▼
4.00 ▲
Consensus
1.23 ▼
3.87 ▲
O/U Tie Breaks 0.50Full Match
Bookmaker
Over
Under
Betano
3.40
1.29
Novibet
3.20
1.30
Consensus
3.30
1.30
Match Winner1st Set
Bookmaker
L. Fernandez
A. Sasnovich
10bet
1.50 ▼
2.50 ▲
1xBet
1.54 ▼
2.35 ▲
888Sport
1.53
2.38
Bet365
1.50 ▼
2.63 ▲
Betano
1.52
2.42
Betsson
1.52 ▼
2.43 ▲
Betway
1.45 ▼
2.50 ▲
Interwetten
1.50 ▼
2.40 ▲
Novibet
1.53 ▼
2.45 ▲
Unibet
1.52 ▼
2.42 ▲
William Hill
1.53
2.38
fonbet
1.52 ▼
2.55 ▲
Consensus
1.51 ▼
2.45 ▲
O/U Games 6.501st Set
Bookmaker
Over
Under
10bet
1.02
15.00
Novibet
1.02 ▲
11.00 ▼
Consensus
1.02
13.00 ▼
Games Handicap -3.501st Set
Bookmaker
L. Fernandez
A. Sasnovich
William Hill
3.50
1.29
Consensus
3.50
1.29
Odd/Even Games1st Set
Bookmaker
Odd
Even
1xBet
1.94
1.79
Betway
2.00
1.73
Consensus
1.97
1.76
Player O/U Games 3.501st Set
Bookmaker
Over
Under
William Hill
1.15
4.75
Consensus
1.15
4.75
Match Winner2nd Set
Bookmaker
L. Fernandez
A. Sasnovich
1xBet
1.49 ▼
2.47 ▲
888Sport
1.53 ▼
2.38 ▲
Betano
1.52
2.42
Betway
1.50 ▼
2.40 ▲
Interwetten
1.50 ▼
2.40 ▲
Novibet
1.50 ▼
2.45 ▲
Unibet
1.52 ▼
2.45 ▲
William Hill
1.53 ▼
2.38 ▲
Consensus
1.51 ▼
2.42 ▲
O/U Games 9.502nd Set
Bookmaker
Over
Under
1xBet
2.04 ▲
1.69 ▼
Consensus
2.04 ▲
1.69 ▼
Games Handicap -1.502nd Set
Bookmaker
L. Fernandez
A. Sasnovich
1xBet
1.67 ▼
2.08 ▲
Consensus
1.67 ▼
2.08 ▲
Odd/Even Games2nd Set
Bookmaker
Odd
Even
1xBet
1.97
1.76
Consensus
1.97
1.76
Player O/U Games 5.502nd Set
Bookmaker
Over
Under
1xBet
1.38 ▼
2.85 ▲
Consensus
1.38 ▼
2.85 ▲