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Alfredo Berti
Independiente Rivadavia
Fluminense
Independiente Rivadavia
4-4-2 · 4-2-3-1
Fluminense
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
788769 EUR · live
Home
13.0 · implied 7.7%
40.1%
+32.4 vs price
Away
60.0 · implied 1.7%
40.0%
+38.3 vs price
Draw
1.11 · implied 90.1%
19.9%
-70.2 vs price
Half time
4559 EUR · live
Away
6.2 · implied 16.1%
44.3%
+28.2 vs price
Draw
1.51 · implied 66.2%
35.3%
-30.9 vs price
Home
5.9 · implied 16.9%
20.4%
+3.4 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
144753 EUR · live
Under
1.08 · implied 92.6%
93.4%
+0.8 vs price
Over
12.0 · implied 8.3%
6.6%
-1.8 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
8667 EUR · live
Under
1.02 · implied 98.0%
92.6%
-5.4 vs price
Over
100.0 · implied 1.0%
7.4%
+6.4 vs price
14 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
12'
Hércules · Foul
25'
S. Studer · Foul
38'
A. Canobbio · Foul
Half-time · 0–0
53'
L. Bucca · Foul
57'
A. Canobbio · Foul
60'
Y. Soteldo · Argument
60'
Hulk · Foul
64'
A. Arce · Foul
66'
🔁
K. Serna ◂ Hulk
66'
🔁
L. Acosta ◂ Ganso
75'
⚽
K. Serna · assist Hércules0–1
82'
🔁
R. Atencio ◂ T. Bottari
82'
🔁
L. Sábato ◂ L. Bucca
82'
🔁
J. Millán ◂ Y. Soteldo
87'
🔁
A. Vigo ◂ E. Bonifacio
Full-time · 1–1
90'
R. Castillo
90'+2
VAR
Penalty check · S. Studer
90'+7
⚽
A. Arce (pen)1–1
90'+8
🔁
I. Villalba ◂ J. M. Elordi
PEN · 4–5
Coaches
Marcão 
Recent form
LAClub Atlético Belgrano0-2
DAFluminense0-0
WHEstudiantes de Río Cuarto2-1
LASarmiento1-2
WHHuracán2-1
WHPalmeiras3-2
DHIndependiente Rivadavia0-0
DABotafogo1-1
LHVasco da Gama1-3
DAVasco da Gama0-0
Where to watch
ESPN 2 Sur
ESPN 2 Sur
Disney+ESPN
ESPN 2 Sur
ESPN 2 Sur
ESPN 2 Sur
Sport TV1
ESPN 2 Sur
ESPN 2 Sur
Match facts
Stadium
Estadio Malvinas Argentinas
City
Mendoza
Kickoff
18 Aug, 22:00 UTC
Competition
Copa Libertadores
Highlights & clips
1
N. Bolcato
6.4
28
A. Vigo
6.3
↑ 87'
2
L. Costa
6.7
42
S. Studer
5.7
40
I. Villalba
↑ 90'
10
M. Fernández
7.3
19
R. Atencio
5.8
↑ 82'
25
J. Florentín
6.3
45
L. Sábato
6.4
↑ 82'
9
A. Arce
7.1
17
M. Salas
7.6
1
Fábio
8.2
23
Guga
7.7
4
Ignácio
7.3
3
T. Silva
7.8
6
Renê
7.2
35
Hércules
7.6
8
Martinelli
7.2
17
A. Canobbio
5.8
90
K. Serna
8.1
↑ 66'
29
J. Millán
6.4
↑ 82'
32
L. Acosta
6.0
↑ 66'
Top stats
48%Possession52%
1.52Expected goals (xG)0.98
13Total shots10
3Shots on target4
1Big chances2
7Corners4
Shots
4Shots off target3
6Blocked shots3
7Shots inside box5
6Shots outside box5
0Hit woodwork0
1Big chances scored1
0Big chances missed1
-0.48Goals prevented0.2
Attack
29Touches in box11
71Final third entries50
1Offsides1
10Free kicks18
2Fouled in final third4
Passing
345Passes417
276Accurate passes343
25/53 (47%)Long balls18/50 (36%)
9/41 (22%)Crosses3/7 (43%)
13Throw-ins21
Duels
34Duels66
20/65 (31%)Ground duels45/65 (69%)
14/35 (40%)Aerial duels21/35 (60%)
4/11 (36%)Dribbles13/17 (76%)
9Dispossessed3
Defending
7Tackles16
57Tackles won69
15Interceptions2
13Clearances42
54Recoveries44
Discipline
18Fouls11
3Yellow cards6
0Red cards1
Goalkeeping
3Saves2
1Big saves0
3Goal kicks11
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 62 bookmakers
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 63% · 1.53 @ betfair
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 81% · 1.02 @ Bet365
BTTSBTTS: No 56% · 1.79 @ betfair
1X2Draw 32% · 2.25 @ tipico
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 69%
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 57%
1X2Fluminense to win 29% · 3.70 @ betcity
CornersOver 8.5 corners 55%
Who winsInd. Rivadavia to win (DNB) 56% · 1.79 @ merkurxtip
1X2Ind. Rivadavia to win 38% · 3.10 @ Novibet
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 62% · 1.63 @ 3et
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.45
Independiente Rivadavia ▼
2.88
Draw ▲
3.16
Fluminense ▲
Double Chanceconsensus
1.34
Independiente Rivadavia or Draw ▼
1.39
Independiente Rivadavia or Fluminense ▼
1.51
Draw or Fluminense ▲
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
2.12
Yes ▲
1.67
No ▲
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.51
Over 1.50 ▼
2.44
Under 1.50 ▲
Total Goals 2.50consensus
2.60
Over 2.50 ▼
1.45
Under 2.50 ▲
Total Goals 3.50consensus
5.15
Over 3.50 ▲
1.14
Under 3.50 ▲
Total Goals 4.50consensus
10.75
Over 4.50
1.03
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.72
Independiente Rivadavia ▼
2.03
Fluminense ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 4.50consensus
1.02
Over 4.50
9.74
Under 4.50
Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus
1.09
Over 5.50
5.60
Under 5.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
4.10
Over 11.50 ▼
1.19
Under 11.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 13.50consensus
8.62
Over 13.50
1.04
Under 13.50
Total Corners (O/U) 14.50consensus
11.20
Over 14.50
1.02
Under 14.50
European Handicap 2.00consensus
1.07
Independiente Rivadavia +2 ▲
9.18
Draw +2 ▲
20.88
Fluminense -2 ▼
Odd / Even Goalsconsensus
1.79
E ▲
1.95
Over ▼
Total Cards 3.50consensus
1.14
Over 3.50 ▼
4.97
Under 3.50 ▲
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
Under 3.5 goals
✓
81% confidence
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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