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Fabian Hurzeler
Brighton & Hove Albion
Aston Villa
Brighton & Hove Albion
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1
Aston Villa
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
1399782 EUR · live
Home
1.01 · implied 99.0%
82.1%
-16.9 vs price
Away
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
11.4%
+11.2 vs price
Draw
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
6.6%
+6.5 vs price
Half time
5891 EUR · live
Home
1.03 · implied 97.1%
44.4%
-52.7 vs price
Away
95.0 · implied 1.1%
35.3%
+34.3 vs price
Draw
42.0 · implied 2.4%
20.3%
+17.9 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
204600 EUR · live
Over
1.14 · implied 87.7%
69.1%
-18.7 vs price
Under
8.2 · implied 12.2%
31.0%
+18.8 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
14510 EUR · live
Under
1.73 · implied 57.8%
76.0%
+18.2 vs price
Over
2.32 · implied 43.1%
24.0%
-19.1 vs price
20 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 2 clips
Player of the match
Match events
8'
⚽
V. Lindelöf1–0
9'
J. Gomes · Argument
9'
P. Groß · Foul
11'
Y. Ayari · Foul
18'
⚽
M. De Cuyper · assist G. Rutter2–0
30'
⚽
J. Hinshelwood · assist D. Gómez3–0
31'
⚽
J. Hinshelwood4–0
33'
J. McGinn · Foul
39'
VAR
Card check · J. Gomes
40'
J. Gomes · Violent conduct
Half-time · 4–0
64'
🔁
Costinha ◂ Y. Ayari
64'
🔁
C. Kostoulas ◂ J. Hinshelwood
74'
🔁
T. Mings ◂ P. Torres
74'
🔁
L. Bogarde ◂ R. Barkley
78'
🔁
I. Osman ◂ M. De Cuyper
78'
🔁
Z. Yohanna ◂ M. Wieffer
82'
🔁
Alysson ◂ J. McGinn
82'
🔁
M. Ruggeri ◂ I. Maatsen
86'
🔁
A. Garnacho ◂ E. Buendía
86'
🔁
M. Yalcouyé ◂ D. Gómez
Full-time · 4–0
90'+5
M. Cash · Foul
Coaches
Fabian HurzelerUnai Emery 
Recent form
Brighton & Hove AlbionDATromsø IL0-0
WHBologna1-0
WHAS Roma3-0
LHManchester United0-3
LALeeds United0-1
Aston VillaLABorussia M'gladbach1-2
LAParis Saint-Germain1-2
LHFC Bayern München1-2
WABG Pathum United3-1
WAIndonesia XI3-1
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Match facts
Stadium
American Express Stadium
City
Falmer
Kickoff
23 Aug, 13:00 UTC
Competition
Premier League
Highlights & clips
Brighton & Hove Albion
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1
Aston Villa
1
B. Verbruggen
6.9
15
I. Osman
6.5
↑ 78'
44
L. Vušković
7.9
5
L. Dunk
7.7
21
O. Boscagli
7.7
13
P. Groß
7.3
20
Costinha
6.6
↑ 64'
35
M. Yalcouyé
6.6
↑ 86'
19
C. Kostoulas
6.4
↑ 64'
36
Z. Yohanna
6.6
↑ 78'
10
G. Rutter
7.6
40
M. Bizot
6.4
2
M. Cash
6.3
3
V. Lindelöf
5.0
5
T. Mings
6.8
↑ 74'
13
M. Ruggeri
6.9
↑ 82'
8
B. Kamara
6.2
35
J. Gomes
5.0
47
Alysson
6.6
↑ 82'
26
L. Bogarde
6.7
↑ 74'
53
G. Hemmings
6.5
17
A. Garnacho
6.3
↑ 86'
Substitutes
23GJ. Steele
29DM. De Cuyper↓ 78'8.2
27DM. Wieffer↓ 78'7.2
4DP. Struijk
30DM. Svoboda
8MJ. Hinshelwood↓ 64'9.0
25MD. Gómez↓ 86'8.3
26MY. Ayari↓ 64'6.3
12FP. David
Coach: Fabian Hurzeler
Substitutes
1GZ. Suzuki
22DI. Maatsen↓ 82'5.4
14DP. Torres↓ 74'4.9
10ME. Buendía↓ 86'6.6
6MR. Barkley↓ 74'6.5
7MJ. McGinn↓ 82'6.2
45MT. Rowe
49MB. Burrowes
74ML. Lynch
Coach: Unai Emery
Top stats
73%Possession27%
3.77Expected goals (xG)0.29
21Total shots6
6Shots on target0
6Big chances0
5Corners2
Shots
12Shots off target6
3Blocked shots0
15Shots inside box2
6Shots outside box4
2Hit woodwork0
3Big chances scored0
3Big chances missed0
0.0Goals prevented-0.41
Attack
38Touches in box5
71Final third entries25
6Offsides2
11Free kicks12
3Fouled in final third0
Passing
647Passes242
601Accurate passes185
30/37 (81%)Long balls11/34 (32%)
5/23 (22%)Crosses1/4 (25%)
9Throw-ins18
Duels
53Duels47
35/73 (48%)Ground duels38/73 (52%)
16/23 (70%)Aerial duels7/23 (30%)
4/8 (50%)Dribbles7/14 (50%)
15Dispossessed14
Defending
21Tackles19
62Tackles won53
10Interceptions8
12Clearances23
34Recoveries23
Discipline
12Fouls11
2Yellow cards3
0Red cards1
Goalkeeping
0Saves3
0Big saves1
9Goal kicks11
0Punches1
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 79 bookmakers
CornersOver 9.5 corners 55% · 1.76 @ Pinnacle
CornersOver 8.5 corners 66% · 1.46 @ Unibet
BTTSBoth teams to score 60% · 3.00 @ Bet365
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 57% · 4.33 @ 888Sport
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 78% · 2.02 @ 1xBet
1X2Draw 26% · 2.80 @ hardrock
1X2Aston Villa to win 31% · 3.32 @ 1xBet
1X2Brighton to win 43% · 2.60 @ Interwetten
Who winsBrighton to win (DNB) 56% · 1.71 @ forbet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 66% · 1.53 @ bovada
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 56% · 1.70 @ 10bet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.22
Brighton & Hove Albion ▼
3.59
Draw ▼
3.05
Aston Villa ▲
Double Chanceconsensus
1.37
Brighton & Hove Albion or Draw ▼
1.28
Brighton & Hove Albion or Aston Villa
1.63
Draw or Aston Villa ▲
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.53
Yes ▲
2.38
No ▼
Home Clean Sheetconsensus
3.50
YES
1.25
NO
Away Clean Sheetconsensus
4.50
YES
1.17
NO
Home Win to Nilconsensus
4.35
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
6.00
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.02
Over 0.50
12.39
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.19
Over 1.50 ▲
4.39
Under 1.50 ▼
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.64
Over 2.50 ▲
2.21
Under 2.50 ▼
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.55
Over 3.50 ▲
1.48
Under 3.50 ▼
Total Goals 4.50consensus
4.75
Over 4.50
1.17
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.66
Brighton & Hove Albion
2.13
Aston Villa ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 4.50consensus
1.00
Over 4.50
13.50
Under 4.50
Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus
1.04
Over 5.50
10.15
Under 5.50
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.11
Over 6.50
6.25
Under 6.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.6%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.6%.
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