Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedTap a player for their full match card.
**Roma are primed to bounce back at the Olimpico, and Cagliari are walking into a buzzsaw.** The Giallorossi have been streaky but dangerous at home—three wins in their last four in Rome—while the Rossoblu are limping in on the back of consecutive hammerings. 🔴
Roma's form tilts toward the hosts despite the chaos: **2W-2D-1L** reads solid, and that 4-0 demolition of Slovan showed teeth. Cagliari, though, have shipped 6 goals in two games and can't catch a break. The head-to-head lean is obvious too—Roma dominate the historical record 41-19.
Key storylines:
- **Roma's attacking depth** with Soulé, Malen, and Castro vs a Cagliari backline that's leaking badly 🎯
- Missing **Pellegrini and Dybala** leaves Roma's creative well thinner, but Wesley and de Roon offer midfield steel
- **Cagliari's injury pile**—Felici and Idrissi out—compounds an already fragile squad
Expected lineups:
- **AS Roma**: Gollini, Hermoso, Mancini, Ndicka, Molina, Wesley, Cristante, de Roon, Soulé, Malen, Castro
- **Cagliari**: Caprile, Obert, Rodríguez, Zé Pedro, Mina, Romano, Adopo, Winks, Mendy, Maldini, Fadera
Prediction:
**Roma 3-1 Cagliari**. The hosts are too clinical at the Olimpico, and Cagliari lack the defensive discipline to stem the bleeding. Easy money.
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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