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Roberto De Zerbi
Tottenham Hotspur
Newcastle United
Tottenham Hotspur
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1
Newcastle United
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
3619565 EUR · live
Away
1.01 · implied 99.0%
52.1%
-46.9 vs price
Home
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
40.9%
+40.8 vs price
Draw
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
7.0%
+6.9 vs price
Half time
2046 EUR
Away
3.65 · implied 27.4%
36.5%
+9.1 vs price
Home
2.82 · implied 35.5%
31.9%
-3.5 vs price
Draw
2.58 · implied 38.8%
31.6%
-7.2 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
1074382 EUR · live
Under
1.08 · implied 92.6%
74.9%
-17.7 vs price
Over
13.5 · implied 7.4%
25.1%
+17.7 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
5796 EUR
Under
1.2 · implied 83.3%
79.0%
-4.4 vs price
Over
6.2 · implied 16.1%
21.0%
+4.9 vs price
20 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
3'
M. van de Ven · Foul
13'
N. González · Foul
Half-time · 0–0
62'
⚽
A. Elanga · assist A. Dedić0–1
68'
🔁
M. Kudus ◂ M. Tel
68'
🔁
D. Udogie ◂ A. Robertson
68'
🔁
M. Moore ◂ A. Gray
71'
🔁
S. Steur ◂ N. González
71'
🔁
N. Woltemade ◂ J. Willock
72'
⚽
Y. Wissa · assist N. Woltemade0–2
75'
🔁
D. Solanke ◂ S. Tonali
79'
S. Botman · Argument
82'
🔁
J. Murphy ◂ A. Elanga
82'
🔁
J. Ramsey ◂ Y. Wissa
Full-time · 0–2
90'+3
🔁
B. Touré ◂ H. Barnes
Coaches
Matthias Jaissle 
Recent form
WHCharlton Athletic5-1
LABrentford0-3
DHTSG Hoffenheim2-2
WHTSG Hoffenheim3-0
DHGetafe1-1
WHWest Bromwich Albion3-2
DHLiverpool FC2-2
DHRC Strasbourg1-1
LHBayer 04 Leverkusen1-2
LAEverton1-3
Where to watch
Setanta Sports 1
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İdman Azərbaycan
Arena Sport Premium 1
Play Sports 1
Diema Sport 2 HD
Astro Premier League
Disney+ Premium Chile
Disney+ESPN
Setanta Sports 1
Canal+ Sport 3
Canal+ Sport 3
Canal+ Sport 3
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Canal+ Sport 3
Disney+ Premium Chile
Canal+ Sport 3
Disney+ Premium SurESPN Colombia
Cytavision Sports 3HD
Sky GoSky Sport Premier LeagueWOW
Viaplay
Disney+ Premium Sur
Setanta Sports 1
DAZN
Viaplay
Canal+ Foot
Sky Go UKSky Sports Main EventSky Sports Premier LeagueSky Sports Ultra HD
Viaplay
621 Now Premier League 1
Arena Sport 1 HR
Sky Go UKSky Sports Main EventSky Sports Premier LeagueSky Sports Ultra HD
Sport 1
JioHotstar
NOWSky GoSky Sport Uno
U-NEXT
Setanta Sports 1
Setanta Sports 1
Setanta Sports 1
Sky Go
Setanta Sports 1
Setanta Sports 1
Astro Premier League
Viaplay
Disney+ Premium Chile
Canal+ Extra 1
DAZN1 Portugal
Disney+ Premium Argentina
Viaplay
Setanta Sports 1
Setanta Sports 1
NBCPeacock
Disney+ Premium Argentina
Setanta Sports 1
Disney+ Premium Sur
FPT Play
Match facts
Stadium
Tottenham Hotspur Stadium
City
London
Kickoff
29 Aug, 16:30 UTC
Competition
Premier League
Highlights & clips
31
A. Kinský
5.7
13
D. Udogie
6.7
↑ 68'
6
J. P. van Hecke
7.6
37
M. van de Ven
6.7
20
M. Kudus
6.6
↑ 68'
30
R. Bentancur
6.6
19
D. Solanke
6.4
↑ 75'
23
P. Porro
6.7
18
M. Fernandes
7.5
47
M. Moore
6.4
↑ 68'
22
O. Marmoush
7.0
21
L. Horníček
7.5
37
A. Dedić
7.7
12
M. Thiaw
7.3
4
S. Botman
6.8
3
L. Hall
9.7
14
S. Steur
6.8
↑ 71'
67
L. Miley
7.2
41
J. Ramsey
6.8
↑ 82'
27
N. Woltemade
6.7
↑ 71'
17
B. Touré
↑ 90'
23
J. Murphy
6.9
↑ 82'
Substitutes
39GM. Dúbravka
3DA. Robertson↓ 68'6.3
5DM. Senesi
33DB. Davies
16MS. Tonali↓ 75'6.6
14MA. Gray↓ 68'6.3
8MC. Gallagher
15ML. Bergvall
11FM. Tel↓ 68'6.4
Coach: Roberto De Zerbi
Substitutes
24GE. Jaouen
5DF. Schär
51DL. Shahar
6MN. González↓ 71'6.7
28MJ. Willock↓ 71'6.3
8MA. Bamba
19FA. Elanga↓ 82'7.8
9FY. Wissa↓ 82'7.1
11FH. Barnes↓ 90'6.5
Coach: Matthias Jaissle
Top stats
58%Possession42%
1.12Expected goals (xG)0.72
17Total shots11
6Shots on target2
2Big chances1
9Corners7
Shots
8Shots off target7
3Blocked shots2
10Shots inside box7
7Shots outside box4
0Hit woodwork0
0Big chances scored1
2Big chances missed0
-1.31Goals prevented0.91
Attack
33Touches in box21
55Final third entries36
2Offsides1
9Free kicks15
1Fouled in final third2
Passing
498Passes373
442Accurate passes314
20/35 (57%)Long balls22/55 (40%)
5/25 (20%)Crosses6/14 (43%)
16Throw-ins13
Duels
46Duels54
29/61 (48%)Ground duels32/61 (52%)
10/24 (42%)Aerial duels14/24 (58%)
7/11 (64%)Dribbles6/10 (60%)
8Dispossessed9
Defending
13Tackles12
69Tackles won33
4Interceptions3
20Clearances29
43Recoveries37
Discipline
15Fouls9
1Yellow cards2
Goalkeeping
0Saves4
0Big saves2
7Goal kicks12
0Punches2
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 26 bookmakers
CornersOver 9.5 corners 55% · 1.57 @ betfair
CornersOver 8.5 corners 67% · 1.30 @ Unibet
BTTSBoth teams to score 61% · 2.80 @ William Hill
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 57% · 3.75 @ 1xBet
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 79% · 1.91 @ 1xBet
1X2Draw 26% · 2.80 @ Unibet
1X2Newcastle to win 32% · 3.20 @ 1xBet
1X2Tottenham to win 42% · 2.60 @ William Hill
Who winsTottenham to win (DNB) 52% · 1.64 @ Betsson
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 64% · 1.53 @ Unibet
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 56% · 1.95 @ Pinnacle
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.20
Tottenham Hotspur
3.65
Draw
3.00
Newcastle United
Double Chanceconsensus
1.36
Tottenham Hotspur or Draw
1.28
Tottenham Hotspur or Newcastle United
1.62
Draw or Newcastle United
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.52
Yes
2.40
No
Home Win to Nilconsensus
4.33
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
6.00
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.01
Over 0.50
13.00
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.18
Over 1.50
4.45
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.65
Over 2.50
2.25
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.61
Over 3.50
1.44
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
4.83
Over 4.50
1.14
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.61
Tottenham Hotspur
2.25
Newcastle United
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.14
Over 7.50
4.30
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.29
Over 8.50
3.10
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.52
Over 9.50
2.34
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
1.85
Over 10.50
1.89
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
2.30
Over 11.50
1.53
Under 11.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
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