Crystal Palace 0-2 Newcastle United: Stats & xG

Commentary

90'

Full-time. Crystal Palace 0-2 Newcastle United.

90+9'

E. Nketiah

Attempt missed. E. Nketiah (Crystal Palace), header from a corner. xG 0.05.

90+9'

Crystal Palace

Corner, Crystal Palace.

90+5'

A. Dedić

Substitution, Newcastle United: M. Thiaw comes on for A. Dedić.

90+3'

J. Canvot

Yellow card for J. Canvot (Crystal Palace) for foul.

90+3'

A. Disasi

Attempt blocked. A. Disasi (Crystal Palace), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

90+1'

Crystal Palace

Corner, Crystal Palace.

90+1'

Y. Pino

Attempt blocked. Y. Pino (Crystal Palace), right-footed shot. xG 0.07.

90'

6 minutes of added time.

89'

D. Osorio

Attempt missed. D. Osorio (Crystal Palace), left-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.06.

89'

Crystal Palace

Corner, Crystal Palace.

85'

D. Osorio

Attempt missed. D. Osorio (Crystal Palace), right-footed shot. xG 0.08.

85'

Joelinton

Substitution, Newcastle United: S. Steur comes on for Joelinton.

80'

Crystal Palace

Offside, Crystal Palace.

79'

A. Khalaili

Yellow card for A. Khalaili (Crystal Palace) for argument.

78'

L. Hall

Yellow card for L. Hall (Newcastle United) for time wasting.

77'

W. Osula

Substitution, Newcastle United: Y. Wissa comes on for W. Osula.

77'

J. Willock

Substitution, Newcastle United: J. Ramsey comes on for J. Willock.

77'

H. Barnes

Substitution, Newcastle United: A. Elanga comes on for H. Barnes.

75'

Y. Pino

Yellow card for Y. Pino (Crystal Palace) for argument.

73'

Crystal Palace

Offside, Crystal Palace.

72'

A. Disasi

Attempt missed. A. Disasi (Crystal Palace), header from a corner. xG 0.09.

71'

Crystal Palace

Corner, Crystal Palace.

71'

D. Osorio

Attempt saved. D. Osorio (Crystal Palace), left-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.02.

71'

C. Richards

Attempt missed. C. Richards (Crystal Palace), header from a corner. xG 0.04.

70'

Crystal Palace

Corner, Crystal Palace.

68'

H. Barnes

Attempt missed. H. Barnes (Newcastle United), right-footed shot. xG 0.04.

66'

Joelinton

Attempt missed. Joelinton (Newcastle United), right-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.01.

63'

Crystal Palace

Corner, Crystal Palace.

63'

A. Wharton

Attempt saved. A. Wharton (Crystal Palace), left-footed shot. xG 0.03.

63'

D. McNeil

Substitution, Crystal Palace: D. Osorio comes on for D. McNeil.

62'

J. Mateta

Substitution, Crystal Palace: E. Nketiah comes on for J. Mateta.

58'

H. Barnes

Goal! Crystal Palace 0-2 Newcastle United. H. Barnes (Newcastle United) scores, assisted by A. Dedić.

57'

Joelinton

Attempt missed. Joelinton (Newcastle United), header from a corner. xG 0.07.

56'

Newcastle United

Corner, Newcastle United.

55'

Newcastle United

Corner, Newcastle United.

54'

Newcastle United

Corner, Newcastle United.

54'

H. Barnes

Attempt blocked. H. Barnes (Newcastle United), right-footed shot from a throw-in. xG 0.06.

53'

J. Willock

VAR check complete: the goal for Newcastle United stands.

53'

Newcastle United

Offside, Newcastle United.

47'

W. Osula

Goal! Crystal Palace 0-1 Newcastle United. W. Osula (Newcastle United) scores, assisted by J. Murphy.

46'

The second half is under way.

45'

Half-time. Crystal Palace 0-0 Newcastle United.

45+1'

F. Schär

Yellow card for F. Schär (Newcastle United) for foul.

45'

1 minute of added time.

36'

N. González

Yellow card for N. González (Newcastle United) for foul.

34'

Newcastle United

Corner, Newcastle United.

30'

D. Burn

Attempt missed. D. Burn (Newcastle United), header from a set piece. xG 0.08.

26'

H. Barnes

Attempt blocked. H. Barnes (Newcastle United), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

25'

H. Barnes

Attempt blocked. H. Barnes (Newcastle United), right-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.01.

21'

D. McNeil

Attempt missed. D. McNeil (Crystal Palace), left-footed shot. xG 0.04.

16'

Crystal Palace

Offside, Crystal Palace.

16'

Crystal Palace

Offside, Crystal Palace.

12'

J. Mateta

Attempt missed. J. Mateta (Crystal Palace), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.04.

9'

W. Osula

Attempt blocked. W. Osula (Newcastle United), right-footed shot. xG 0.06.

7'

D. Kamada

Attempt missed. D. Kamada (Crystal Palace), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.09.

4'

T. Mitchell

Attempt blocked. T. Mitchell (Crystal Palace), left-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.01.

3'

Crystal Palace

Corner, Crystal Palace.

3'

A. Disasi

Attempt blocked. A. Disasi (Crystal Palace), right-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.10.

3'

A. Disasi

Attempt blocked. A. Disasi (Crystal Palace), right-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.12.

3'

J. Mateta

Attempt saved. J. Mateta (Crystal Palace), left-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.62.

3'

J. Mateta

Attempt saved. J. Mateta (Crystal Palace), left-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.63.

1'

Kick-off: Crystal Palace vs Newcastle United.

Where the money is

1067614 EUR matched · captured 1 week, 3 days ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 739059 EUR · live

Away 1.01 · implied 99.0%

62.2%

-36.8 vs price

Home 1000.0 · implied 0.1%

23.7%

+23.6 vs price

Draw 1000.0 · implied 0.1%

14.3%

+14.2 vs price

Half time 664 EUR

Draw 2.52 · implied 39.7%

77.7%

+38.0 vs price

Home 3.4 · implied 29.4%

15.2%

-14.3 vs price

Away 3.15 · implied 31.7%

8.5%

-23.3 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 141333 EUR · live

Under 1.04 · implied 96.2%

73.4%

-22.8 vs price

Over 26.0 · implied 3.8%

26.7%

+22.8 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals 130 EUR

Over 6.8 · implied 14.7%

67.1%

+52.4 vs price

Under 1.19 · implied 84.0%

65.9%

-18.1 vs price

19 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Goal On target Off target Blocked ● size = xG

Tap a player for their full match card.

Highlights 2 clips

Player of the match

Match events

36' N. González · Foul

Half-time · 0–0

45'⁺¹ F. Schär · Foul

47' ⚽ W. Osula · assist J. Murphy0–1

53' VAR Goal not given after review · J. Willock

58' ⚽ H. Barnes · assist A. Dedić0–2

62' 🔁 E. Nketiah ◂ J. Mateta

63' 🔁 D. Osorio ◂ D. McNeil

75' Y. Pino · Argument

77' 🔁 A. Elanga ◂ H. Barnes

77' 🔁 J. Ramsey ◂ J. Willock

77' 🔁 Y. Wissa ◂ W. Osula

78' L. Hall · Time wasting

79' A. Khalaili · Argument

85' 🔁 S. Steur ◂ Joelinton

Full-time · 0–2

90'⁺³ J. Canvot · Foul

90'⁺⁵ 🔁 M. Thiaw ◂ A. Dedić

Coaches

Pierre Sage

Matthias Jaissle

Recent form

Crystal Palace

DABeşiktaş JK2-2

LABrighton & Hove Albion0-5

LAOlympique Lyonnais2-3

WHNottingham Forest3-1

LHBristol City0-2

Newcastle United

LHAston Villa0-1

LACoventry City1-4

WHHull City2-1

LALeeds United1-4

WAMillwall1-0

About this match

**Crystal Palace host Newcastle in a Selhurst Park showdown neither side can afford to stumble in** — both are treading water in the league, and this one feels wide open. 🏟️

Palace are **battling inconsistency** (1W in five), while Newcastle have dropped points in three of their last four. The visitors hold a solid head-to-head edge historically, but form says this is anyone's game right now.

Key storylines:

- **Y. Pino and Q. Timber** need to create early rhythm for Palace's attacking threat in a thin midfield
- Newcastle's backline (S. Botman, M. Thiaw) faces a tricky test against Palace's fluid front four
- Both camps are thin on the flanks and depth — injuries bite hard here

Expected lineups:

- **Crystal Palace**: W. Benítez, A. Disasi, C. Richards, H. Ahanor, T. Mitchell, J. Lerma, Q. Timber, Y. Pino
- **Newcastle United**: L. Horníček, L. Hall, S. Botman, A. Dedić, N. González, L. Miley, H. Barnes, J. Willock

Prediction:

**1-1 Draw** — both defenses look solid enough to hold firm, and neither has the cutting edge to break through convincingly. Lean draw.

Where to watch

TODbeIN SPORTS 3

Match facts

Stadium

Selhurst Park

City

London

Referee

Paul Tierney

3.66 yellows/match · 32 matches

Kickoff

25 Oct, 14:00 UTC

Competition

Premier League

Highlights & clips

Crystal Palace 3-4-2-1 · 4-2-3-1 Newcastle United

44 W. Benítez 5.5 26 C. Richards 6.3 5 A. Disasi 6.5 6 J. Canvot 6.6 25 A. Khalaili 7.3 20 A. Wharton 6.4 18 D. Kamada 6.5 3 T. Mitchell 6.7 24 D. Osorio 7.1 ↑ 63' 10 Y. Pino 6.6 9 E. Nketiah 6.4 ↑ 62' 21 L. Horníček 8.2 12 M. Thiaw ↑ 90' 5 F. Schär 7.4 33 D. Burn 7.4 3 L. Hall 7.3 6 N. González 7.7 14 S. Steur 6.5 ↑ 85' 23 J. Murphy 7.6 41 J. Ramsey 6.6 ↑ 77' 9 Y. Wissa 6.8 ↑ 77' 19 A. Elanga 6.7 ↑ 77'

Substitutes

31GR. Matthews 33DB. Chilwell 11MD. McNeil↓ 63'6.8 8MJ. Lerma 30MÓ. Mingueza 19MW. Hughes 28MC. Doucouré 14FJ. Mateta↓ 62'6.1 29FE. Guessand

Coach: Pierre Sage

Substitutes

1GN. Pope 37DA. Dedić↓ 90'7.5 4DS. Botman 11MH. Barnes↓ 77'7.5 7MJoelinton↓ 85'6.9 28MJ. Willock↓ 77'6.3 8MA. Bamba 17MB. Touré 10FW. Osula↓ 77'7.4

Coach: Matthias Jaissle

Top stats

53%Possession47%

1.59Expected goals (xG)0.95

17Total shots10

4Shots on target2

2Big chances2

7Corners4

Shots

8Shots off target4

5Blocked shots4

9Shots inside box7

8Shots outside box3

0Big chances scored2

2Big chances missed1

-0.73Goals prevented0.86

Attack

30Touches in box18

50Final third entries67

4Offsides1

10Free kicks12

3Fouled in final third2

Passing

385Passes352

267Accurate passes246

18/56 (32%)Long balls21/67 (31%)

3/20 (15%)Crosses3/14 (21%)

24Throw-ins16

Duels

49Duels51

39/68 (57%)Ground duels29/68 (43%)

14/40 (35%)Aerial duels26/40 (65%)

8/15 (53%)Dribbles8/17 (47%)

4Dispossessed12

Defending

21Tackles11

81Tackles won55

16Interceptions10

28Clearances44

54Recoveries52

Discipline

12Fouls10

3Yellow cards3

0Red cards0

Goalkeeping

0Saves4

0Big saves2

9Goal kicks10

1Punches2

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 24 bookmakers

Crystal Palace 33%

26%

Newcastle 41%

BTTSBoth teams to score 63% · 2.70 @ William Hill

1X2Newcastle to win 41% · 2.90 @ William Hill

GoalsOver 2.5 goals 61% · 3.75 @ William Hill

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 81% · 1.85 @ 1xBet

CornersOver 8.5 corners 61% · 1.40 @ betfair

1X2Draw 26% · 2.75 @ Bet365

Who winsCrystal Palace to win (DNB) 60% · 2.10 @ Bet365

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 63% · 1.69 @ Pinnacle

CornersUnder 9.5 corners 51% · 2.09 @ Pinnacle

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 62% · 1.53 @ Bet365

1X2Crystal Palace to win 33% · 2.87 @ Bet365

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

2.60

Crystal Palace

3.50

Draw

2.62

Newcastle United

Double Chanceconsensus

1.51

Crystal Palace or Draw

1.29

Crystal Palace or Newcastle United

1.44

Draw or Newcastle United

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

1.46

Yes

2.55

No

Home Win to Nilconsensus

5.00

YES

Away Win to Nilconsensus

5.00

YES

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.02

Over 0.50

13.00

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.20

Over 1.50

4.50

Under 1.50

Total Goals 2.50consensus

1.67

Over 2.50

2.24

Under 2.50

Total Goals 3.50consensus

2.55

Over 3.50

1.50

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

4.78

Over 4.50

1.18

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

2.05

Crystal Palace

1.73

Newcastle United

Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus

1.21

Over 7.50

3.58

Under 7.50

Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus

1.40

Over 8.50

2.66

Under 8.50

Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus

1.74

Over 9.50

2.00

Under 9.50

Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus

2.17

Over 10.50

1.62

Under 10.50

Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus

2.75

Over 11.50

1.37

Under 11.50

Full odds via API →

Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.

Over 1.5 goals

✓

81% confidence

A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

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