Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedTap a player for their full match card.
**Brighton host an Arsenal side in scintillating form, but the Seagulls have serious defensive issues** that could make this a shoot-out. 🔫
Brighton's injury crisis is brutal — five key players out, including Wieffer and Mitoma. Still, they've won three of their last five and punched above their weight against Manchester United. Arsenal, meanwhile, are **5-0 in their last five**: ruthless, clinical, and looking like title contenders already.
Key storylines:
- **Arsenal's attack vs Brighton's leaky backline** — Havertz, Saka, and Gyökeres have been firing, and Brighton's missing too many defenders to hold firm
- **Brighton's midfield mettle** — Groß and Ayari will need to keep it tight; one slip and Arsenal run riot
- **Home advantage under pressure** — Verbruggen and Co. haven't lost at the Amex yet, but this is their toughest test
Expected lineups:
- **Brighton & Hove Albion**: Verbruggen, De Cuyper, Boscagli, Vušković, Costinha, Groß, Ayari, Kadıoğlu, Rutter, Gómez, Kostoulas
- **Arsenal**: Raya, Hincapié, Lewis-Skelly, Mosquera, Timber, Ødegaard, Rice, Saka, Tzolis, Havertz, Gyökeres
Prediction:
**Arsenal 2–1 Brighton**. The Gunners' form is too hot to ignore, but Brighton's scrappiness will at least trouble them. 🎯
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.5%.
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