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Match facts
Tournament
Helsinki, Finland
Category
Challenger
Round
Round of 32
Surface
hard
Key factors
Ranking
Shintaro Mochizuki is ranked 147 places higher
Form
Lorenzo Giustino comes in with better momentum
Recent form
S. Mochizuki 1 of last 5
L C. Hemery 1–2 L N. Budkov Kjaer 0–2 L F. Cinà 1–2 L M. Bellucci 0–2 W Y. Watanuki 2–1L. Giustino 2 of last 5
L M. Möller 1–2 W D. Blanch 2–0 W N. Tepmahc 2–0 L C. A. Caniato 0–2 L Y. Milev 1–2Win probability
S. MochizukiL. Giustino
62%
Model confidence
Why the model thinks so
- Ranked far higher (+147 places)
- Better on break points
S. Mochizuki
1.44
consensus price, since opening
L. Giustino
2.63
consensus price, since opening
Match winnerdecimal
Bookmaker
S. Mochizuki
L. Giustino
10bet
1.44
2.60
1xBet
1.43
2.62
888Sport
1.44
2.63
Bet365
1.44
2.63
Betano
1.45
2.57
Betsson
1.44
2.60
Betway
1.45
2.60
Bwin
1.44
2.60
Interwetten
1.43
2.65
Novibet
1.45
2.65
SportingBet
1.44
2.60
Unibet
1.45
2.65
Vistabet
1.44
2.60
William Hill
1.44
2.63
fonbet
1.45
2.60
Consensus
1.44 ▼
2.61 ▼
S. Mochizuki at 1.44
62%
win rate at similar odds (8 matches) · market implies 69%
L. Giustino at 2.63
40%
win rate at similar odds (5 matches) · market implies 38% · value signal
O/U Games 21.50Full Match
Bookmaker
Over
Under
1xBet
1.79
1.89
Bet365
1.80
1.91
Betsson
1.80
1.91
Novibet
1.78
1.90
Unibet
1.80
1.91
Consensus
1.80 ▲
1.91 ▲
O/U Games 22.00Full Match
Bookmaker
Over
Under
1xBet
1.88
1.78
Consensus
1.88
1.78
Games Handicap -3.50Full Match
Bookmaker
S. Mochizuki
L. Giustino
1xBet
1.89
1.79
888Sport
1.91
1.80
Bet365
1.83
1.83
Betsson
1.87
1.84
Interwetten
1.85
1.85
Novibet
1.87 ▲
1.80
Unibet
1.87
1.84
William Hill
1.91
1.80
Consensus
1.88 ▲
1.82 ▼
Odd/Even GamesFull Match
Bookmaker
Odd
Even
10bet
2.00
1.73
1xBet
1.83
1.83
Betsson
1.85
1.85
Betway
1.85 ▼
1.85 ▲
Unibet
1.85
1.85
William Hill
1.85
1.85
Consensus
1.87 ▼
1.83 ▲
O/U Sets 2.50Full Match
Bookmaker
Over
Under
1xBet
2.34
1.50
Betsson
2.48
1.48
Unibet
2.47
1.48
William Hill
2.20
1.62
fonbet
2.35
1.52
Consensus
2.37 ▼
1.52 ▲
Set Handicap -1.50Full Match
Bookmaker
S. Mochizuki
L. Giustino
1xBet
2.12
1.61
Betsson
2.06
1.68
Interwetten
2.05
1.70
Unibet
2.07
1.68
William Hill
2.25
1.60
fonbet
2.13
1.63
Consensus
2.11 ▲
1.65 ▼
Player O/U Games 11.50Full Match
Bookmaker
Over
Under
William Hill
1.22
4.00
Consensus
1.22
4.00
Player O/U Games 12.00Full Match
Bookmaker
Over
Under
1xBet
1.34
2.83
Consensus
1.34
2.83
Player O/U Games 12.50Full Match
Bookmaker
Over
Under
Novibet
1.80
1.83
Unibet
1.92
1.78
Consensus
1.86
1.81
Match Winner1st Set
Bookmaker
S. Mochizuki
L. Giustino
10bet
1.53
2.38
1xBet
1.55
2.28
888Sport
1.57
2.30
Bet365
1.50
2.50
Betsson
1.52
2.37
Betway
1.50
2.40
Interwetten
1.50
2.40
Novibet
1.50
2.50
Unibet
1.52
2.38
William Hill
1.57
2.30
fonbet
1.50
2.40
Consensus
1.52 ▲
2.38 ▼
O/U Games 8.501st Set
Bookmaker
Over
Under
Betsson
1.31
3.15
Novibet
1.32
3.10
William Hill
1.40
2.75
fonbet
1.30
3.15
Consensus
1.33 ▲
3.04 ▼
Games Handicap -3.501st Set
Bookmaker
S. Mochizuki
L. Giustino
William Hill
4.00
1.22
fonbet
4.30
1.16
Consensus
4.15
1.19
Games Handicap -2.501st Set
Bookmaker
S. Mochizuki
L. Giustino
1xBet
2.57
1.42
Consensus
2.57
1.42
Games Handicap -1.501st Set
Bookmaker
S. Mochizuki
L. Giustino
Novibet
1.72
2.00
Unibet
1.75
1.97
Consensus
1.74
1.99
Odd/Even Games1st Set
Bookmaker
Odd
Even
10bet
2.00
1.73
1xBet
1.86
1.80
Betsson
1.85
1.85
Betway
1.90 ▲
1.80 ▼
Unibet
1.85
1.85
Consensus
1.86 ▼
1.80 ▼
Player O/U Games 3.501st Set
Bookmaker
Over
Under
William Hill
1.25
3.75
Consensus
1.25
3.75
Player O/U Games 4.501st Set
Bookmaker
Over
Under
1xBet
1.31
2.97
Consensus
1.31
2.97
Player O/U Games 12.501st Set
Bookmaker
Over
Under
Novibet
1.80
1.83
Unibet
1.92
1.78
Consensus
1.86
1.81
Match Winner2nd Set
Bookmaker
S. Mochizuki
L. Giustino
1xBet
1.50
2.39
888Sport
1.53
2.38
Betway
1.50
2.40
Interwetten
1.50
2.45
Novibet
1.53
2.40
Unibet
1.48
2.45
William Hill
1.53
2.38
Consensus
1.51 ▲
2.41 ▼
O/U Games 7.502nd Set
Bookmaker
Over
Under
Novibet
1.10
5.75 ▼
Consensus
1.10
5.75 ▼
Games Handicap -3.502nd Set
Bookmaker
S. Mochizuki
L. Giustino
Bet365
1.83
1.83
Betsson
1.87
1.84
Interwetten
1.85
1.85
Novibet
1.85
1.80
Unibet
1.87
1.84
Consensus
1.85
1.83
Games Handicap -1.502nd Set
Bookmaker
S. Mochizuki
L. Giustino
1xBet
1.69
1.97
Consensus
1.69
1.97
Odd/Even Games2nd Set
Bookmaker
Odd
Even
10bet
2.00
1.73
1xBet
1.91
1.76
Betsson
1.85
1.85
Betway
1.90 ▲
1.80 ▼
Unibet
1.85
1.85
Consensus
1.91 ▲
1.76 ▼
Player O/U Games 5.502nd Set
Bookmaker
Over
Under
1xBet
1.35
2.84
Consensus
1.35
2.84
Player O/U Games 12.502nd Set
Bookmaker
Over
Under
Novibet
1.80
1.83
Unibet
1.92
1.78
Consensus
1.86
1.81