Brighton & Hove Albion vs Leeds United — live & stats

Where the money is

1656078 EUR matched · captured 2 weeks, 3 days ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 1141513 EUR · live

Home 21.0 · implied 4.8%

47.7%

+42.9 vs price

Away 36.0 · implied 2.8%

31.6%

+28.8 vs price

Draw 1.08 · implied 92.6%

20.8%

-71.8 vs price

Half time 3047 EUR · live

Away 1.37 · implied 73.0%

50.5%

-22.5 vs price

Draw 4.6 · implied 21.7%

37.2%

+15.5 vs price

Home 17.5 · implied 5.7%

12.3%

+6.6 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 226167 EUR · live

Over 26.0 · implied 3.8%

52.4%

+48.5 vs price

Under 1.03 · implied 97.1%

47.6%

-49.5 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals 6183 EUR · live

Under 1.14 · implied 87.7%

88.5%

+0.8 vs price

Over 8.4 · implied 11.9%

11.5%

-0.4 vs price

16 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Goal On target Off target Blocked ● size = xG

Tap a player for their full match card.

Highlights 2 clips

Player of the match

Match events

6' J. Bogle · Foul

15' ⚽ J. Bogle · assist A. Tanaka0–1

38' P. Groß · Foul

Half-time · 0–1

49' M. De Cuyper · Foul

61' 🔁 J. Bijol ◂ J. Bogle

62' 🔁 B. Aaronson ◂ N. Okafor

64' D. Calvert-Lewin · Foul

71' ⚽ L. Vušković · assist M. De Cuyper1–1

73' 🔁 L. Nmecha ◂ D. Calvert-Lewin

73' 🔁 H. Wilson ◂ A. Tanaka

77' 🔁 P. David ◂ M. De Cuyper

78' 🔁 Costinha ◂ F. Kadıoğlu

85' H. Wilson · Foul

88' P. David · Foul

Full-time · 1–1

90'⁺³ 🔁 P. Struijk ◂ O. Boscagli

Coaches

Fabian Hurzeler

Daniel Farke

Recent form

Brighton & Hove Albion

LAChelsea3-4

WHTromsø IL4-0

WHAston Villa4-0

DATromsø IL0-0

WHBologna1-0

Leeds United

DHBrentford1-1

WANottingham Forest2-0

WANottingham Forest1-0

WHFC Augsburg4-0

DAManchester United1-1

Where to watch

beIN SPORTS 3

Match facts

Stadium

American Express Stadium

City

Falmer

Referee

Stuart Attwell

4.61 yellows/match · 33 matches

Kickoff

05 Sep, 14:00 UTC

Competition

Premier League

Highlights & clips

Brighton & Hove Albion 4-2-3-1 · 3-5-2 Leeds United

1 B. Verbruggen 8.2 20 Costinha 7.1 ↑ 78' 44 L. Vušković 8.0 5 L. Dunk 7.8 4 P. Struijk ↑ 90' 13 P. Groß 5.9 26 Y. Ayari 6.9 25 D. Gómez 6.6 35 M. Yalcouyé 7.2 12 P. David 6.0 ↑ 77' 19 C. Kostoulas 6.8 1 J. Trafford 6.6 24 J. Justin 6.6 30 N. Elvedi 7.0 5 T. Muharemović 6.9 15 J. Bijol 6.6 ↑ 61' 18 A. Stach 6.6 4 E. Ampadu 6.6 10 H. Wilson 6.2 ↑ 73' 3 G. Gudmundsson 6.8 14 L. Nmecha 6.5 ↑ 73' 11 B. Aaronson 6.3 ↑ 62'

Substitutes

23GJ. Steele 21DO. Boscagli↓ 90'7.5 29DM. De Cuyper↓ 77'6.8 24DF. Kadıoğlu↓ 78'6.4 3DJ. Hadjam 14MC. Andrés 15MI. Osman 33MM. O'Riley 49FN. Oriola

Coach: Fabian Hurzeler

Substitutes

16GM. Zetterer 26DM. Bard 22MA. Tanaka↓ 73'7.2 2MJ. Bogle↓ 61'6.9 8MS. Longstaff 7MD. James 9FD. Calvert-Lewin↓ 73'7.1 19FN. Okafor↓ 62'6.7 23FJ. Bahoya

Coach: Daniel Farke

Top stats

67%Possession33%

2.19Expected goals (xG)2.49

20Total shots10

5Shots on target5

4Big chances5

7Corners6

Shots

8Shots off target4

7Blocked shots1

11Shots inside box10

9Shots outside box0

0Hit woodwork1

1Big chances scored1

3Big chances missed4

0.9Goals prevented-0.32

Attack

29Touches in box19

55Final third entries38

4Offsides2

16Free kicks13

4Fouled in final third2

Passing

522Passes252

437Accurate passes171

29/59 (49%)Long balls15/52 (29%)

6/35 (17%)Crosses1/13 (8%)

23Throw-ins16

Duels

48Duels52

33/70 (47%)Ground duels37/70 (53%)

21/42 (50%)Aerial duels21/42 (50%)

10/20 (50%)Dribbles7/12 (58%)

7Dispossessed3

Defending

8Tackles17

50Tackles won53

5Interceptions8

33Clearances35

39Recoveries35

Discipline

13Fouls16

3Yellow cards3

Goalkeeping

3Saves4

1Big saves1

5Goal kicks8

0Punches2

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 26 bookmakers

Brighton 48%

27%

Leeds 26%

CornersOver 9.5 corners 51% · 1.76 @ Unibet

CornersOver 8.5 corners 63% · 1.46 @ Unibet

BTTSBoth teams to score 55% · 3.25 @ Bet365

1X2Brighton to win 48% · 2.40 @ William Hill

1X2Draw 27% · 2.56 @ 1xBet

GoalsOver 2.5 goals 51% · 4.50 @ Unibet

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 74% · 2.07 @ Unibet

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 70% · 1.39 @ Pinnacle

Who winsBrighton to win (DNB) 56% · 1.51 @ Betsson

1X2Leeds to win 26% · 3.75 @ 10bet

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 60% · 1.68 @ 1xBet

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

2.00

Brighton & Hove Albion

3.50

Draw

3.71

Leeds United

Double Chanceconsensus

1.23

Brighton & Hove Albion or Draw

1.27

Brighton & Hove Albion or Leeds United

1.82

Draw or Leeds United

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

1.65

Yes

2.15

No

Home Clean Sheetconsensus

2.65

YES

1.42

NO

Away Clean Sheetconsensus

4.33

YES

1.18

NO

Home Win to Nilconsensus

3.45

YES

Away Win to Nilconsensus

6.50

YES

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.03

Over 0.50

11.00

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.27

Over 1.50

3.65

Under 1.50

Total Goals 2.50consensus

1.86

Over 2.50

1.96

Under 2.50

Total Goals 3.50consensus

3.10

Over 3.50

1.35

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

6.00

Over 4.50

1.11

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

1.45

Brighton & Hove Albion

2.55

Leeds United

Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus

1.20

Over 7.50

3.49

Under 7.50

Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus

1.40

Over 8.50

2.68

Under 8.50

Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus

1.73

Over 9.50

2.05

Under 9.50

Full odds via API →

No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.5%.

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Report a data issue