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Gian Piero Gasperini
AS Roma
Fiorentina
AS Roma
3-4-2-1 · 4-3-2-1
Fiorentina
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
1581068 EUR · live
Home
1.01 · implied 99.0%
87.8%
-11.2 vs price
Draw
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
6.7%
+6.6 vs price
Away
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
5.5%
+5.4 vs price
Half time
11261 EUR · live
Home
1.08 · implied 92.6%
81.0%
-11.6 vs price
Draw
13.0 · implied 7.7%
13.1%
+5.4 vs price
Away
250.0 · implied 0.4%
5.9%
+5.5 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
104336 EUR · live
Under
3.0 · implied 33.3%
66.6%
+33.3 vs price
Over
1.5 · implied 66.7%
33.4%
-33.3 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
13693 EUR · live
Under
1.01 · implied 99.0%
95.7%
-3.3 vs price
Over
50.0 · implied 2.0%
4.3%
+2.3 vs price
14 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 2 clips
Player of the match
Match events
27'
⚽
D. Malen · assist P. Dybala1–0
30'
N. Fagioli · Foul
39'
M. Hermoso · Foul
Half-time · 1–0
49'
M. Koné · Foul
52'
⚽
D. Malen · assist P. Dybala2–0
54'
🔁
M. Soulé ◂ R. Mora
60'
⚽
D. Malen · assist P. Dybala3–0
62'
🔁
C. I. Oulaï ◂ N. Fagioli
62'
🔁
A. Jiménez ◂ M. Brescianini
63'
M. Pellegrino · Argument
63'
🔁
M. Kean ◂ F. Mastantuono
68'
🔁
K. Koulierakis ◂ M. Hermoso
68'
🔁
S. Castro ◂ D. Malen
74'
🔁
R. Mandragora ◂ A. Atta
79'
🔁
N. Pisilli ◂ M. Koné
79'
🔁
N. El Aynaoui ◂ P. Dybala
80'
🔁
V. Valdepeñas ◂ J. Mário
86'
⚽
N. Pisilli4–0
Full-time · 4–0
Coaches
Fabio Grosso 
Recent form
DABorussia Dortmund2-2
LABrighton & Hove Albion0-3
WANewport County4-1
LACardiff City1-4
DAAS Cannes3-3
WHBenevento4-1
DHDeportivo de A Coruña1-1
DAReal Madrid2-2
WAWatford1-0
LAQueens Park Rangers2-3
Where to watch
Disney+ Premium ArgentinaESPN 2 ArgentinaESPN 2 Sur
DAZN AustriaPrime Video
Arena Sport Premium 3
DAZN1 BelgiumPrime Video
Disney+ Premium ChileESPN 2 Sur
BetanoDisney+Prime VideoYouTube - CazéTV
ESPN 2 Norte
Disney+ Premium ChileESPN 2 Sur
ESPN 2 Norte
Cytavision Sports 4HD
DAZN
TV2 Play DenmarkTV2 Sport
ESPN 2 Norte
ESPN 2 Sur
Prime Video
TV2 Play DenmarkTV2 Sport
DAZN UK
TV2 Sport
MAGENTA | 3HD
ESPN 2 Norte
ESPN 2 Norte
Arena Sport 2 HR
Arena4
DAZN
DAZN1 Belgium
Arena Sport Premium 3
ESPN 2 Norte
ESPN 2 Norte
ESPN 2 Norte
Disney+ Premium ChileESPN 2 Sur
Eleven Sports 1 HDPolsat Sport 3
Sport TV2
Disney+ Premium ArgentinaESPN 2 Sur
Digi Sport 2
Arena Sport Premium 3
Match! TV
TV4 Sport Live 1
DAZN
ESPN 2 Norte
Prime Video
Disney+ Premium ArgentinaESPN 2 Sur
Match facts
Stadium
Stadio Olimpico
City
Rome
Kickoff
24 Aug, 18:45 UTC
Competition
Serie A
Highlights & clips
99
M. Svilar
7.1
23
G. Mancini
7.5
5
E. Ndicka
7.6
3
K. Koulierakis
6.9
↑ 68'
77
E. Lulli
7.1
4
B. Cristante
8.4
8
N. El Aynaoui
6.7
↑ 79'
43
Wesley
7.2
61
N. Pisilli
7.7
↑ 79'
18
M. Soulé
6.8
↑ 54'
9
S. Castro
6.6
↑ 68'
43
D. De Gea
5.8
2
Dodô
5.7
3
R. Drăguşin
6.5
6
L. Ranieri
5.8
21
V. Valdepeñas
6.2
↑ 80'
27
C. Ndour
6.3
20
A. Jiménez
6.2
↑ 62'
42
C. I. Oulaï
6.9
↑ 62'
9
M. Kean
6.4
↑ 63'
8
R. Mandragora
5.8
↑ 74'
32
M. Pellegrino
5.8
Substitutes
70GG. D. Marzi
95GP. Gollini
22DM. Hermoso↓ 68'7.0
20DN. Molina
87DD. Ghilardi
24DJ. Ziółkowski
17MM. Koné↓ 79'7.2
86MR. Mora↓ 54'6.6
14FD. Malen↓ 68'10.0
21FP. Dybala↓ 79'9.1
78FR. Vaz
Coach: Gian Piero Gasperini
Top stats
61%Possession39%
3.07Expected goals (xG)0.35
17Total shots9
8Shots on target4
5Big chances0
2Corners3
Shots
6Shots off target5
3Blocked shots0
13Shots inside box3
4Shots outside box6
0Hit woodwork0
3Big chances scored0
2Big chances missed0
0.36Goals prevented-1.0
Attack
41Touches in box8
57Final third entries37
1Offsides1
11Free kicks15
3Fouled in final third2
Passing
539Passes343
478Accurate passes285
19/38 (50%)Long balls17/45 (38%)
3/14 (21%)Crosses2/11 (18%)
15Throw-ins21
Duels
61Duels39
42/72 (58%)Ground duels30/72 (42%)
17/24 (71%)Aerial duels7/24 (29%)
9/14 (64%)Dribbles5/18 (28%)
5Dispossessed9
Defending
22Tackles10
68Tackles won80
9Interceptions5
17Clearances23
54Recoveries42
Discipline
15Fouls11
2Yellow cards2
Goalkeeping
4Saves4
0Big saves1
6Goal kicks12
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 76 bookmakers
Who winsRoma to win (DNB) 78% · 1.30 @ forbet
1X2Roma to win 59% · 2.10 @ 888Sport
BTTSBTTS: No 50% · 1.30 @ 10bet
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 68% · 1.37 @ Unibet
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 56% · 1.70 @ 10bet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 72% · 1.37 @ Pinnacle
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 50% · 4.80 @ William Hill
1X2Draw 24% · 2.80 @ betcity
CornersOver 8.5 corners 56% · 1.75 @ Pinnacle
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 73% · 2.15 @ 888Sport
1X2Fiorentina to win 17% · 5.50 @ betcity
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.57
AS Roma ▲
4.03
Draw ▼
5.73
Fiorentina ▼
Double Chanceconsensus
1.13
AS Roma or Draw ▼
1.23
AS Roma or Fiorentina
2.34
Draw or Fiorentina ▼
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.91
Yes ▲
1.82
No ▲
Home Clean Sheetconsensus
2.30
YES
1.55
NO
Away Clean Sheetconsensus
4.75
YES
1.15
NO
Home Win to Nilconsensus
2.85
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
8.00
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.03
Over 0.50
10.75
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.27
Over 1.50 ▲
3.56
Under 1.50 ▼
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.86
Over 2.50 ▲
1.91
Under 2.50 ▲
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.12
Over 3.50 ▲
1.33
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
6.38
Over 4.50
1.09
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.19
AS Roma
4.22
Fiorentina
Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus
1.06
Over 5.50
6.25
Under 5.50
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.38
Over 7.50
2.65
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.70
Over 8.50
2.05
Under 8.50
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
AS Roma to win or draw
✓
83% confidence
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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