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AS Roma
SSC Napoli
M. Allegri
AS Roma
AS Roma
AS Roma
AS Roma
AS Roma
AS Roma
AS Roma
AS Roma
AS Roma
AS Roma
AS Roma
SSC Napoli
Massimiliano Allegri
SSC Napoli
AS Roma
SSC Napoli
4-3-3 · 3-5-2
AS Roma
Commentary
90'
Full-time. SSC Napoli 3-3 AS Roma.
90+3'
AS Roma
Offside, AS Roma.
90+3'
Attempt blocked. S. Beukema (SSC Napoli), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.05.
90+2'
SSC Napoli
Corner, SSC Napoli.
90'
5 minutes of added time.
90'
M. Allegri
Red card! M. Allegri (SSC Napoli) is sent off for argument.
83'
Goal! SSC Napoli 3-2 AS Roma. S. McTominay (SSC Napoli) scores, assisted by M. Olivera.
82'
AS Roma
Corner, AS Roma.
74'
AS Roma
Corner, AS Roma.
73'
AS Roma
Corner, AS Roma.
72'
AS Roma
Corner, AS Roma.
71'
AS Roma
Corner, AS Roma.
65'
AS Roma
Corner, AS Roma.
60'
AS Roma
Corner, AS Roma.
53'
AS Roma
Corner, AS Roma.
48'
Goal! SSC Napoli 2-0 AS Roma. S. McTominay (SSC Napoli) scores, assisted by M. Politano.
46'
The second half is under way.
45'
Half-time. SSC Napoli 1-0 AS Roma.
45'
1 minute of added time.
45'
AS Roma
Corner, AS Roma.
44'
Cleared off the line! M. Olivera (SSC Napoli), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.69.
43'
AS Roma
Corner, AS Roma.
38'
AS Roma
Corner, AS Roma.
15'
Attempt saved. S. McTominay (SSC Napoli), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.02.
9'
SSC Napoli
Corner, SSC Napoli.
1'
Kick-off: SSC Napoli vs AS Roma.
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
3015128 EUR · live
Home
100.0 · implied 1.0%
71.6%
+70.6 vs price
Draw
1.03 · implied 97.1%
17.9%
-79.2 vs price
Away
150.0 · implied 0.7%
10.5%
+9.8 vs price
Half time
1113 EUR
Draw
2.38 · implied 42.0%
42.4%
+0.4 vs price
Away
3.35 · implied 29.9%
35.2%
+5.3 vs price
Home
3.45 · implied 29.0%
22.4%
-6.6 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
307024 EUR · live
Over
1.52 · implied 65.8%
56.2%
-9.6 vs price
Under
2.92 · implied 34.2%
43.8%
+9.6 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
476 EUR
Over
8.6 · implied 11.6%
67.5%
+55.9 vs price
Under
1.14 · implied 87.7%
32.5%
-55.2 vs price
16 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 3 clips
Player of the match
Match events
4'
R. Marín · Foul
28'
⚽
F. Anguissa1–0
30'
B. Cristante · Foul
Half-time · 1–0
45'
D. Rensch · Foul
48'
⚽
S. McTominay · assist M. Politano2–0
52'
🔁
S. Beukema ◂ B. Badiashile
58'
🔁
S. Castro ◂ N. Pisilli
58'
🔁
L. Balerdi ◂ M. Hermoso
58'
🔁
N. Molina ◂ D. Rensch
61'
L. Balerdi · Foul
66'
🔁
Giovane ◂ M. Politano
69'
⚽
M. Soulé · assist D. Malen2–1
74'
⚽
L. Balerdi · assist S. Castro2–2
79'
🔁
A. Vergara ◂ N. Lang
79'
🔁
S. Lobotka ◂ K. De Bruyne
80'
🔁
L. Spinazzola ◂ G. Di Lorenzo
83'
⚽
S. McTominay · assist M. Olivera3–2
84'
🔁
D. Ghilardi ◂ G. Mancini
84'
🔁
R. Mora ◂ D. Malen
86'
M. de Roon · Argument
89'
⚽
L. Balerdi · assist Wesley3–3
Full-time · 3–3
90'
M. Allegri · Argument
Coaches
Massimiliano AllegriGian Piero Gasperini 
Recent form
SSC NapoliWHBodø/Glimt4-3
LAVenezia0-1
LAVillarreal1-3
WHFrosinone3-0
DAFiorentina1-1
AS RomaWHŠK Slovan Bratislava4-0
WHGenoa2-0
LHReal Madrid3-4
DAComo0-0
DHInter2-2
About this match
**Napoli host Roma in a proper Serie A scrap**, and this feels like the kind of afternoon where neither side can afford a slip. 🔥
Napoli are streaky — two wins sandwiched around defeats, while Roma steadied the ship with back-to-back league wins. The head-to-head is basically a coin flip (38 wins apiece across 108 meetings), so expect chess, not fireworks.
Key storylines:
- **Napoli's midfield creativity vs Roma's defensive shape**: K. De Bruyne pulling strings for the hosts against a Roma back three anchored by G. Mancini and E. Ndicka.
- **Roma's wing play under pressure**: N. Molina and Wesley tasked with containing Napoli's full-backs L. Spinazzola and R. Marín in transition.
- **Absence bite**: Napoli miss A. Buongiorno's defensive security; Roma without B. Cristante's midfield grit.
Expected lineups:
- **SSC Napoli**: A. Meret, G. Di Lorenzo, A. Rrahmani, R. Marín, L. Spinazzola, S. Lobotka, K. De Bruyne, M. Politano, R. Højlund, A. Santos, N. Lang
- **AS Roma**: P. Gollini, M. Hermoso, G. Mancini, E. Ndicka, N. Molina, Wesley, N. Pisilli, M. de Roon, D. Malen, M. Soulé, P. Dybala
Prediction:
**Napoli 1–1 Roma**. Both sides cancel each other out — Napoli's inconsistency meets Roma's solidity in a tactical stalemate. Edge to neither.
Where to watch
Disney+ Premium Argentina
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Disney+ Premium Argentina
Match facts
Stadium
Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
City
Naples
Kickoff
24 Oct, 16:00 UTC
Competition
Serie A
Highlights & clips
SSC Napoli
4-3-3 · 3-5-2
AS Roma
1
A. Meret
6.1
37
L. Spinazzola
6.4
↑ 80'
16
R. Marín
6.7
31
S. Beukema
6.2
↑ 52'
17
M. Olivera
5.8
99
F. Anguissa
7.8
68
S. Lobotka
6.4
↑ 79'
8
S. McTominay
9.1
23
Giovane
6.6
↑ 66'
19
R. Højlund
7.4
26
A. Vergara
6.3
↑ 79'
95
P. Gollini
6.0
87
D. Ghilardi
6.7
↑ 84'
5
E. Ndicka
6.0
20
N. Molina
7.0
↑ 58'
26
L. Balerdi
8.2
↑ 58'
15
M. de Roon
8.2
4
B. Cristante
7.2
9
S. Castro
6.3
↑ 58'
43
Wesley
7.3
18
M. Soulé
9.7
86
R. Mora
6.6
↑ 84'
Substitutes
14GN. Contini
32GV. Milinković-Savić
5DB. Badiashile↓ 52'6.8
22DG. Di Lorenzo↓ 80'6.7
35DL. Marianucci
21MM. Politano↓ 66'8.0
11MK. De Bruyne↓ 79'6.9
6MB. Gilmour
70FN. Lang↓ 79'7.5
20FL. Lucca
Coach: Massimiliano Allegri
Substitutes
32GD. Vásquez
70GG. D. Marzi
22DM. Hermoso↓ 58'6.3
23DG. Mancini↓ 84'5.6
3DK. Koulierakis
61MN. Pisilli↓ 58'6.5
2MD. Rensch↓ 58'6.2
63MA. Di Nunzio
77ME. Lulli
14FD. Malen↓ 84'6.9
78FM. Camara
Coach: Gian Piero Gasperini
Top stats
39%Possession61%
2.44Expected goals (xG)1.9
15Total shots24
9Shots on target4
4Big chances2
2Corners11
Shots
5Shots off target7
1Blocked shots13
10Shots inside box14
5Shots outside box10
0Hit woodwork1
1Big chances scored2
3Big chances missed0
-1.07Goals prevented-1.08
Attack
21Touches in box47
41Final third entries63
0Offsides1
11Free kicks6
1Fouled in final third1
Passing
378Passes582
296Accurate passes502
16/58 (28%)Long balls17/40 (43%)
3/16 (19%)Crosses8/30 (27%)
15Throw-ins25
Duels
51Duels49
32/61 (52%)Ground duels29/61 (48%)
12/26 (46%)Aerial duels14/26 (54%)
6/13 (46%)Dribbles8/14 (57%)
8Dispossessed9
Defending
15Tackles15
60Tackles won67
13Interceptions9
36Clearances11
60Recoveries59
Discipline
6Fouls11
1Yellow cards4
0Red cards0
Goalkeeping
1Saves5
5Goal kicks5
2Punches0
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 24 bookmakers
Who winsRoma to win (DNB) 56% · 1.91 @ Betway
1X2Roma to win 38% · 2.95 @ 1xBet
BTTSBoth teams to score 57% · 3.10 @ William Hill
1X2Draw 28% · 2.52 @ 1xBet
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 68% · 1.48 @ Pinnacle
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 57% · 1.75 @ Pinnacle
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 50% · 4.35 @ 1xBet
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 74% · 2.06 @ 1xBet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 71% · 1.41 @ Pinnacle
CornersOver 8.5 corners 55% · 1.83 @ Bet365
1X2Napoli to win 34% · 2.88 @ William Hill
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.63
SSC Napoli
3.25
Draw
2.62
AS Roma
Double Chanceconsensus
1.46
SSC Napoli or Draw
1.31
SSC Napoli or AS Roma
1.42
Draw or AS Roma
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.57
Yes
2.30
No
Home Win to Nilconsensus
4.60
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
4.80
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.02
Over 0.50
11.30
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.26
Over 1.50
3.75
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.83
Over 2.50
1.98
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.04
Over 3.50
1.36
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
5.94
Over 4.50
1.12
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.85
SSC Napoli
1.85
AS Roma
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.33
Over 7.50
2.88
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.65
Over 8.50
2.15
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
2.09
Over 9.50
1.73
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.57
Over 10.50
1.42
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
3.55
Over 11.50
1.21
Under 11.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.0%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.0%.
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