Live win probability
BSD modelIn-game win probability from our ML pre-match model, updated by score, time and live xG. Something FotMob and Sofascore don't show.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Match events
16'
⚽
M. Tillman · assist J. McGlynn1–0
34'
J. Garcia
41'
⚽
M. Tillman · assist D. Luna2–0
44'
⚽
P. Agyemang · assist D. Luna3–0
45'
⚽
3–0
46'
🔁
N. James ◂ I. Lee
46'
🔁
D. Sealy ◂ N. Powder
46'
🔁
A. Raymond ◂ A. Jones
62'
🔁
R. Cardines ◂ I. Garcia
73'
🔁
H. Wright ◂ P. Agyemang
74'
🔁
J. Jones ◂ K. Molino
74'
🔁
B. Aaronson ◂ D. Luna
74'
🔁
M. McKenzie ◂ J. McGlynn
82'
⚽
B. Aaronson · assist M. Arfsten4–0
83'
🔁
P. Aaronson ◂ L. D. L. Torre
84'
⚽
H. Wright · assist M. Arfsten5–0
87'
🔁
M. Robinson ◂ C. Richards
90'
⚽
5–0
90'
⚽
Coaches
Dwight Yorke 
Recent form
LCanada2-1USA
LUSA0-1Panama
WUSA4-2Jamaica
WJamaica0-1USA
LUSA0-1Uruguay
LCosta Rica2-1Trinidad and Tobago
WTrinidad and Tobago6-2Saint Kitts and Nevis
WTrinidad and Tobago4-0Cuba
WCuba1-2Trinidad and Tobago
WTrinidad and Tobago3-1Cuba
Match facts
Stadium
PayPal Park
City
San Jose
Referee
Adonai Escobedo Gonzalez
Kickoff
15 Jun, 22:00 UTC
Competition
CONCACAF Gold Cup 2025
25
M. Freese
7.2
16
A. Freeman
7.6
3
C. Richards
7.1
13
T. Ream
7.5
18
M. Arfsten
9.2
8
S. Berhalter
6.6
14
L. D. L. Torre
7.2
6
J. McGlynn
8.6
17
M. Tillman
9.6
10
D. Luna
8.3
24
P. Agyemang
7.2
1
M. Phillip
6.7
24
I. Garcia
6.0
16
A. Jones
5.1
4
S. Bateau
6.0
5
J. Garcia
5.8
13
T. Spicer
5.9
19
A. Fortune
6.3
23
N. Powder
6.3
8
D. Phillips
6.4
10
K. Molino
6.1
26
I. Lee
6.4
Substitutes
19H. Wright7.322M. McKenzie6.811B. Aaronson7.221P. Aaronson6.512M. Robinson1M. Turner26C. Brady20N. Harriel5W. Zimmerman7Q. Sullivan2J. Tolkin23B. White
Coach: Mauricio Pochettino
70%Possession30%
3.66Expected goals (xG)0.32
22Total shots3
12Shots on target2
8Big chances0
10Corners4
10Fouls9
0Yellow cards1