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Eusebio Di Francesco
Lecce
AS Roma
Lecce
3-5-2 · 3-4-2-1
AS Roma
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
1071390 EUR · live
Away
1.01 · implied 99.0%
87.2%
-11.8 vs price
Draw
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
7.6%
+7.5 vs price
Home
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
5.2%
+5.1 vs price
Half time
15218 EUR · live
Away
1.01 · implied 99.0%
81.2%
-17.8 vs price
Draw
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
13.1%
+13.0 vs price
Home
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
5.7%
+5.6 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
77470 EUR · live
Under
8.4 · implied 11.9%
52.4%
+40.5 vs price
Over
1.13 · implied 88.5%
47.6%
-40.9 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
3635 EUR
Under
1.14 · implied 87.7%
89.2%
+1.4 vs price
Over
8.8 · implied 11.4%
10.8%
-0.6 vs price
16 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 3 clips
Player of the match
Match events
4'
⚽
D. Malen0–1
9'
D. Malen · Handball
23'
⚽
D. Malen · assist Wesley0–2
25'
⚽
M. Soulé0–3
Half-time · 0–3
46'
🔁
Y. Maleh ◂ O. Gorter
46'
🔁
N. Konan ◂ T. Gabriel
54'
🔁
N. Štulić ◂ W. Geubbels
60'
🔁
R. Mora ◂ M. Soulé
60'
🔁
N. Molina ◂ Wesley
65'
⚽
R. Mora · assist G. Mancini0–4
67'
🔁
N. Pisilli ◂ M. Koné
67'
🔁
S. Castro ◂ D. Malen
72'
🔁
I. Ilić ◂ O. Ngom
72'
🔁
A. Ahmed ◂ S. Pierotti
84'
🔁
M. de Roon ◂ P. Dybala
Full-time · 0–4
90'
I. Ilić · Foul
Coaches
Gian Piero Gasperini 
Recent form
WAVenezia2-0
LAPalermo0-2
WHMonopoli1-0
WHKety Emmi Bistrica5-2
DHNK Istra 19612-2
WHFiorentina4-0
DABorussia Dortmund2-2
LABrighton & Hove Albion0-3
WANewport County4-1
LACardiff City1-4
Where to watch
DAZN Austria
Arena Sport Premium 3
DAZN Belgium
MAX Sport 3
Disney+ Premium Chile
Disney+
DAZN
Disney+ Premium Chile
DAZN
TV2 Play Denmark
DAZN
TV2 Play Denmark
DAZN UK
MAGENTA | 2HD
Arena Sport 1 HR
Sport 4
DAZNNOWSky GoSky Sport 4KSky Sport Calcio
Arena Sport Premium 3
Ziggo GoZiggo Sport
Disney+ Premium Chile
Eleven Sports 1 HD
Sport TV2
Arena Sport Premium 3
TV4 Sport Live 2
DAZNNOWSky GoSky Sport 4KSky Sport Calcio
CBS Sports GolazoParamount+PeacockTelemundo DeportesUniversoUniverso NowfuboTV
Match facts
Stadium
Via del Mare
City
Lecce
Kickoff
31 Aug, 16:30 UTC
Competition
Serie A
Highlights & clips
30
W. Falcone
6.6
5
J. Siebert
6.0
4
K. Gaspar
5.9
14
Y. Maleh
6.2
↑ 46'
17
D. Veiga
5.8
29
L. Coulibaly
7.1
20
I. Ilić
6.7
↑ 72'
11
N. Konan
6.4
↑ 46'
3
C. Ndaba
6.4
7
A. Ahmed
6.7
↑ 72'
9
N. Štulić
6.4
↑ 54'
99
M. Svilar
7.2
87
D. Ghilardi
7.6
23
G. Mancini
8.0
22
M. Hermoso
8.5
77
E. Lulli
7.0
61
N. Pisilli
6.7
↑ 67'
4
B. Cristante
7.0
20
N. Molina
6.9
↑ 60'
15
M. de Roon
6.6
↑ 84'
86
R. Mora
7.4
↑ 60'
9
S. Castro
5.9
↑ 67'
Substitutes
33GP. Penev
1GM. Bleve
44DT. Gabriel↓ 46'6.2
31DE. Scott
2DA. Dembélé
25DA. Gallo
79MO. Ngom↓ 72'6.2
28MO. Gorter↓ 46'6.1
34MH. Lærke
10MM. Berisha
8MS. Fofana
16MO. Gandelman
50FS. Pierotti↓ 72'6.4
69FW. Geubbels↓ 54'6.2
22FP. Esteban
Coach: Eusebio Di Francesco
Substitutes
95GP. Gollini
70GG. D. Marzi
26DL. Balerdi
3DK. Koulierakis
5DE. Ndicka
43MWesley↓ 60'7.2
17MM. Koné↓ 67'7.1
21FP. Dybala↓ 84'8.1
14FD. Malen↓ 67'7.4
18FM. Soulé↓ 60'6.9
Coach: Gian Piero Gasperini
Top stats
36%Possession64%
0.8Expected goals (xG)3.27
7Total shots15
3Shots on target8
2Big chances8
2Corners1
Shots
4Shots off target7
0Blocked shots0
3Shots inside box10
4Shots outside box5
0Hit woodwork1
0Big chances scored4
2Big chances missed4
-0.21Goals prevented0.2
Attack
13Touches in box40
36Final third entries69
0Offsides9
8Free kicks9
1Fouled in final third0
Passing
375Passes677
294Accurate passes597
7/44 (16%)Long balls20/39 (51%)
2/7 (29%)Crosses0/6 (0%)
18Throw-ins8
Duels
38Duels62
33/86 (38%)Ground duels53/86 (62%)
4/12 (33%)Aerial duels8/12 (67%)
10/24 (42%)Dribbles11/22 (50%)
19Dispossessed5
Defending
16Tackles33
44Tackles won58
8Interceptions13
21Clearances7
49Recoveries72
Discipline
9Fouls8
1Yellow cards1
Goalkeeping
4Saves2
8Goal kicks8
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 26 bookmakers
1X2Roma to win 65% · 1.85 @ William Hill
Who winsRoma to win (DNB) 80% · 1.16 @ Betano
BTTSBTTS: No 57% · 1.22 @ Bet365
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 53% · 1.15 @ 10bet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 75% · 1.30 @ Pinnacle
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 67% · 1.43 @ Unibet
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 55% · 1.75 @ Pinnacle
CornersOver 8.5 corners 57% · 1.73 @ Bet365
1X2Draw 22% · 2.80 @ Unibet
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 71% · 2.30 @ William Hill
1X2Lecce to win 13% · 6.75 @ 1xBet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
7.64
Lecce
4.20
Draw
1.45
AS Roma
Double Chanceconsensus
2.64
Lecce or Draw
1.20
Lecce or AS Roma
1.09
Draw or AS Roma
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
2.15
Yes
1.65
No
Home Clean Sheetconsensus
5.25
YES
1.12
NO
Away Clean Sheetconsensus
1.83
YES
1.85
NO
Home Win to Nilconsensus
10.50
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
2.20
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.04
Over 0.50
10.25
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.32
Over 1.50
3.25
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
2.00
Over 2.50
1.80
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.55
Over 3.50
1.28
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
7.50
Over 4.50
1.08
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
5.25
Lecce
1.14
AS Roma
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.35
Over 7.50
2.85
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.65
Over 8.50
2.14
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
2.05
Over 9.50
1.70
Under 9.50
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
AS Roma to win or draw
✓
87% confidence
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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