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Gian Piero Gasperini
AS Roma
Atalanta
AS Roma
3-4-1-2 · 4-3-3
Atalanta
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
2978547 EUR · live
Home
1.02 · implied 98.0%
58.2%
-39.8 vs price
Away
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
27.9%
+27.8 vs price
Draw
38.0 · implied 2.6%
14.0%
+11.3 vs price
Half time
17960 EUR · live
Home
5.7 · implied 17.5%
70.4%
+52.9 vs price
Draw
1.29 · implied 77.5%
16.2%
-61.4 vs price
Away
16.5 · implied 6.1%
13.4%
+7.3 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
403815 EUR · live
Under
1.17 · implied 85.5%
73.5%
-12.0 vs price
Over
6.4 · implied 15.6%
26.5%
+10.9 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
18260 EUR · live
Under
1.01 · implied 99.0%
94.1%
-4.9 vs price
Over
160.0 · implied 0.6%
5.9%
+5.3 vs price
16 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
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Highlights 2 clips
Player of the match
Match events
40'
G. P. Gasperini · Argument
Half-time · 0–0
46'
🔁
N. Krstović ◂ G. Scamacca
47'
⚽
Éderson0–1
54'
🔁
M. Soulé ◂ R. Mora
54'
🔁
N. Molina ◂ E. Lulli
55'
M. Sarri · Argument
62'
🔁
D. Ghilardi ◂ G. Mancini
63'
🔁
S. Castro ◂ D. Malen
66'
🔁
M. Pašalić ◂ L. Samardžić
66'
🔁
N. Zalewski ◂ E. Elmas
67'
🔁
L. Balerdi ◂ E. Ndicka
73'
🔁
D. Zappacosta ◂ S. Kolašinac
79'
🔁
F. Kessié ◂ Éderson
84'
R. Bellanova · Argument
89'
⚽
M. Hermoso · assist M. Soulé1–1
Full-time · 2–1
90'+3
⚽
M. Soulé · assist P. Dybala2–1
90'+7
G. Gaetano · Argument
Coaches
Gian Piero GasperiniMaurizio Sarri 
Recent form
AS RomaWALecce4-0
WHFiorentina4-0
DABorussia Dortmund2-2
LABrighton & Hove Albion0-3
WANewport County4-1
AtalantaWHBologna1-0
WAHapoel Tel Aviv1-0
WHSassuolo2-1
DHHapoel Tel Aviv0-0
WHAthletic Club1-0
Where to watch
Disney+ Premium Argentina
DAZN AustriaPrime Video
Arena Sport Premium 1
Prime Video
Disney+ Premium Chile
Disney+Prime VideoYouTube - CazéTV
DAZN
Disney+ Premium Chile
Cytavision Sports 4HD
DAZN
TV2 Play Denmark
DAZNM+ Liga de CampeonesMovistar+Prime VideoVamos 3
TV2 Play Denmark
MAGENTA | 1HD
Arena Sport 1 HR
ANTV
DAZNNOWSky Sport 251Sky Sport Calcio
Arena Sport Premium 1
Ziggo GoZiggo Sport
Disney+ Premium Chile
Eleven Sports 1 HD
Sport TV3
Arena Sport Premium 1
TV4 Fotball
DAZNNOWSky Sport 251Sky Sport Calcio
CBS Sports GolazoPrime VideoTelemundoTelemundo Deportes
Disney+ Premium Sur
Match facts
Stadium
Stadio Olimpico
City
Rome
Kickoff
05 Sep, 18:45 UTC
Competition
Serie A
Highlights & clips
AS Roma
3-4-1-2 · 4-3-3
Atalanta
99
M. Svilar
6.2
87
D. Ghilardi
7.0
↑ 62'
26
L. Balerdi
7.1
↑ 67'
22
M. Hermoso
8.4
20
N. Molina
7.6
↑ 54'
4
B. Cristante
7.3
17
M. Koné
7.3
43
Wesley
8.0
18
M. Soulé
8.7
↑ 54'
21
P. Dybala
8.3
9
S. Castro
6.0
↑ 63'
29
M. Carnesecchi
9.1
16
R. Bellanova
7.1
3
O. Kossounou
6.8
42
G. Scalvini
7.0
77
D. Zappacosta
6.0
↑ 73'
59
N. Zalewski
6.5
↑ 66'
70
G. Gaetano
6.6
19
F. Kessié
6.2
↑ 79'
17
C. De Ketelaere
7.0
90
N. Krstović
6.4
↑ 46'
8
M. Pašalić
6.3
↑ 66'
Substitutes
70GG. D. Marzi
95GP. Gollini
23DG. Mancini↓ 62'6.5
5DE. Ndicka↓ 67'6.4
3DK. Koulierakis
77ME. Lulli↓ 54'7.0
86MR. Mora↓ 54'6.4
15MM. de Roon
61MN. Pisilli
2MD. Rensch
14FD. Malen↓ 63'7.0
68FA. Arena
Coach: Gian Piero Gasperini
Top stats
67%Possession33%
2.97Expected goals (xG)0.7
39Total shots6
10Shots on target2
4Big chances1
14Corners1
Shots
20Shots off target3
9Blocked shots1
28Shots inside box6
11Shots outside box0
2Hit woodwork0
4Big chances missed1
-0.61Goals prevented0.57
Attack
78Touches in box16
77Final third entries48
4Offsides4
10Free kicks9
Passing
615Passes324
549Accurate passes254
26/40 (65%)Long balls32/62 (52%)
18/42 (43%)Crosses2/4 (50%)
21Throw-ins15
Duels
54Duels46
35/60 (58%)Ground duels25/60 (42%)
11/25 (44%)Aerial duels14/25 (56%)
10/16 (63%)Dribbles3/15 (20%)
7Dispossessed3
Defending
15Tackles13
60Tackles won69
14Interceptions8
6Clearances33
59Recoveries42
Discipline
9Fouls10
0Yellow cards1
0Red cards1
Goalkeeping
1Saves9
0Big saves3
4Goal kicks23
0Punches2
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 26 bookmakers
1X2Roma to win 55% · 2.15 @ William Hill
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 71% · 1.41 @ 1xBet
Who winsRoma to win (DNB) 64% · 1.29 @ Novibet
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 59% · 1.73 @ 10bet
BTTSBoth teams to score 54% · 3.50 @ Bet365
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 50% · 1.20 @ 1xBet
1X2Draw 25% · 2.63 @ 1xBet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 72% · 1.38 @ Pinnacle
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 73% · 2.10 @ William Hill
CornersOver 8.5 corners 52% · 1.80 @ betfair
1X2Atalanta to win 20% · 4.55 @ 1xBet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.72
AS Roma
3.75
Draw
4.80
Atalanta
Double Chanceconsensus
1.17
AS Roma or Draw
1.22
AS Roma or Atalanta
2.10
Draw or Atalanta
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.68
Yes
2.10
No
Home Clean Sheetconsensus
2.30
YES
1.55
NO
Away Clean Sheetconsensus
4.75
YES
1.15
NO
Home Win to Nilconsensus
2.90
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
8.00
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.04
Over 0.50
10.00
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.28
Over 1.50
3.50
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.90
Over 2.50
1.89
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.20
Over 3.50
1.33
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
6.50
Over 4.50
1.10
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.25
AS Roma
3.60
Atalanta
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.41
Over 7.50
2.63
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.70
Over 8.50
2.05
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
2.13
Over 9.50
1.70
Under 9.50
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
AS Roma to win or draw
✓
80% confidence
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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