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Ariel Holan
Cerro Porteño
Palmeiras
Cerro Porteño
5-3-2 · 3-4-1-2
Palmeiras
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
981603 EUR · live
Away
1.01 · implied 99.0%
88.8%
-10.2 vs price
Home
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
6.9%
+6.8 vs price
Draw
100.0 · implied 1.0%
4.5%
+3.5 vs price
Half time
5933 EUR · live
Away
4.2 · implied 23.8%
67.2%
+43.3 vs price
Draw
1.54 · implied 64.9%
21.9%
-43.0 vs price
Home
9.0 · implied 11.1%
10.9%
-0.2 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
111441 EUR · live
Under
1.01 · implied 99.0%
85.2%
-13.8 vs price
Over
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
14.8%
+14.7 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
7231 EUR · live
Under
1.01 · implied 99.0%
92.7%
-6.3 vs price
Over
65.0 · implied 1.5%
7.3%
+5.8 vs price
13 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 2 clips
Player of the match
Match events
41'
⚽
G. Gómez · assist J. Arias0–1
Half-time · 0–1
46'
🔁
M. Klimowicz ◂ I. Ramírez
52'
F. Domínguez · Foul
53'
J. López · Foul
62'
🔁
G. Benitez ◂ M. Chaparro
62'
🔁
J. Iturbe ◂ A. Gamarra
64'
A. Ferreira · Argument
74'
🔁
Mauricio ◂ V. Roque
76'
🔁
J. Torres ◂ I. Aliseda
81'
🔁
J. Servín ◂ F. Domínguez
81'
🔁
B. Fuchs ◂ Murilo
Full-time · 0–1
90'
🔁
E. Martínez ◂ L. Evangelista
90'
🔁
L. F. Pacheco ◂ J. Arias
90'
🔁
A. Giay ◂ Allan
90'+2
J. Morel · Foul
Coaches
Ariel HolanAbel Ferreira 
Recent form
Cerro PorteñoDAPalmeiras1-1
WHClub Sporting Cristal2-0
WAPalmeiras1-0
WAJunior Barranquilla1-0
DHPalmeiras1-1
PalmeirasLAFluminense2-3
DHCerro Porteño1-1
DHInternacional0-0
LAFortaleza2-3
WHFortaleza3-0
Where to watch
sportdigital1+
Paramount+
sportdigital1+
Sportdigital+sportdigital1+
Arena Sport 1 HR
Sport TV1
Match facts
Stadium
General Pablo Rojas
City
Asuncion
Kickoff
19 Aug, 22:00 UTC
Competition
Copa Libertadores
Highlights & clips
Cerro Porteño
5-3-2 · 3-4-1-2
Palmeiras
1
M. Roffo
6.6
40
M. Klimowicz
6.7
↑ 46'
24
A. Cañete
6.9
23
G. Velázquez
6.4
14
L. Quintana
7.0
13
G. Benitez
6.8
↑ 62'
39
J. Servín
6.7
↑ 81'
11
J. Iturbe
6.4
↑ 62'
5
J. Morel
6.9
27
J. Torres
6.4
↑ 76'
19
P. Vegetti
5.8
1
C. Miguel
7.1
3
B. Fuchs
6.8
↑ 81'
15
G. Gómez
8.1
2
A. Barboza
7.6
4
A. Giay
↑ 90'
17
M. Freitas
6.8
50
L. F. Pacheco
↑ 90'
22
J. Piquerez
7.2
32
E. Martínez
↑ 90'
42
J. López
7.3
18
Mauricio
6.5
↑ 74'
Top stats
57%Possession43%
0.56Expected goals (xG)0.93
10Total shots13
3Shots on target3
1Big chances1
7Corners6
Shots
3Shots off target7
4Blocked shots3
6Shots inside box8
4Shots outside box5
0Hit woodwork0
0Big chances scored1
1Big chances missed0
-0.19Goals prevented0.4
Attack
11Touches in box23
43Final third entries63
0Offsides1
17Free kicks17
1Fouled in final third2
Passing
397Passes298
287Accurate passes202
18/64 (28%)Long balls20/62 (32%)
4/20 (20%)Crosses4/14 (29%)
21Throw-ins31
Duels
45Duels55
45/89 (51%)Ground duels44/89 (49%)
14/41 (34%)Aerial duels27/41 (66%)
5/13 (38%)Dribbles12/24 (50%)
9Dispossessed11
Defending
23Tackles17
61Tackles won82
10Interceptions14
21Clearances31
55Recoveries58
Discipline
17Fouls17
2Yellow cards1
Goalkeeping
1Saves3
1Big saves0
11Goal kicks6
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 63 bookmakers
Who winsPalmeiras to win (DNB) 73% · 1.42 @ merkurxtip
1X2Palmeiras to win 53% · 2.32 @ merkurxtip
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 61% · 1.13 @ Novibet
BTTSBTTS: No 57% · 1.72 @ betfair
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 80% · 1.02 @ Bet365
1X2Draw 28% · 2.38 @ kto
CornersOver 8.5 corners 60%
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 64%
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 52%
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 65% · 1.53 @ fonbet
1X2Cerro Porteño to win 19% · 5.40 @ fonbet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
4.80
Cerro Porteño ▲
3.19
Draw ▼
1.82
Palmeiras ▲
Double Chanceconsensus
1.92
Cerro Porteño or Draw ▼
1.33
Cerro Porteño or Palmeiras ▲
1.17
Draw or Palmeiras ▲
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
2.17
Yes ▲
1.62
No ▼
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.46
Over 1.50 ▲
2.58
Under 1.50 ▼
Total Goals 2.50consensus
2.43
Over 2.50 ▲
1.52
Under 2.50 ▼
Total Goals 3.50consensus
4.61
Over 3.50 ▲
1.17
Under 3.50 ▼
Draw No Betconsensus
3.36
Cerro Porteño ▼
1.29
Palmeiras ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus
1.08
Over 5.50
6.00
Under 5.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
3.68
Over 11.50
1.21
Under 11.50
European Handicap 3.00consensus
1.07
Cerro Porteño +3 ▼
9.81
Draw +3 ▲
19.27
Palmeiras -3 ▲
Odd / Even Goalsconsensus
1.92
Over ▲
1.81
E ▼
Total Cards 6.50consensus
2.49
Over 6.50
1.47
Under 6.50
Total Cards 7.50consensus
3.53
Over 7.50 ▲
1.24
Under 7.50
Total Yellow Cards 5.50consensus
2.20
OVER ▲
1.55
UNDER ▼
Red Card in Matchconsensus
3.30
Yes ▲
1.24
No ▼
1X2 (1st Half)consensus
5.30
Cerro Porteño ▼
1.98
Draw ▼
2.45
Palmeiras ▲
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
Palmeiras to win or draw
✓
81% confidence
Under 3.5 goals
✓
80% confidence
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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