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Pierre Sage
Crystal Palace
Manchester City
Crystal Palace
3-4-2-1 · 4-2-3-1
Manchester City
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
4700144 EUR · live
Away
1.01 · implied 99.0%
90.2%
-8.8 vs price
Home
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
5.2%
+5.1 vs price
Draw
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
4.6%
+4.5 vs price
Half time
18107 EUR · live
Away
1.17 · implied 85.5%
74.7%
-10.8 vs price
Draw
7.2 · implied 13.9%
16.2%
+2.3 vs price
Home
65.0 · implied 1.5%
9.1%
+7.6 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
237827 EUR · live
Over
1.31 · implied 76.3%
67.7%
-8.6 vs price
Under
4.1 · implied 24.4%
32.3%
+7.9 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
41347 EUR · live
Under
1.16 · implied 86.2%
92.9%
+6.7 vs price
Over
7.2 · implied 13.9%
7.1%
-6.8 vs price
19 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
17'
⚽
E. Haaland · assist A. Semenyo0–1
33'
R. Cherki · Foul
Half-time · 0–1
54'
⚽
R. Cherki · assist P. Foden0–2
55'
E. Anderson · Foul
56'
⚽
G. Donnarumma1–2
59'
⚽
R. Cherki · assist J. Gvardiol1–3
63'
🔁
E. Guessand ◂ J. Larsen
68'
🔁
Z. Gozo ◂ Y. Pino
68'
🔁
D. McNeil ◂ E. Nketiah
68'
A. Khalaili · Foul
74'
🔁
A. Disasi ◂ T. Tomiyasu
75'
🔁
M. Kovačić ◂ J. Gvardiol
75'
🔁
Ó. Mingueza ◂ A. Khalaili
82'
🔁
A. Bouaddi ◂ E. Anderson
82'
🔁
R. McAidoo ◂ R. Cherki
84'
⚽
E. Haaland · assist P. Foden1–4
89'
🔁
K. Braithwaite ◂ N. O’Reilly
89'
🔁
V. Reis ◂ A. Khusanov
Full-time · 1–4
Coaches
Enzo Maresca 
Recent form
LAEverton0-2
LASC Freiburg0-3
WAFulham2-1
WHAl Ula3-1
DAFamalicão0-0
WHBournemouth2-1
WHAtlético Madrid3-1
WAK-League Allstars3-1
DHInter1-1
LHAston Villa1-2
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Match facts
Stadium
Selhurst Park
City
London
Kickoff
28 Aug, 19:00 UTC
Competition
Premier League
Highlights & clips
1
D. Henderson
6.4
6
J. Canvot
6.2
26
C. Richards
5.8
5
A. Disasi
6.5
↑ 74'
30
Ó. Mingueza
6.3
↑ 75'
20
A. Wharton
7.3
18
D. Kamada
7.2
3
T. Mitchell
6.7
11
D. McNeil
6.4
↑ 68'
12
Z. Gozo
6.3
↑ 68'
29
E. Guessand
6.4
↑ 63'
1
G. Donnarumma
6.4
22
V. Reis
↑ 89'
3
R. Dias
7.5
6
M. Guéhi
7.8
8
M. Kovačić
6.6
↑ 75'
61
K. Braithwaite
↑ 89'
32
A. Bouaddi
7.0
↑ 82'
47
P. Foden
6.9
56
R. McAidoo
6.5
↑ 82'
42
A. Semenyo
6.2
9
E. Haaland
8.3
Substitutes
44GW. Benítez
17DT. Tomiyasu↓ 74'5.7
25MA. Khalaili↓ 75'7.4
2MD. Muñoz
19MW. Hughes
8MJ. Lerma
22FJ. Larsen↓ 63'7.3
10FY. Pino↓ 68'6.8
9FE. Nketiah↓ 68'6.3
Coach: Pierre Sage
Top stats
28%Possession72%
0.66Expected goals (xG)2.21
9Total shots18
1Shots on target9
3Big chances5
2Corners6
Shots
7Shots off target7
1Blocked shots2
6Shots inside box13
3Shots outside box5
1Hit woodwork0
0Big chances scored3
3Big chances missed2
-0.92Goals prevented-0.95
Attack
14Touches in box35
36Final third entries73
3Offsides0
11Free kicks8
3Fouled in final third2
Passing
291Passes788
236Accurate passes731
13/32 (41%)Long balls25/40 (63%)
4/18 (22%)Crosses5/15 (33%)
12Throw-ins19
Duels
53Duels47
52/91 (57%)Ground duels39/91 (43%)
6/18 (33%)Aerial duels12/18 (67%)
8/14 (57%)Dribbles17/37 (46%)
8Dispossessed14
Defending
34Tackles14
68Tackles won71
11Interceptions9
20Clearances14
40Recoveries40
Discipline
8Fouls11
1Yellow cards2
Goalkeeping
4Saves1
0Big saves1
5Goal kicks6
1Punches0
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 26 bookmakers
1X2Man City to win 57% · 2.05 @ William Hill
Who winsMan City to win (DNB) 61% · 1.28 @ SportingBet
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 57% · 3.90 @ William Hill
BTTSBoth teams to score 56% · 3.10 @ William Hill
CornersOver 8.5 corners 60% · 1.53 @ Pinnacle
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 78% · 1.92 @ 1xBet
1X2Draw 23% · 2.85 @ Unibet
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 63% · 1.65 @ Unibet
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 52% · 2.04 @ Unibet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 66% · 1.51 @ Pinnacle
1X2Crystal Palace to win 20% · 4.55 @ 1xBet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
4.94
Crystal Palace
4.10
Draw
1.66
Manchester City
Double Chanceconsensus
2.21
Crystal Palace or Draw
1.21
Crystal Palace or Manchester City
1.17
Draw or Manchester City
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.65
Yes
2.15
No
Home Win to Nilconsensus
8.50
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
3.00
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.01
Over 0.50
13.00
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.19
Over 1.50
4.38
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.66
Over 2.50
2.23
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.63
Over 3.50
1.45
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
4.70
Over 4.50
1.16
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
3.55
Crystal Palace
1.25
Manchester City
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.25
Over 7.50
3.60
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.46
Over 8.50
2.54
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.81
Over 9.50
1.94
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.26
Over 10.50
1.58
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
2.85
Over 11.50
1.33
Under 11.50
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
Manchester City to win or draw
✓
80% confidence
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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