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Álvaro Arbeloa
Fulham
Crystal Palace
Fulham
4-2-3-1 · 3-4-2-1
Crystal Palace
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
767199 EUR · live
Home
230.0 · implied 0.4%
51.8%
+51.4 vs price
Away
1.04 · implied 96.2%
35.0%
-61.2 vs price
Draw
22.0 · implied 4.5%
13.2%
+8.7 vs price
Half time
2503 EUR · live
Draw
3.4 · implied 29.4%
48.0%
+18.5 vs price
Home
1.27 · implied 78.7%
31.8%
-46.9 vs price
Away
30.0 · implied 3.3%
20.2%
+16.8 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
141282 EUR · live
Over
1.17 · implied 85.5%
74.1%
-11.4 vs price
Under
6.8 · implied 14.7%
25.9%
+11.2 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
3544 EUR · live
Under
1.13 · implied 88.5%
84.7%
-3.8 vs price
Over
9.2 · implied 10.9%
15.2%
+4.4 vs price
17 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 2 clips
Player of the match
Match events
11'
⚽
J. King1–0
14'
VAR
Goal not given after review · D. Kamada
35'
⚽
T. Mitchell · assist E. Nketiah1–1
42'
⚽
C. Palacios2–1
Half-time · 2–1
46'
🔁
J. Larsen ◂ E. Nketiah
54'
⚽
T. Mitchell2–2
62'
🔁
S. Berge ◂ C. Palacios
74'
🔁
B. Chilwell ◂ T. Mitchell
74'
🔁
W. Hughes ◂ Q. Timber
77'
⚽
B. Chilwell · assist D. Kamada2–3
79'
🔁
E. Smith Rowe ◂ S. Charles
79'
🔁
H. Larsson ◂ O. Bobb
79'
🔁
R. Sessegnon ◂ A. Robinson
83'
🔁
R. Muniz ◂ A. Iwobi
89'
🔁
D. Osorio ◂ D. Kamada
89'
🔁
Ó. Mingueza ◂ Y. Pino
Full-time · 2–3
Coaches
Pierre Sage 
Recent form
LASunderland0-1
WHAFC Wimbledon3-0
LHChelsea2-3
WHVfB Stuttgart1-0
DAMálaga CF2-2
LHManchester City1-4
LAEverton0-2
LASC Freiburg0-3
WAFulham2-1
WHAl Ula3-1
Where to watch
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Viaplay
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Astro Premier League 5
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Match facts
Stadium
Craven Cottage
City
London
Kickoff
05 Sep, 14:00 UTC
Competition
Premier League
Highlights & clips
1
B. Leno
6.6
21
T. Castagne
6.6
5
J. Andersen
7.2
3
C. Bassey
6.2
30
R. Sessegnon
6.7
↑ 79'
32
E. Smith Rowe
6.3
↑ 79'
9
R. Muniz
6.1
↑ 83'
15
H. Larsson
6.6
↑ 79'
24
J. King
8.2
16
S. Berge
6.9
↑ 62'
7
G. García
6.8
1
D. Henderson
6.8
26
C. Richards
6.8
5
A. Disasi
7.5
6
J. Canvot
6.1
25
A. Khalaili
7.1
33
B. Chilwell
7.7
↑ 74'
20
A. Wharton
7.1
19
W. Hughes
6.7
↑ 74'
30
Ó. Mingueza
↑ 89'
24
D. Osorio
↑ 89'
22
J. Larsen
6.7
↑ 46'
Substitutes
23GB. Lecomte
33DA. Robinson↓ 79'6.3
22DD. Affengruber
17MA. Iwobi↓ 83'7.5
14MO. Bobb↓ 79'7.4
8MC. Palacios↓ 62'6.7
19MS. Charles↓ 79'6.7
11MKevin
20MM. Á. Morán
Coach: Álvaro Arbeloa
Substitutes
44GW. Benítez
17DT. Tomiyasu
3MT. Mitchell↓ 74'8.7
18MD. Kamada↓ 89'6.8
23MQ. Timber↓ 74'6.4
28MC. Doucouré
12MZ. Gozo
10FY. Pino↓ 89'7.1
9FE. Nketiah↓ 46'6.7
Coach: Pierre Sage
Top stats
64%Possession36%
3.14Expected goals (xG)1.97
25Total shots10
6Shots on target5
2Big chances6
7Corners1
Shots
10Shots off target3
9Blocked shots2
22Shots inside box7
3Shots outside box3
1Big chances scored3
1Big chances missed3
-0.43Goals prevented-0.19
Attack
64Touches in box19
63Final third entries34
1Offsides6
7Free kicks6
1Fouled in final third1
Passing
678Passes377
602Accurate passes297
30/49 (61%)Long balls24/51 (47%)
4/16 (25%)Crosses0/7 (0%)
20Throw-ins17
Duels
45Duels55
28/57 (49%)Ground duels29/57 (51%)
8/23 (35%)Aerial duels15/23 (65%)
10/25 (40%)Dribbles5/10 (50%)
3Dispossessed6
Defending
11Tackles18
55Tackles won67
9Interceptions12
12Clearances29
53Recoveries42
Discipline
6Fouls7
Goalkeeping
2Saves5
6Goal kicks17
0Punches1
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 26 bookmakers
CornersOver 8.5 corners 62% · 1.45 @ betfair
1X2Draw 29% · 2.55 @ Unibet
BTTSBoth teams to score 54% · 3.14 @ 1xBet
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 50% · 1.20 @ 10bet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 71% · 1.36 @ Bet365
1X2Crystal Palace to win 29% · 3.52 @ 1xBet
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 73% · 2.15 @ 1xBet
1X2Fulham to win 42% · 2.60 @ Bet365
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 62% · 1.73 @ Pinnacle
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 50% · 2.16 @ Pinnacle
Who winsFulham to win (DNB) 53% · 1.65 @ Unibet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.25
Fulham
3.30
Draw
3.20
Crystal Palace
Double Chanceconsensus
1.35
Fulham or Draw
1.29
Fulham or Crystal Palace
1.61
Draw or Crystal Palace
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.72
Yes
2.05
No
Home Clean Sheetconsensus
3.10
YES
1.33
NO
Away Clean Sheetconsensus
3.80
YES
1.22
NO
Home Win to Nilconsensus
4.05
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
5.50
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.04
Over 0.50
10.75
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.28
Over 1.50
3.62
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.88
Over 2.50
1.90
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.14
Over 3.50
1.33
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
6.00
Over 4.50
1.11
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.53
Fulham
2.40
Crystal Palace
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.22
Over 7.50
3.60
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.40
Over 8.50
2.70
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.68
Over 9.50
2.06
Under 9.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
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