Hull City 2-2 Everton: Stats, xG & Lineups – Oct 11, 2026

Commentary

90'

Full-time. Hull City 2-2 Everton.

90'

5 minutes of added time.

89'

C. Alcaraz

Attempt missed. C. Alcaraz (Everton), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

86'

S. Thomas

Substitution, Hull City: R. Vaz comes on for S. Thomas.

86'

J. Grealish

Substitution, Everton: T. Dibling comes on for J. Grealish.

86'

T. Barry

Substitution, Everton: C. Alcaraz comes on for T. Barry.

85'

Hull City

Corner, Hull City.

80'

M. Belloumi

Attempt blocked. M. Belloumi (Hull City), left-footed shot. xG 0.18.

78'

H. Armstrong

Substitution, Everton: H. Hackney comes on for H. Armstrong.

78'

A. Maitland-Niles

Substitution, Everton: J. O'Brien comes on for A. Maitland-Niles.

75'

R. Slater

Substitution, Hull City: H. Morita comes on for R. Slater.

74'

M. Belloumi

Goal! Hull City 2-2 Everton. M. Belloumi (Hull City) scores, assisted by E. Stroud.

71'

J. Egan

Attempt missed. J. Egan (Hull City), right-footed shot. xG 0.04.

68'

T. Barry

Goal! Hull City 1-2 Everton. T. Barry (Everton) scores, assisted by K. Dewsbury-Hall.

66'

B. Johnson

Substitution, Everton: T. George comes on for B. Johnson.

65'

M. Crooks

Substitution, Hull City: T. Iroegbunam comes on for M. Crooks.

64'

R. Giles

Substitution, Hull City: E. Stroud comes on for R. Giles.

64'

J. Gelhardt

Substitution, Hull City: M. Belloumi comes on for J. Gelhardt.

64'

Hull City

Offside, Hull City.

61'

Everton

Offside, Everton.

55'

K. Dewsbury-Hall

Goal! Hull City 1-1 Everton. K. Dewsbury-Hall (Everton) scores, assisted by A. Maitland-Niles.

54'

Everton

Corner, Everton.

53'

T. Barry

Attempt saved. T. Barry (Everton), header. xG 0.15.

52'

Hull City

Corner, Hull City.

51'

H. Armstrong

Attempt saved. H. Armstrong (Everton), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

48'

J. Gelhardt

Goal! Hull City 1-0 Everton. J. Gelhardt (Hull City) scores, assisted by S. Thomas.

46'

The second half is under way.

45'

Half-time. Hull City 0-0 Everton.

45+4'

Everton

Corner, Everton.

45+4'

B. Johnson

Attempt blocked. B. Johnson (Everton), left-footed shot. xG 0.04.

45+2'

T. Barry

Attempt missed. T. Barry (Everton), header. xG 0.11.

45+1'

J. Gelhardt

Attempt saved. J. Gelhardt (Hull City), right-footed shot. xG 0.10.

45+1'

J. Grealish

Attempt missed. J. Grealish (Everton), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

45'

4 minutes of added time.

44'

J. Gelhardt

Cleared off the line! J. Gelhardt (Hull City), left-footed shot. xG 0.11.

44'

N. Mendy

Attempt missed. N. Mendy (Hull City), header from a corner. xG 0.30.

42'

Hull City

Corner, Hull City.

42'

M. Keane

Attempt blocked. M. Keane (Everton), header from a corner. xG 0.01.

42'

Everton

Corner, Everton.

41'

T. Barry

Attempt blocked. T. Barry (Everton), right-footed shot. xG 0.06.

41'

Everton

Corner, Everton.

40'

S. Thomas

Attempt blocked. S. Thomas (Hull City), right-footed shot. xG 0.01.

34'

H. Armstrong

Cleared off the line! H. Armstrong (Everton), right-footed shot. xG 0.19.

34'

B. Johnson

VAR check complete: the goal for Everton stands.

32'

Hull City

Corner, Hull City.

27'

T. Barry

Attempt saved. T. Barry (Everton), header from a corner. xG 0.32.

27'

J. Branthwaite

Attempt missed. J. Branthwaite (Everton), left-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.07.

26'

Everton

Corner, Everton.

22'

J. Gelhardt

Attempt saved. J. Gelhardt (Hull City), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.04.

21'

O. McBurnie

Yellow card for O. McBurnie (Hull City) for foul.

19'

Everton

Offside, Everton.

13'

M. Crooks

Yellow card for M. Crooks (Hull City) for foul.

12'

Hull City

Corner, Hull City.

10'

Hull City

Corner, Hull City.

9'

J. Grealish

Attempt saved. J. Grealish (Everton), right-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.02.

5'

J. Garner

Attempt missed. J. Garner (Everton), right-footed shot from a free kick. xG 0.04.

5'

Everton

Corner, Everton.

1'

Kick-off: Hull City vs Everton.

Where the money is

2317438 EUR matched · captured 2 weeks, 5 days ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 1673711 EUR · live

Away 36.0 · implied 2.8%

59.8%

+57.0 vs price

Draw 1.05 · implied 95.2%

28.8%

-66.5 vs price

Home 32.0 · implied 3.1%

11.4%

+8.3 vs price

Half time 11350 EUR · live

Away 3.65 · implied 27.4%

66.3%

+38.9 vs price

Draw 1.7 · implied 58.8%

23.6%

-35.2 vs price

Home 7.0 · implied 14.3%

10.1%

-4.2 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 227267 EUR · live

Under 2.52 · implied 39.7%

54.4%

+14.7 vs price

Over 1.66 · implied 60.2%

45.6%

-14.7 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals 3656 EUR · live

Under 1.02 · implied 98.0%

85.7%

-12.3 vs price

Over 36.0 · implied 2.8%

14.3%

+11.5 vs price

19 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Goal On target Off target Blocked ● size = xG

Tap a player for their full match card.

Highlights 2 clips

Player of the match

Match events

13' M. Crooks · Foul

21' O. McBurnie · Foul

34' VAR Goal not given after review · B. Johnson

Half-time · 0–0

48' ⚽ J. Gelhardt · assist S. Thomas1–0

55' ⚽ K. Dewsbury-Hall · assist A. Maitland-Niles1–1

64' 🔁 M. Belloumi ◂ J. Gelhardt

64' 🔁 E. Stroud ◂ R. Giles

65' 🔁 T. Iroegbunam ◂ M. Crooks

66' 🔁 T. George ◂ B. Johnson

68' ⚽ T. Barry · assist K. Dewsbury-Hall1–2

74' ⚽ M. Belloumi · assist E. Stroud2–2

75' 🔁 H. Morita ◂ R. Slater

78' 🔁 J. O'Brien ◂ A. Maitland-Niles

78' 🔁 H. Hackney ◂ H. Armstrong

86' 🔁 C. Alcaraz ◂ T. Barry

86' 🔁 T. Dibling ◂ J. Grealish

86' 🔁 R. Vaz ◂ S. Thomas

Full-time · 2–2

Coaches

Sergej Jakirović

David Moyes

Recent form

Hull City

LANewcastle United1-2

DAChelsea2-2

LASunderland0-1

DHAston Villa0-0

WACoventry City1-0

Everton

WHIpswich Town1-0

WHWolverhampton1-0

DATottenham Hotspur0-0

DHManchester United2-2

DABournemouth1-1

About this match

**Hull's injury crisis meets Everton's steady run** — the Toffees come to the MKM as heavy favorites, but a depleted City side has already shown they can nick draws against top talent. 🔵

Hull are limping through a rough patch with five players out, while Everton sit pretty with back-to-back home wins and just one loss in five. That H2H edge (7 wins in 12) tells you everything about the quality gap here.

Key storylines:

- **Everton's defensive solidity** has been the foundation: two clean sheets in their last three, with **J. Tarkowski** and **J. Branthwaite** forming a tough pairing
- **O. McBurnie** will be Hull's focal point up front in a 5-4-1, needing service from a midfield stretched thin by injuries
- **K. Dewsbury-Hall** and **J. Garner** in the Everton engine room should dominate possession and tempo against Hull's injury-hit outfit

Expected lineups:

- **Hull City**: K. Tzolakis, J. Egan, S. Ajayi, L. Herrington, R. Giles, M. Belloumi, S. Thomas, R. Slater, L. Gourna-Douath, B. Norton-Cuffy, O. McBurnie
- **Everton**: J. Pickford, V. Mykolenko, J. Tarkowski, J. Branthwaite, A. Maitland-Niles, H. Armstrong, J. Garner, T. George, K. Dewsbury-Hall, B. Johnson, T. Barry

Prediction:

**0-2 to Everton**. The visitors have too much craft and Hull's injury list is just too long. 📉

Where to watch

Canal+ Live 2

Match facts

Stadium

MKM Stadium

City

Hull

Referee

Michael Salisbury

3.74 yellows/match · 31 matches

Kickoff

11 Oct, 13:00 UTC

Competition

Premier League

Highlights & clips

Hull City 5-4-1 · 4-2-3-1 Everton

19 K. Tzolakis 6.7 2 L. Coyle 6.1 6 S. Ajayi 6.5 15 J. Egan 6.4 32 N. Mendy 6.5 10 M. Belloumi 7.9 ↑ 64' 21 E. Stroud 6.8 ↑ 64' 42 T. Iroegbunam 6.4 ↑ 65' 5 H. Morita 6.6 ↑ 75' 47 R. Vaz 6.5 ↑ 86' 9 O. McBurnie 6.3 1 J. Pickford 6.0 15 J. O'Brien 6.6 ↑ 78' 6 J. Tarkowski 8.8 5 M. Keane 6.9 4 J. Branthwaite 6.4 37 J. Garner 8.1 30 H. Hackney 6.4 ↑ 78' 19 T. George 6.5 ↑ 66' 8 K. Dewsbury-Hall 8.4 20 T. Dibling 6.9 ↑ 86' 24 C. Alcaraz 6.5 ↑ 86'

Substitutes

12GD. Phillips 3DR. Giles↓ 64'6.2 17DP. McNair 22DL. Herrington 7MS. Thomas↓ 86'7.1 11MJ. Gelhardt↓ 64'7.0 27MR. Slater↓ 75'6.5 25MM. Crooks↓ 65'6.3 18MB. Norton-Cuffy

Coach: Sergej Jakirović

Substitutes

12GM. Travers 2DA. Maitland-Niles↓ 78'6.5 45MH. Armstrong↓ 78'7.3 10MJ. Grealish↓ 86'7.0 23MC. Nørgaard 34MM. Röhl 11FT. Barry↓ 86'7.9 22FB. Johnson↓ 66'6.4 58FB. Graham

Coach: David Moyes

Top stats

35%Possession65%

1.33Expected goals (xG)1.71

9Total shots15

5Shots on target7

2Big chances8

7Corners6

Shots

2Shots off target5

2Blocked shots3

9Shots inside box11

0Shots outside box4

1Big chances scored2

1Big chances missed6

-0.26Goals prevented-0.8

Attack

23Touches in box26

49Final third entries63

1Offsides4

4Free kicks15

0Fouled in final third2

Passing

307Passes588

223Accurate passes511

28/76 (37%)Long balls26/52 (50%)

3/23 (13%)Crosses4/21 (19%)

13Throw-ins20

Duels

39Duels61

29/62 (47%)Ground duels33/62 (53%)

7/31 (23%)Aerial duels24/31 (77%)

11/15 (73%)Dribbles4/12 (33%)

11Dispossessed6

Defending

14Tackles15

57Tackles won53

9Interceptions6

22Clearances34

55Recoveries55

Discipline

15Fouls4

2Yellow cards0

0Red cards0

Goalkeeping

4Saves2

4Goal kicks3

1Punches0

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 26 bookmakers

Hull 27%

28%

Everton 45%

1X2Everton to win 45% · 2.50 @ William Hill

CornersOver 8.5 corners 61% · 1.51 @ Pinnacle

GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 52% · 1.17 @ William Hill

1X2Draw 28% · 2.47 @ 1xBet

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 74% · 1.31 @ Pinnacle

BTTSBoth teams to score 52% · 3.50 @ William Hill

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 72% · 2.20 @ William Hill

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 62% · 1.60 @ betfair

CornersUnder 9.5 corners 51% · 2.00 @ betfair

Who winsHull to win (DNB) 54% · 2.62 @ Bet365

1X2Hull to win 27% · 3.68 @ 1xBet

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

3.50

Hull City

3.38

Draw

2.12

Everton

Double Chanceconsensus

1.72

Hull City or Draw

1.30

Hull City or Everton

1.29

Draw or Everton

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

1.80

Yes

1.92

No

Home Win to Nilconsensus

5.80

YES

Away Win to Nilconsensus

3.30

YES

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.04

Over 0.50

9.50

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.30

Over 1.50

3.40

Under 1.50

Total Goals 2.50consensus

2.01

Over 2.50

1.81

Under 2.50

Total Goals 3.50consensus

3.60

Over 3.50

1.29

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

7.25

Over 4.50

1.07

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

2.48

Hull City

1.48

Everton

Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus

1.22

Over 7.50

3.47

Under 7.50

Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus

1.43

Over 8.50

2.49

Under 8.50

Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus

1.80

Over 9.50

1.95

Under 9.50

Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus

2.20

Over 10.50

1.56

Under 10.50

Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus

2.85

Over 11.50

1.34

Under 11.50

Full odds via API →

No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.0%.

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

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