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Milan Ristic
Qingdao Hainiu
Wuhan Three Towns
Qingdao Hainiu
4-2-3-1 · 4-4-2
Wuhan Three Towns
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
59183 EUR · live
Away
1.01 · implied 99.0%
91.2%
-7.8 vs price
Home
860.0 · implied 0.1%
6.1%
+6.0 vs price
Draw
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
2.7%
+2.6 vs price
Half time
320 EUR · live
Away
3.5 · implied 28.6%
58.1%
+29.5 vs price
Draw
1.88 · implied 53.2%
32.5%
-20.7 vs price
Home
3.4 · implied 29.4%
8.8%
-20.7 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
19554 EUR · live
Under
4.1 · implied 24.4%
57.1%
+32.7 vs price
Over
1.32 · implied 75.8%
42.9%
-32.9 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
1592 EUR · live
Under
1.02 · implied 98.0%
92.3%
-5.8 vs price
Over
36.0 · implied 2.8%
7.7%
+4.9 vs price
13 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Player of the match
Match events
7'
Z. Wei · Foul
17'
X. Haofeng · Foul
24'
Y. Jin · Handball
28'
⚽
Gustavo Sauer0–1
40'
⚽
J. Cádiz · assist Gustavo Sauer0–2
Half-time · 0–2
46'
🔁
S. Wenjie ◂ S. Luo
61'
⚽
Gustavo Sauer · assist A. Firmino0–3
64'
🔁
K. Zheng ◂ G. He
65'
🔁
L. Song ◂ Y. Jin
65'
🔁
X. Liu ◂ C. Lin
66'
VAR
Goal not given after review · M. Edjouma
74'
Z. Wei · Foul
78'
⚽
K. Bevis0–4
78'
🔁
Y. Liu ◂ A. Leautey
78'
🔁
Z. Chen ◂ X. Haofeng
79'
⚽
J. Cádiz · assist A. Firmino0–5
81'
VAR
Goal check · J. Cádiz
83'
🔁
L. Chengjian ◂ Gustavo Sauer
83'
🔁
J. Wang ◂ A. Li
86'
M. Edjouma · Foul
Full-time · 1–5
90'+2
⚽
S. Wenjie · assist L. Guobao1–5
90'+2
🔁
L. Guobao ◂ M. Edjouma
90'+2
🔁
G. Ruicong ◂ C. Strandberg
Coaches
Milan RisticRicardo Soares 
Recent form
Qingdao HainiuLAShanghai Port1-2
LAShandong Taishan1-3
LHShanghai Shenhua0-1
LAQingdao West Coast0-2
LHTianjin Jinmen Tiger0-2
Wuhan Three TownsDHTianjin Jinmen Tiger0-0
LHShanghai Port2-3
DAChengdu Rongcheng1-1
WHChongqing Tonglianglong FC1-0
WHShenzhen Peng City2-0
Match facts
Stadium
Qingdao Youth Football Stadium
City
Qingdao
Referee
Kickoff
29 Aug, 09:00 UTC
Competition
Chinese Super League
Qingdao Hainiu
4-2-3-1 · 4-4-2
Wuhan Three Towns
28
P. Mu
5.7
37
Z. Wei
5.3
23
L. Song
6.2
↑ 65'
3
J. Liu
5.1
29
S. Li
19
S. Wenjie
7.8
↑ 46'
20
G. Ruicong
↑ 90'
7
Y. Yeboah
7.2
9
X. Liu
6.5
↑ 65'
34
J. Yonghao
6.6
21
L. Guobao
↑ 90'
22
J. Fang
7.0
23
M. Tian
6.8
13
K. Zheng
6.8
↑ 64'
8
J. Wang
6.4
↑ 83'
15
Z. Chen
6.2
↑ 78'
19
Y. Liu
6.3
↑ 78'
18
X. Zhang
6.5
20
A. Firmino
9.1
10
K. Bevis
7.0
12
L. Chengjian
6.4
↑ 83'
29
J. Cádiz
8.4
Substitutes
1GL. Jun
4DY. Jin↓ 65'6.2
16DH. Li
33DL. Jiashen
14DS. Zheng'ao
8MC. Lin↓ 65'6.6
31MS. Luo↓ 46'6.4
6MM. Edjouma↓ 90'6.1
24MN. Pan
10FC. Strandberg↓ 90'6.4
22FY. Cong
Coach: Milan Ristic
Substitutes
31GG. Jiayu
11DA. Li↓ 83'7.8
4DX. Haofeng↓ 78'7.1
2DG. He↓ 64'6.9
28DD. W. Yi
7MGustavo Sauer↓ 83'10.0
50MA. Leautey↓ 78'6.6
16MZ. Min
9MZ. Haoqian
21MX. Jizheng
5MS. Li
6MW. Long
Coach: Ricardo Soares
Top stats
47%Possession53%
2.69Expected goals (xG)4.05
21Total shots19
7Shots on target9
4Big chances8
7Corners5
Shots
8Shots off target6
6Blocked shots4
14Shots inside box12
7Shots outside box7
0Hit woodwork1
1Big chances scored4
3Big chances missed4
Attack
25Touches in box22
59Final third entries81
0Offsides3
11Free kicks15
2Fouled in final third4
Passing
294Passes344
217Accurate passes262
26/50 (52%)Long balls35/75 (47%)
9/26 (35%)Crosses9/17 (53%)
17Throw-ins20
Duels
49Duels51
38/78 (49%)Ground duels40/78 (51%)
15/31 (48%)Aerial duels16/31 (52%)
4/16 (25%)Dribbles10/24 (42%)
4Dispossessed10
Defending
24Tackles16
63Tackles won63
10Interceptions12
17Clearances24
55Recoveries54
Discipline
15Fouls11
5Yellow cards1
1Red cards0
Goalkeeping
4Saves5
1Big saves1
6Goal kicks12
0Punches1
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 26 bookmakers
BTTSBoth teams to score 60% · 2.80 @ William Hill
1X2Three Towns to win 38% · 2.75 @ Unibet
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 57% · 3.80 @ William Hill
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 78% · 1.88 @ 1xBet
1X2Draw 27% · 2.70 @ Unibet
CornersOver 8.5 corners 58% · 1.48 @ Unibet
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 65% · 1.59 @ 1xBet
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 54% · 1.98 @ Pinnacle
Who winsHainiu to win (DNB) 56% · 1.95 @ 888Sport
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 65% · 1.48 @ Pinnacle
1X2Hainiu to win 35% · 3.00 @ William Hill
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.62
Qingdao Hainiu
3.50
Draw
2.40
Wuhan Three Towns
Double Chanceconsensus
1.53
Qingdao Hainiu or Draw
1.25
Qingdao Hainiu or Wuhan Three Towns
1.44
Draw or Wuhan Three Towns
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.52
Yes
2.37
No
Home Win to Nilconsensus
5.00
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
5.00
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.02
Over 0.50
11.80
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.19
Over 1.50
4.27
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.65
Over 2.50
2.19
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.66
Over 3.50
1.44
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
4.82
Over 4.50
1.17
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.91
Qingdao Hainiu
1.80
Wuhan Three Towns
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.24
Over 7.50
3.45
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.47
Over 8.50
2.53
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.76
Over 9.50
1.94
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.20
Over 10.50
1.59
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
2.84
Over 11.50
1.35
Under 11.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
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