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Match facts
Tournament
Vienna
Category
Atp500
Round
Round of 32
Surface
hard
Key factors
Form
Daniil Medvedev comes in with better momentum
Serve
Daniil Medvedev has the stronger first serve
Recent form
D. Mérida 3 of last 5
L B. Van de Zandschulp 1–2 W A. Tabilo 2–1 L A. Michelsen 0–3 W A. Rublev 3–1 W M. Fucsovics 3–0D. Medvedev 4 of last 5
W N. Basilashvili 2–1 W A. Bublik 1–0 W T. Atmane 2–0 W S. Shimabukuro 2–0 L R. Jódar 0–2Win probability
D. MéridaD. Medvedev
72%
Model confidence
Why the model thinks so
- Better ranking (+37 places)
- 2 tiers above
- More effective serve
- Better recent form
D. Mérida
4.50
consensus price, since opening
D. Medvedev
1.20
consensus price, since opening
Match winnerdecimal
Bookmaker
D. Mérida
D. Medvedev
Consensus
4.50
1.20
D. Medvedev at 1.20
84%
win rate at similar odds (37 matches) · market implies 83% · value signal