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Set by set
| Player | Set 1 | Set 2 | Sets |
|---|---|---|---|
| E. Rybakina | 6 | 6 | 2 |
| L. Fernandez | 2 | 2 | 0 |
Match facts
Tournament
Ningbo, China
Category
Wta500
Round
Final
Surface
hard
Court
Centre Court
City
Ningbo
First serve
L. Fernandez
Total games
12–4
Recent form
E. Rybakina · match stats · L. Fernandez
3Aces2
2Double faults3
71%First serve in62%
74%First-serve points won57%
88%Second serve in82%
50%Second-serve points won41%
100%Break points saved20%
80%Break points converted0%
49%Return points won33%
37Service points won23
22Receiver points won18
59Total points won41
12Games won4
8Service games won4
0Tiebreaks won0
8Longest point streak5
5Longest game streak1
Per set · aces & double faults
| Set | Aces | Double faults |
|---|---|---|
| Set 1 | 1–1 | 1–3 |
| Set 2 | 2–1 | 1–0 |
Figures read E. Rybakina first.
Set 238 min · 8 games · newest first
5-2
game 8
E. Rybakina serving
15-0
15-15
15-30
30-30
5-2
game 7
L. Fernandez serving
BREAK
15-0
15-15
30-15
40-15
4-2
game 6
E. Rybakina serving
15-0
30-0
30-15
40-15
3-2
game 5
L. Fernandez serving
15-0
15-15
15-30
15-40
3-1
game 4
E. Rybakina serving
15-0
15-15
30-15
40-15
40-30
40-40
A-40
40-40
40-A
40-40
40-A
40-40
A-40
2-1
game 3
L. Fernandez serving
BREAK
15-0
30-0
40-0
40-15
1-1
game 2
E. Rybakina serving
0-15
15-15
30-15
30-30
40-30
0-1
game 1
L. Fernandez serving
15-0
15-15
15-30
15-40
Set 137 min · 8 games · newest first
6-2
game 8
E. Rybakina serving
15-0
30-0
40-0
5-2
game 7
L. Fernandez serving
BREAK
15-0
15-15
15-30
30-30
40-30
4-2
game 6
E. Rybakina serving
15-0
30-0
30-15
30-30
40-30
3-2
game 5
L. Fernandez serving
BREAK
15-0
30-0
30-15
30-30
40-30
2-2
game 4
E. Rybakina serving
15-0
15-15
30-15
30-30
40-30
1-2
game 3
L. Fernandez serving
0-15
15-15
30-15
30-30
30-40
40-40
40-A
1-1
game 2
E. Rybakina serving
0-15
15-15
15-30
15-40
30-40
40-40
A-40
0-1
game 1
L. Fernandez serving
0-15
15-15
15-30
15-40
Point chips read E. Rybakina first · highlighted border marks the point winner.
Head to head
L
Tokyo · Oct 2026 · hard
W/O
W
Stuttgart · Apr 2026 · clay
2–1
W
Tokyo · Oct 2025 · hard
2–0
L
Washington · Jul 2025 · hard
1–2
W/L from E. Rybakina's perspective.
Win probability
E. RybakinaL. Fernandez
75%
Model confidence
Why the model thinks so
- 2 tiers above
- Better on this surface
- More effective serve
- Leads the head-to-head (67%)
How the model did
Predicted E. Rybakina
— correct
E. Rybakina
1.33
consensus price, since opening
L. Fernandez
3.40
consensus price, since opening
Match winnerdecimal
Bookmaker
E. Rybakina
L. Fernandez
10bet
1.29
3.50
1xBet
1.30
3.69
888Sport
1.30
3.50
Bet365
1.29
3.75
Betano
1.30
3.55
Betsson
1.28
3.55
Bwin
1.28
3.70
Interwetten
1.30
3.50
Novibet
1.29
3.65
SportingBet
1.28
3.70
Vistabet
1.28
3.70
William Hill
1.30
3.50
fonbet
1.28
3.65
Consensus
1.29
3.61 ▼
O/U Games 21.50Full Match
Bookmaker
Over
Under
10bet
1.85
1.90
1xBet
1.97 ▲
1.87 ▼
888Sport
1.80
1.91
Bet365
1.91
1.80
Betsson
1.82
1.88
Bwin
1.83
1.83
Interwetten
1.90
1.80
Novibet
1.88
1.82
SportingBet
1.83
1.83
Vistabet
1.83
1.83
William Hill
1.80
1.91
Consensus
1.86 ▲
1.85 ▼
Games Handicap -4.00Full Match
Bookmaker
E. Rybakina
L. Fernandez
10bet
1.80
1.90
1xBet
1.75 ▼
1.98 ▲
Consensus
1.78 ▼
1.94 ▲
Odd/Even GamesFull Match
Bookmaker
Odd
Even
10bet
1.83
1.83
1xBet
1.86
1.86
Betsson
1.85
1.85
William Hill
1.85
1.85
Consensus
1.85
1.85
O/U Sets 2.50Full Match
Bookmaker
Over
Under
10bet
2.50
1.48
1xBet
2.59 ▲
1.45 ▼
Betsson
2.60
1.44
William Hill
2.25 ▼
1.60 ▲
fonbet
2.70
1.45
Consensus
2.53
1.48
Set Handicap -1.50Full Match
Bookmaker
E. Rybakina
L. Fernandez
10bet
1.80
1.91
1xBet
1.81 ▼
1.91
Betano
1.80 ▼
1.93 ▲
Betsson
1.77 ▼
1.94 ▲
Bwin
1.72
1.95
Interwetten
1.75
1.95
Novibet
1.75 ▼
1.97 ▲
SportingBet
1.72
1.95
Vistabet
1.72
1.95
William Hill
1.91
1.80
fonbet
1.77 ▼
2.00 ▲
Consensus
1.77 ▼
1.93 ▲
Player O/U Games 11.50Full Match
Bookmaker
Over
Under
1xBet
1.11
5.45
Novibet
1.13
5.50
William Hill
1.11
6.00
Consensus
1.12 ▲
5.65 ▼
O/U Tie Breaks 0.50Full Match
Bookmaker
Over
Under
Betano
3.25
1.29
Novibet
3.35
1.28
Consensus
3.30 ▲
1.29
Match Winner1st Set
Bookmaker
E. Rybakina
L. Fernandez
10bet
1.38
2.90
1xBet
1.40
2.77
888Sport
1.40
2.75
Bet365
1.36
3.20
Betano
1.36 ▼
2.95 ▲
Betsson
1.37
2.95 ▲
Bwin
1.36
3.00
Interwetten
1.37
2.85
Novibet
1.37 ▼
3.00 ▲
SportingBet
1.36
3.00
Vistabet
1.36
3.00
William Hill
1.40
2.75
Consensus
1.37
2.93 ▲
O/U Games 6.501st Set
Bookmaker
Over
Under
Novibet
1.01
13.50
fonbet
1.01
15.00
Consensus
1.01
14.25 ▼
Games Handicap -4.501st Set
Bookmaker
E. Rybakina
L. Fernandez
fonbet
7.30 ▼
1.06
Consensus
7.30 ▼
1.06
Odd/Even Games1st Set
Bookmaker
Odd
Even
1xBet
1.89 ▲
1.83
Consensus
1.89 ▲
1.83 ▼
Player O/U Games 3.501st Set
Bookmaker
Over
Under
William Hill
1.11 ▼
6.00 ▲
Consensus
1.11 ▼
6.00 ▲
Match Winner2nd Set
Bookmaker
E. Rybakina
L. Fernandez
1xBet
1.35
2.98
888Sport
1.40
2.75
Betano
1.36 ▼
2.95 ▲
Bwin
1.36
3.00
Interwetten
1.35 ▼
2.95 ▲
Novibet
1.37
2.95
SportingBet
1.36
3.00
Vistabet
1.36
3.00
William Hill
1.40
2.75
Consensus
1.37
2.93 ▲
O/U Games 8.502nd Set
Bookmaker
Over
Under
1xBet
1.36 ▲
2.83 ▼
Consensus
1.36 ▲
2.83 ▼
O/U Games 9.502nd Set
Bookmaker
Over
Under
1xBet
1.95
1.76
Consensus
1.95
1.76
Games Handicap -2.502nd Set
Bookmaker
E. Rybakina
L. Fernandez
1xBet
2.21 ▼
1.59 ▲
Consensus
2.21 ▼
1.59 ▲
Games Handicap -1.502nd Set
Bookmaker
E. Rybakina
L. Fernandez
1xBet
1.53
2.34
Consensus
1.53
2.34
Odd/Even Games2nd Set
Bookmaker
Odd
Even
1xBet
1.95 ▲
1.78 ▼
Consensus
1.95 ▲
1.78 ▼
Player O/U Games 4.502nd Set
Bookmaker
Over
Under
1xBet
1.20
4.10
Consensus
1.20 ▲
4.10
Player O/U Games 5.502nd Set
Bookmaker
Over
Under
1xBet
1.25
3.62
Consensus
1.25
3.62