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Francesco Farioli
FC Porto
Moreirense
FC Porto
4-3-3 · 3-4-3
Moreirense
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
1268638 EUR · live
Home
1.01 · implied 99.0%
95.2%
-3.8 vs price
Draw
110.0 · implied 0.9%
3.2%
+2.3 vs price
Away
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
1.6%
+1.5 vs price
Half time
6828 EUR · live
Home
1.61 · implied 62.1%
88.2%
+26.1 vs price
Draw
3.25 · implied 30.8%
10.4%
-20.3 vs price
Away
23.0 · implied 4.3%
1.4%
-3.0 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
238731 EUR · live
Under
4.9 · implied 20.4%
57.1%
+36.7 vs price
Over
1.27 · implied 78.7%
42.9%
-35.9 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
864 EUR · live
Under
1.13 · implied 88.5%
69.0%
-19.5 vs price
Over
8.6 · implied 11.6%
30.9%
+19.3 vs price
14 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 5 clips
Player of the match
Match events
20'
⚽
D. Pinto0–1
37'
⚽
J. Bednarek · assist W. Gomes1–1
44'
J. Veloso · Argument
Half-time · 1–1
58'
⚽
W. Gomes · assist Pepê2–1
63'
F. Moura · Foul
64'
🔁
H. In-beom ◂ G. Veiga
64'
🔁
M. Fernandes ◂ F. Moura
67'
🔁
M. Stjepanović ◂ N. John
67'
🔁
R. Alonso ◂ M. Mendonça
68'
D. Pinto · Argument
75'
🔁
S. Giménez ◂ A. Silva
75'
🔁
B. Sainz ◂ W. Gomes
75'
🔁
K. Bondoso ◂ J. Veloso
75'
🔁
T. Andrade ◂ Landerson
79'
🔁
Y. Maranhão ◂ A. Parsemain
88'
VAR
Card upgraded to red · G. Liberato
Full-time · 2–1
90'
🔁
S. Fofana ◂ V. Froholdt
90'
G. Liberato · Foul
90'+1
🔁
N. Pérez ◂ A. Costa
90'+3
🔁
L. Santos ◂ D. Pinto
Coaches
Francesco FarioliVasco Costa 
Recent form
FC PortoWAAcadémico Viseu FC3-0
WHFC Arouca2-0
WARio Ave2-0
WHFC Alverca2-0
WHAston Villa2-1
MoreirenseWACasa Pia1-0
LAFC Arouca0-4
DHSporting Braga2-2
WHAmarante FC2-0
DAGil Vicente2-2
Where to watch
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Claro Sports
Claro Sports
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Claro Sports
Claro Sports
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Claro Sports
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Claro Sports
Sport TV1
Claro Sports
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fuboTV
Claro Sports
Claro Sports
Match facts
Stadium
Estádio do Dragão
City
Porto
Kickoff
04 Sep, 19:15 UTC
Competition
Liga Portugal Betclic
Highlights & clips
FC Porto
4-3-3 · 3-4-3
Moreirense
99
D. Costa
6.7
18
N. Pérez
6.9
↑ 90'
5
J. Bednarek
8.4
4
J. Kiwior
7.3
52
M. Fernandes
6.7
↑ 64'
42
S. Fofana
6.6
↑ 90'
13
P. Rosario
6.8
16
H. In-beom
6.5
↑ 64'
17
B. Sainz
6.2
↑ 75'
29
S. Giménez
6.9
↑ 75'
11
Pepê
8.0
13
A. Ferreira
7.1
66
G. Batista
6.7
26
Maracás
6.7
27
Kiko
6.4
2
L. Santos
↑ 90'
21
R. Alonso
6.8
↑ 67'
65
G. Liberato
6.5
10
K. Bondoso
6.6
↑ 75'
8
M. Stjepanović
6.9
↑ 67'
99
Y. Maranhão
6.3
↑ 79'
19
T. Andrade
6.8
↑ 75'
Substitutes
14GC. Ramos
24GJ. Costa
20DA. Costa↓ 90'7.2
74DF. Moura↓ 64'6.3
33DSouza
21DD. Prpić
10MG. Veiga↓ 64'6.4
8MV. Froholdt↓ 90'6.1
57MD. Cunha
22MA. Varela
7FW. Gomes↓ 75'9.9
19FA. Silva↓ 75'5.8
Coach: Francesco Farioli
Top stats
70%Possession30%
2.9Expected goals (xG)0.85
23Total shots7
9Shots on target2
3Big chances2
9Corners1
Shots
7Shots off target4
7Blocked shots1
14Shots inside box5
9Shots outside box2
1Big chances scored1
2Big chances missed1
-0.58Goals prevented0.26
Attack
34Touches in box10
72Final third entries24
4Offsides1
12Free kicks11
3Fouled in final third0
Passing
563Passes252
486Accurate passes174
31/51 (61%)Long balls16/56 (29%)
7/34 (21%)Crosses1/10 (0%)
28Throw-ins14
Duels
47Duels53
24/64 (38%)Ground duels40/64 (63%)
22/34 (65%)Aerial duels12/34 (35%)
3/13 (23%)Dribbles7/12 (58%)
13Dispossessed4
Defending
9Tackles23
33Tackles won57
9Interceptions11
16Clearances50
41Recoveries40
Discipline
11Fouls12
1Yellow cards2
0Red cards1
Goalkeeping
1Saves7
0Big saves2
4Goal kicks9
0Punches1
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 24 bookmakers
1X2Porto to win 81% · 1.40 @ William Hill
Who winsPorto to win (DNB) 91% · 1.03 @ 888Sport
BTTSBTTS: No 65% · 1.15 @ 10bet
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 57% · 4.00 @ William Hill
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 78% · 1.91 @ William Hill
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 69% · 1.48 @ Unibet
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 57% · 1.85 @ 1xBet
CornersOver 8.5 corners 55% · 1.56 @ Unibet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 66% · 1.54 @ Pinnacle
1X2Draw 14% · 3.70 @ 1xBet
1X2Moreirense to win 6% · 15.00 @ Bet365
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.13
FC Porto
8.00
Draw
21.00
Moreirense
Double Chanceconsensus
1.02
FC Porto or Draw
1.08
FC Porto or Moreirense
5.50
Draw or Moreirense
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
2.84
Yes
1.36
No
Home Clean Sheetconsensus
1.48
YES
2.50
NO
Away Clean Sheetconsensus
8.50
YES
1.04
NO
Home Win to Nilconsensus
1.60
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
27.50
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.02
Over 0.50
15.50
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.17
Over 1.50
4.91
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.57
Over 2.50
2.35
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.45
Over 3.50
1.53
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
4.33
Over 4.50
1.20
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.02
FC Porto
15.00
Moreirense
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.29
Over 7.50
2.98
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.55
Over 8.50
2.27
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.89
Over 9.50
1.79
Under 9.50
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
FC Porto to win or draw
✓
94% confidence
FC Porto to avoid defeat
✓
91% confidence
FC Porto win
✓
81% confidence
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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