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Match facts
Tournament
Seoul, South Korea
Category
Challenger
Round
Round of 16
Surface
hard
Key factors
Ranking
Sho Shimabukuro is ranked 160 places higher
Surface
Jay Friend wins +16% more on this surface
Recent form
S. Shimabukuro 2 of last 5
W J. Kumstat 2–0 L D. Medvedev 0–2 W R. Safiullin 2–1 L M. Kecmanović 0–2 L D. Shapovalov 0–2J. Friend 3 of last 5
W A. Holmgren 2–0 L C. Wong 0–2 W J. McCabe 2–1 W O. Milić 2–1 L A. Shevchenko 0–2Win probability
S. ShimabukuroJ. Friend
60%
Model confidence
Why the model thinks so
- Ranked far higher (+160 places)
- More titles on this surface
- Better on break points
- Strong in tiebreaks (58%)
S. Shimabukuro
1.73
consensus price, since opening
J. Friend
2.00
consensus price, since opening
Match winnerdecimal
Bookmaker
S. Shimabukuro
J. Friend
Bet365
1.73
2.00
Betsson
1.73 ▲
2.00 ▼
Bwin
1.70 ▼
2.05 ▲
Interwetten
1.75 ▲
1.95 ▼
Novibet
1.72
2.00
SportingBet
1.70 ▼
2.05 ▲
Vistabet
1.70 ▼
2.05 ▲
fonbet
1.73 ▲
2.05 ▼
Consensus
1.72 ▼
2.02 ▼
S. Shimabukuro at 1.73
64%
win rate at similar odds (11 matches) · market implies 58% · value signal
O/U Games 22.50Full Match
Bookmaker
Over
Under
10bet
1.95
1.80
1xBet
1.83 ▲
1.85 ▼
888Sport
1.91 ▲
1.80 ▼
Bet365
1.80
1.91
Betsson
1.91 ▲
1.80 ▼
Bwin
1.90
1.78
Novibet
1.80
1.90
SportingBet
1.90
1.78
Vistabet
1.90
1.78
William Hill
1.91 ▲
1.80 ▼
Consensus
1.88 ▲
1.82 ▼
Games Handicap -1.50Full Match
Bookmaker
S. Shimabukuro
J. Friend
1xBet
1.86
1.82
888Sport
1.80
1.91
Bet365
1.91
1.80
Betsson
1.83
1.88
Interwetten
1.85
1.85
Novibet
1.87
1.83
William Hill
1.85
1.85
Consensus
1.85
1.85
Games Handicap -1.00Full Match
Bookmaker
S. Shimabukuro
J. Friend
10bet
1.85 ▲
1.85 ▼
1xBet
1.82
1.84
Consensus
1.84 ▲
1.85 ▼
Odd/Even GamesFull Match
Bookmaker
Odd
Even
Betsson
1.85
1.85
Consensus
1.85
1.85
O/U Sets 2.50Full Match
Bookmaker
Over
Under
Betsson
2.35 ▲
1.53 ▼
fonbet
2.25
1.58
Consensus
2.30
1.56
Set Handicap -1.50Full Match
Bookmaker
S. Shimabukuro
J. Friend
Betsson
2.65 ▲
1.43 ▼
Bwin
2.60
1.42
Interwetten
2.65 ▲
1.43 ▼
SportingBet
2.60
1.42
Vistabet
2.60
1.42
fonbet
2.70 ▲
1.40 ▼
Consensus
2.63 ▲
1.42 ▼
Player O/U Games 11.50Full Match
Bookmaker
Over
Under
William Hill
1.36 ▲
3.00 ▼
Consensus
1.36 ▲
3.00 ▼
O/U Tie Breaks 0.50Full Match
Bookmaker
Over
Under
Novibet
2.20
1.53
Consensus
2.20
1.53
Match Winner1st Set
Bookmaker
S. Shimabukuro
J. Friend
Bet365
1.73
2.00
Betsson
1.76 ▲
1.96 ▼
Bwin
1.72
1.98
Interwetten
1.75 ▲
1.95 ▼
Novibet
1.72
2.00
SportingBet
1.72
1.98
Vistabet
1.72
1.98
fonbet
1.75 ▲
1.95 ▼
Consensus
1.73 ▲
1.98 ▼
O/U Games 8.501st Set
Bookmaker
Over
Under
Betsson
1.27 ▲
3.45 ▼
Bwin
1.22
3.70
Novibet
1.22
3.85
SportingBet
1.22
3.70
Vistabet
1.22
3.70
William Hill
1.30 ▼
3.40 ▲
fonbet
1.25 ▲
3.45 ▼
Consensus
1.24 ▼
3.61 ▲
Games Handicap -2.501st Set
Bookmaker
S. Shimabukuro
J. Friend
William Hill
3.00
1.36
fonbet
3.30
1.27 ▲
Consensus
3.15
1.32 ▲
Odd/Even Games1st Set
Bookmaker
Odd
Even
1xBet
1.79 ▲
1.87 ▼
Consensus
1.79 ▲
1.87 ▼
Player O/U Games 3.501st Set
Bookmaker
Over
Under
William Hill
1.22 ▲
4.00 ▼
Consensus
1.22 ▲
4.00 ▼
Match Winner2nd Set
Bookmaker
S. Shimabukuro
J. Friend
Bwin
1.72
1.95
Interwetten
1.75 ▲
1.97 ▼
Novibet
1.75 ▲
1.97 ▼
SportingBet
1.72
1.95
Vistabet
1.72
1.95
Consensus
1.73 ▲
1.96 ▼
O/U Games 7.502nd Set
Bookmaker
Over
Under
Novibet
1.06
7.00
Consensus
1.06
7.00
Games Handicap -0.502nd Set
Bookmaker
S. Shimabukuro
J. Friend
1xBet
1.72 ▲
1.93 ▼
Consensus
1.72 ▲
1.93 ▼
Odd/Even Games2nd Set
Bookmaker
Odd
Even
1xBet
1.83 ▲
1.83 ▼
Consensus
1.83 ▲
1.83 ▼
Player O/U Games 5.502nd Set
Bookmaker
Over
Under
1xBet
1.48 ▲
2.40 ▼
Consensus
1.48 ▲
2.40 ▼