Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedTap a player for their full match card.
**Chelsea's been breezing through matches, but Tottenham's a different beast** — this is the kind of fixture where recent form can get turned on its head. 🔥
Chelsea cruised past Bournemouth and Everton, though that Brentford reality check reminds you they're not untouchable. Spurs have wobbled lately (2D, 2L in their last five), but they've got Chelsea's number historically and always show up for derbies.
Key storylines:
- **Chelsea's injury list is rough** — Martínez, James, and Emegha out — but Palmer and Neto up front should still pack enough punch at Stamford Bridge
- **Tottenham's midfield balance** — Tonali and Bentancur anchoring while Maddison pulls strings; they'll need to stay compact against Chelsea's pace
- **The head-to-head gap is real** — Chelsea's 45 wins to Spurs' 10 in 77 meetings sets the narrative, but recent derbies are always tight
Expected lineups:
- **Chelsea**: Penders, Hato, Lacroix, Colwill, Acheampong, Rogers, Lavia, Henderson, Palmer, Pedro, Neto
- **Tottenham Hotspur**: Kinský, Robertson, van Hecke, van de Ven, Gray, Tonali, Bentancur, Tel, Maddison, Kudus, Marmoush
Prediction:
**Chelsea 2-1 Tottenham Hotspur**. Home advantage, better form, and that historical edge tilts it blues' way, but Spurs will make it uncomfortable. ⚽
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
Report a data issue
Spotted something wrong on this match? Tell us what and we'll fix it.