Everton 0-2 Chelsea: Stats, xG & Lineups – Oct 17, 2026

Commentary

90'

Full-time. Everton 0-2 Chelsea.

90+12'

P. Neto

Substitution, Chelsea: G. Quenda comes on for P. Neto.

90+9'

Everton

Offside, Everton.

90+7'

Everton

Corner, Everton.

90+2'

J. Pedro

Substitution, Chelsea: D. Welbeck comes on for J. Pedro.

90+2'

J. Hato

Substitution, Chelsea: M. Palestra comes on for J. Hato.

90+2'

M. Caicedo

Substitution, Chelsea: R. Lavia comes on for M. Caicedo.

90'

11 minutes of added time.

90'

P. Neto

Goal! Everton 0-2 Chelsea. P. Neto (Chelsea) scores.

90'

J. Henderson

Attempt blocked. J. Henderson (Chelsea), right-footed shot from a free kick. xG 0.09.

89'

C. Nørgaard

Yellow card for C. Nørgaard (Everton) for foul.

88'

J. Branthwaite

Attempt missed. J. Branthwaite (Everton), right-footed shot from a throw-in. xG 0.07.

88'

T. Barry

Attempt saved. T. Barry (Everton), header from a throw-in. xG 0.06.

87'

C. Palmer

Attempt blocked. C. Palmer (Chelsea), left-footed shot. xG 0.04.

86'

J. Pedro

Attempt saved. J. Pedro (Chelsea), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.12.

86'

C. Palmer

Attempt missed. C. Palmer (Chelsea), header on the counter. xG 0.02.

85'

H. Armstrong

Substitution, Everton: C. Nørgaard comes on for H. Armstrong.

85'

J. Grealish

Substitution, Everton: B. Johnson comes on for J. Grealish.

83'

Everton

Corner, Everton.

82'

J. Pedro

Attempt saved. J. Pedro (Chelsea), header from a corner. xG 0.08.

82'

C. Palmer

Attempt missed. C. Palmer (Chelsea), left-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.01.

81'

Chelsea

Corner, Chelsea.

80'

Chelsea

Offside, Chelsea.

75'

E. Martínez

Substitution, Chelsea: M. Penders comes on for E. Martínez.

65'

C. Palmer

Yellow card for C. Palmer (Chelsea) for argument.

64'

J. Pedro

Attempt missed. J. Pedro (Chelsea), left-footed shot. xG 0.05.

63'

Everton

Offside, Everton.

57'

C. Palmer

Attempt missed. C. Palmer (Chelsea), left-footed shot. xG 0.01.

56'

M. Rogers

Attempt blocked. M. Rogers (Chelsea), right-footed shot. xG 0.16.

56'

M. Rogers

Attempt missed. M. Rogers (Chelsea), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.01.

56'

Chelsea

Corner, Chelsea.

55'

A. Maitland-Niles

Substitution, Everton: T. George comes on for A. Maitland-Niles.

53'

C. Palmer

Attempt blocked. C. Palmer (Chelsea), left-footed shot. xG 0.02.

52'

Chelsea

Corner, Chelsea.

46'

P. Neto

Goal! Everton 0-1 Chelsea. P. Neto (Chelsea) scores.

46'

The second half is under way.

45'

Half-time. Everton 0-0 Chelsea.

45+3'

M. Lacroix

Cleared off the line! M. Lacroix (Chelsea), header from a corner. xG 0.27.

45+2'

Chelsea

Corner, Chelsea.

45+2'

Chelsea

Corner, Chelsea.

45+1'

Chelsea

Corner, Chelsea.

45+1'

P. Neto

Attempt saved. P. Neto (Chelsea), left-footed shot. xG 0.02.

45'

3 minutes of added time.

40'

M. Caicedo

Off the woodwork! M. Caicedo (Chelsea), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.05.

40'

Chelsea

Corner, Chelsea.

37'

T. Barry

Attempt saved. T. Barry (Everton), right-footed shot. xG 0.10.

34'

M. Rogers

Yellow card for M. Rogers (Chelsea) for argument.

34'

J. Tarkowski

Yellow card for J. Tarkowski (Everton) for argument.

32'

J. Acheampong

Yellow card for J. Acheampong (Chelsea) for foul.

30'

J. Grealish

Attempt saved. J. Grealish (Everton), right-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.04.

30'

Everton

Corner, Everton.

27'

T. Barry

Attempt saved. T. Barry (Everton), header from a corner. xG 0.14.

27'

P. Neto

Yellow card for P. Neto (Chelsea) for argument.

26'

Everton

Corner, Everton.

26'

M. Röhl

Attempt saved. M. Röhl (Everton), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

25'

Everton

Offside, Everton.

23'

H. Armstrong

Yellow card for H. Armstrong (Everton) for foul.

21'

J. Henderson

Attempt blocked. J. Henderson (Chelsea), right-footed shot. xG 0.15.

16'

Everton

Corner, Everton.

15'

C. Palmer

Attempt saved. C. Palmer (Chelsea), left-footed shot. xG 0.03.

12'

Everton

Offside, Everton.

1'

Kick-off: Everton vs Chelsea.

Where the money is

4216275 EUR matched · captured 1 week, 6 days ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 2114703 EUR · live

Away 1.01 · implied 99.0%

78.3%

-20.7 vs price

Home 1000.0 · implied 0.1%

14.0%

+13.9 vs price

Draw 1000.0 · implied 0.1%

7.7%

+7.6 vs price

Half time 2114 EUR

Away 3.05 · implied 32.8%

47.5%

+14.7 vs price

Draw 2.5 · implied 40.0%

41.6%

+1.6 vs price

Home 3.7 · implied 27.0%

10.9%

-16.1 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 582687 EUR · live

Under 1.03 · implied 97.1%

76.0%

-21.1 vs price

Over 44.0 · implied 2.3%

24.0%

+21.7 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals 6168 EUR

Under 1.18 · implied 84.7%

53.2%

-31.6 vs price

Over 6.8 · implied 14.7%

46.8%

+32.1 vs price

19 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Goal On target Off target Blocked ● size = xG

Tap a player for their full match card.

Highlights 1 clip

Player of the match

Match events

23' H. Armstrong · Foul

27' P. Neto · Argument

32' J. Acheampong · Foul

34' M. Rogers · Argument

34' J. Tarkowski · Argument

Half-time · 0–0

46' ⚽ P. Neto0–1

55' 🔁 T. George ◂ A. Maitland-Niles

65' C. Palmer · Argument

75' 🔁 M. Penders ◂ E. Martínez

85' 🔁 B. Johnson ◂ J. Grealish

85' 🔁 C. Nørgaard ◂ H. Armstrong

89' C. Nørgaard · Foul

Full-time · 0–2

90' ⚽ P. Neto0–2

90'⁺² 🔁 R. Lavia ◂ M. Caicedo

90'⁺² 🔁 M. Palestra ◂ J. Hato

90'⁺² 🔁 D. Welbeck ◂ J. Pedro

90'⁺¹² 🔁 G. Quenda ◂ P. Neto

Coaches

David Moyes

Xabi Alonso

Recent form

Everton

DAHull City2-2

WHIpswich Town1-0

WHWolverhampton1-0

DATottenham Hotspur0-0

DHManchester United2-2

Chelsea

WHBournemouth5-1

LABrentford0-3

DHHull City2-2

WHLeeds United6-3

LAArsenal1-2

About this match

**Everton's unbeaten run meets Chelsea's choppy waters** — the Toffees have found their rhythm with two wins and three draws, while the Blues are all over the place. 🔵

Everton's recent form is genuinely solid, picking up back-to-back home wins. Chelsea just demolished Bournemouth but then got mauled by Brentford, so consistency isn't exactly their calling card right now. The away team's injury woes — **J. Gittens** and **R. James** both sidelined — could be the opening Everton needs.

Key storylines:

- **Everton's home form** has been the difference; they've won their last two at Hill Dickinson and won't want to let that slip against a vulnerable visitor
- **Chelsea's defense** is stretched thin without **R. James**, giving space for **B. Johnson** and **K. Dewsbury-Hall** to exploit down the wing
- **J. Pickford** vs **C. Palmer's creativity** — the Everton keeper will face some moments, but Chelsea's playmaking is fractured without their usual fullback depth

Expected lineups:

- **Everton**: J. Pickford, V. Mykolenko, J. Tarkowski, J. Branthwaite, A. Maitland-Niles, H. Armstrong, J. Garner, T. George, K. Dewsbury-Hall, B. Johnson, T. Barry
- **Chelsea**: E. Martínez, P. Chavarría, M. Lacroix, L. Colwill, J. Acheampong, M. Rogers, R. Lavia, V. Barco, C. Palmer, J. Pedro, P. Neto

Prediction:

**Everton 2–1 Chelsea**. The Toffees edge it with home advantage and momentum, though Chelsea's quality keeps it tight. ⚪

Where to watch

TODbeIN 4KbeIN SPORTS 1beIN SPORTS ENGLISH 1

Match facts

Stadium

Hill Dickinson Stadium

City

Liverpool

Referee

Paul Tierney

3.66 yellows/match · 32 matches

Kickoff

17 Oct, 11:30 UTC

Competition

Premier League

Highlights & clips

Everton 4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1 Chelsea

1 J. Pickford 5.9 19 T. George 6.5 ↑ 55' 6 J. Tarkowski 6.9 4 J. Branthwaite 6.6 16 V. Mykolenko 7.2 23 C. Nørgaard 6.3 ↑ 85' 37 J. Garner 6.6 34 M. Röhl 7.0 8 K. Dewsbury-Hall 7.0 22 B. Johnson 5.8 ↑ 85' 11 T. Barry 6.8 39 M. Penders 7.2 ↑ 75' 34 J. Acheampong 7.0 5 M. Lacroix 6.9 6 L. Colwill 6.9 2 M. Palestra 6.7 ↑ 90' 23 G. Quenda ↑ 90' 14 J. Henderson 7.1 45 R. Lavia 6.8 ↑ 90' 10 C. Palmer 6.9 17 M. Rogers 7.0 18 D. Welbeck 6.4 ↑ 90'

Substitutes

12GM. Travers 2DA. Maitland-Niles↓ 55'6.2 15DJ. O'Brien 45MH. Armstrong↓ 85'7.0 10MJ. Grealish↓ 85'6.6 20MT. Dibling 24MC. Alcaraz 30MH. Hackney 58FB. Graham

Coach: David Moyes

Substitutes

1GE. Martínez↓ 75'7.4 21DJ. Hato↓ 90'7.2 3DW. Fofana 7MP. Neto↓ 90'9.4 25MM. Caicedo↓ 90'6.9 41MEstêvão 32MM. Nicoll-Jazuli 4MV. Barco 9FJ. Pedro↓ 90'6.8

Coach: Xabi Alonso

Top stats

47%Possession53%

0.43Expected goals (xG)1.47

6Total shots18

5Shots on target7

2Big chances3

5Corners7

Shots

1Shots off target6

1Blocked shots5

6Shots inside box10

0Shots outside box8

0Hit woodwork1

0Big chances scored1

2Big chances missed2

0.13Goals prevented0.7

Attack

17Touches in box21

56Final third entries55

4Offsides1

15Free kicks8

2Fouled in final third2

Passing

408Passes463

329Accurate passes391

24/55 (44%)Long balls23/57 (40%)

3/20 (15%)Crosses3/14 (21%)

21Throw-ins20

Duels

43Duels57

25/55 (45%)Ground duels30/55 (55%)

14/35 (40%)Aerial duels21/35 (60%)

5/12 (42%)Dribbles9/12 (75%)

7Dispossessed4

Defending

7Tackles14

57Tackles won57

7Interceptions4

23Clearances29

39Recoveries37

Discipline

8Fouls15

3Yellow cards4

0Red cards0

Goalkeeping

4Saves5

1Big saves0

4Goal kicks10

1Punches1

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 25 bookmakers

Everton 30%

26%

Chelsea 44%

Who winsChelsea to win (DNB) 55% · 1.75 @ Betsson

1X2Chelsea to win 44% · 2.50 @ William Hill

BTTSBoth teams to score 60% · 2.80 @ 1xBet

GoalsOver 2.5 goals 57% · 3.84 @ 1xBet

CornersOver 9.5 corners 50% · 1.72 @ Pinnacle

CornersOver 8.5 corners 62% · 1.36 @ betfair

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 79% · 1.92 @ 1xBet

1X2Draw 26% · 2.67 @ 1xBet

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 62% · 1.70 @ Pinnacle

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 66% · 1.50 @ Bet365

1X2Everton to win 30% · 3.28 @ 1xBet

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

3.10

Everton

3.70

Draw

2.15

Chelsea

Double Chanceconsensus

1.67

Everton or Draw

1.27

Everton or Chelsea

1.35

Draw or Chelsea

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

1.55

Yes

2.37

No

Home Win to Nilconsensus

6.00

YES

Away Win to Nilconsensus

4.40

YES

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.01

Over 0.50

13.00

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.18

Over 1.50

4.50

Under 1.50

Total Goals 2.50consensus

1.65

Over 2.50

2.26

Under 2.50

Total Goals 3.50consensus

2.62

Over 3.50

1.46

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

4.62

Over 4.50

1.17

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

2.09

Everton

1.70

Chelsea

Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus

1.19

Over 7.50

3.76

Under 7.50

Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus

1.35

Over 8.50

2.79

Under 8.50

Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus

1.65

Over 9.50

2.10

Under 9.50

Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus

2.10

Over 10.50

1.69

Under 10.50

Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus

2.62

Over 11.50

1.40

Under 11.50

Full odds via API →

No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.0%.

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

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