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Filipe Coelho
Casa Pia
Moreirense
Casa Pia
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1
Moreirense
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
156086 EUR · live
Away
1.01 · implied 99.0%
77.3%
-21.8 vs price
Home
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
12.1%
+12.0 vs price
Draw
100.0 · implied 1.0%
10.6%
+9.6 vs price
Half time
593 EUR · live
Draw
1.64 · implied 61.0%
80.5%
+19.5 vs price
Away
6.4 · implied 15.6%
14.5%
-1.1 vs price
Home
36.0 · implied 2.8%
4.9%
+2.1 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
64004 EUR · live
Under
1.01 · implied 99.0%
78.2%
-20.8 vs price
Over
120.0 · implied 0.8%
21.8%
+20.9 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
2103 EUR · live
Under
1.02 · implied 98.0%
89.6%
-8.4 vs price
Over
12.0 · implied 8.3%
10.3%
+2.0 vs price
13 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
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Highlights 2 clips
Player of the match
Match events
24'
⚽
Kiko · assist J. Veloso0–1
Half-time · 0–1
46'
🔁
A. Dafe ◂ Rochinha
61'
🔁
Cassiano ◂ K. Prieto
61'
P. Rosas · Foul
62'
Kiko · Foul
65'
🔁
T. Andrade ◂ Landerson
65'
🔁
R. Alonso ◂ N. John
71'
R. Alonso · Foul
75'
Aranha · Argument
77'
🔁
L. Santos ◂ Kiko
78'
🔁
S. Pérez ◂ S. Clúa
78'
🔁
B. Pauwels ◂ J. Rêgo
78'
🔁
H. Araújo ◂ A. Jatta
78'
🔁
M. Stjepanović ◂ M. Mendonça
82'
🔁
K. Monteiro ◂ J. Veloso
Full-time · 0–1
Coaches
Filipe CoelhoVasco Costa 
Recent form
Casa PiaLAGil Vicente0-2
LHBenfica0-7
LACS Marítimo0-1
LALeixões SC2-6
WACF Estrela Amadora2-1
MoreirenseLAFC Arouca0-4
DHSporting Braga2-2
WHAmarante FC2-0
DAGil Vicente2-2
LASanta Clara1-2
Where to watch
Sport TV2
Match facts
Stadium
Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior
City
Rio Maior
Kickoff
30 Aug, 17:00 UTC
Competition
Liga Portugal Betclic
Highlights & clips
Casa Pia
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1
Moreirense
31
A. Gomes
6.3
18
A. Geraldes
6.9
4
J. Goulart
7.3
43
David Sousa
7.4
75
P. Rosas
7.1
24
S. Pérez
6.5
↑ 78'
80
L. Ofori
7.2
90
Cassiano
6.1
↑ 61'
9
H. Araújo
6.4
↑ 78'
59
A. Dafe
6.2
↑ 46'
77
B. Pauwels
7.0
↑ 78'
13
A. Ferreira
6.5
76
D. Pinto
6.7
66
G. Batista
7.1
26
Maracás
7.6
2
L. Santos
6.9
↑ 77'
21
R. Alonso
6.3
↑ 65'
65
G. Liberato
6.8
8
M. Stjepanović
6.7
↑ 78'
4
K. Monteiro
6.7
↑ 82'
19
T. Andrade
6.4
↑ 65'
9
A. Parsemain
5.7
Substitutes
95GI. Mandić
3DKaly
19MK. Prieto↓ 61'7.0
16MS. Clúa↓ 78'6.9
10MRochinha↓ 46'6.2
5MA. Conté
98MJP
8MG. Pereira
70FJ. Rêgo↓ 78'6.7
20FA. Jatta↓ 78'6.3
21FA. Zouin
99FC. Mendes
Coach: Filipe Coelho
Substitutes
1GAranha
27DKiko↓ 77'8.1
17DÁ. Martínez
20MJ. Veloso↓ 82'7.0
23MN. John↓ 65'6.7
7MM. Mendonça↓ 78'6.7
10MK. Bondoso
11FLanderson↓ 65'6.4
99FY. Maranhão
89FA. Vieira
Coach: Vasco Costa
Top stats
63%Possession37%
0.77Expected goals (xG)0.28
14Total shots6
2Shots on target5
1Big chances2
5Corners1
Shots
10Shots off target1
2Blocked shots0
10Shots inside box3
4Shots outside box3
2Hit woodwork0
1Big chances missed2
-0.54Goals prevented0.22
Attack
24Touches in box7
76Final third entries43
3Offsides0
18Free kicks14
5Fouled in final third1
Passing
444Passes278
353Accurate passes168
17/53 (32%)Long balls17/71 (24%)
10/37 (27%)Crosses1/5 (20%)
35Throw-ins25
Duels
56Duels44
53/91 (58%)Ground duels38/91 (42%)
22/44 (50%)Aerial duels22/44 (50%)
15/26 (58%)Dribbles3/10 (30%)
10Dispossessed14
Defending
21Tackles21
57Tackles won81
15Interceptions12
27Clearances55
45Recoveries40
Discipline
14Fouls18
1Yellow cards3
Goalkeeping
4Saves2
2Goal kicks16
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 26 bookmakers
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 60% · 1.10 @ William Hill
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 79% · 1.20 @ betfair
1X2Draw 30% · 2.30 @ Unibet
BTTSBTTS: No 53% · 1.22 @ Bet365
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 69% · 1.48 @ Pinnacle
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 57% · 1.61 @ Pinnacle
1X2Moreirense to win 30% · 3.70 @ William Hill
CornersOver 8.5 corners 55% · 1.79 @ Pinnacle
Who winsCasa Pia to win (DNB) 56% · 1.91 @ Novibet
1X2Casa Pia to win 39% · 2.75 @ Bet365
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 65% · 2.62 @ 10bet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.38
Casa Pia
3.10
Draw
3.10
Moreirense
Double Chanceconsensus
1.33
Casa Pia or Draw
1.30
Casa Pia or Moreirense
1.55
Draw or Moreirense
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
2.00
Yes
1.75
No
Home Clean Sheetconsensus
2.40
YES
1.50
NO
Away Clean Sheetconsensus
3.00
YES
1.33
NO
Home Win to Nilconsensus
3.50
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
4.90
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.07
Over 0.50
7.45
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.45
Over 1.50
2.65
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
2.45
Over 2.50
1.53
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
4.62
Over 3.50
1.19
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
9.50
Over 4.50
1.04
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.88
Casa Pia
1.83
Moreirense
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.42
Over 7.50
2.53
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.77
Over 8.50
1.96
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
2.22
Over 9.50
1.57
Under 9.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.6%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.6%.
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