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Estoril Praia
Estoril Praia
Estoril Praia
Moreirense
Estoril Praia
Estoril Praia
Moreirense
Moreirense
Moreirense
Estoril Praia
Moreirense
Leandro Pires
Estoril Praia
Moreirense
Estoril Praia
4-3-3 · 4-2-3-1
Moreirense
Commentary
90'
Full-time. Estoril Praia 1-3 Moreirense.
90+1'
Attempt saved. R. Guitane (Estoril Praia), right-footed shot from a throw-in. xG 0.04.
90'
3 minutes of added time.
89'
Attempt blocked. R. Guitane (Estoril Praia), left-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.06.
87'
Estoril Praia
Corner, Estoril Praia.
85'
Estoril Praia
Corner, Estoril Praia.
78'
Estoril Praia
Corner, Estoril Praia.
74'
Moreirense
Corner, Moreirense.
68'
Attempt missed. T. Andrade (Moreirense), right-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.03.
66'
Estoril Praia
Corner, Estoril Praia.
51'
Estoril Praia
Corner, Estoril Praia.
49'
Moreirense
Offside, Moreirense.
46'
The second half is under way.
45'
Half-time. Estoril Praia 0-3 Moreirense.
45'
1 minute of added time.
39'
Moreirense
Offside, Moreirense.
38'
Attempt missed. R. Guitane (Estoril Praia), left-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.14.
35'
Moreirense
Corner, Moreirense.
21'
Estoril Praia
Corner, Estoril Praia.
20'
Moreirense
Corner, Moreirense.
4'
Attempt blocked. N. Omerović (Estoril Praia), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.09.
1'
Kick-off: Estoril Praia vs Moreirense.
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
118267 EUR · live
Away
1.01 · implied 99.0%
64.1%
-34.9 vs price
Home
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
25.6%
+25.4 vs price
Draw
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
10.3%
+10.2 vs price
Half time
448 EUR
Home
2.58 · implied 38.8%
55.9%
+17.1 vs price
Away
5.0 · implied 20.0%
22.7%
+2.7 vs price
Draw
2.36 · implied 42.4%
21.4%
-20.9 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
28915 EUR · live
Under
9.2 · implied 10.9%
75.2%
+64.3 vs price
Over
1.11 · implied 90.1%
24.8%
-65.3 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
403 EUR
Under
1.11 · implied 90.1%
64.4%
-25.7 vs price
Over
9.6 · implied 10.4%
35.6%
+25.2 vs price
13 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 5 clips
Player of the match
Match events
12'
⚽
M. Mendonça0–1
15'
⚽
T. Andrade0–2
23'
N. Omerović · Foul
27'
A. Tsoungui · Foul
28'
⚽
N. John0–3
Half-time · 0–3
46'
🔁
P. Carvalho ◂ R. Sánchez
46'
🔁
A. Lacximicant ◂ N. Omerović
58'
🔁
F. Medrano ◂ A. Camblan
58'
🔁
Peixinho ◂ J. Carvalho
59'
🔁
R. Alonso ◂ M. Mendonça
69'
🔁
M. Stjepanović ◂ K. Bondoso
69'
🔁
Xeka ◂ A. Tsoungui
69'
🔁
Landerson ◂ N. John
80'
🔁
Á. Martínez ◂ T. Andrade
81'
🔁
Y. Maranhão ◂ L. Vonić
Full-time · 1–3
90'
G. Batista · Foul
90'+2
A. Lacximicant · Foul
90'+4
⚽
Peixinho1–3
Coaches
Leandro PiresVasco Costa 
Recent form
Estoril PraiaDASport Comércio e Salgueiros1-1
LAAcadémico Viseu FC1-2
LHCasa Pia1-2
LASporting Braga0-1
DHFC Arouca0-0
MoreirenseLAAVS - Futebol SAD0-1
LHGil Vicente0-1
DAVitória SC1-1
WHCS Marítimo3-1
LHBenfica0-4
About this match
**Both teams are drowning**, and this is a battle of the desperate. 0W in their last five? Check. And check. ⚽
Estoril's been leaky (five goals conceded in three games), while Moreirense can't score to save their lives (one goal in their last three). This smells like a low-scoring, cagey affair where midfield control wins the day.
Key storylines:
- **Estoril's defense** under the microscope — Ferro and I. S. Arnal need to tighten up against a Moreirense attack that's been toothless
- **R. Guitane and N. Omerović** will be crucial to unlocking Moreirense's compact shape down the middle
- **Dead rubber vibes** — H2H is dead level (8-8-7), so nothing favors either side; home advantage could be the difference
Expected lineups:
- **Estoril Praia**: J. Robles, F. Medrano, I. S. Arnal, Ferro, J. Holsgrove, T. Brito, N. Omerović, J. Carvalho, R. Guitane, Y. Begraoui
- **Moreirense**: A. Ferreira, Kiko, G. Batista, Maracás, N. John, M. Mendonça, T. Andrade, G. Liberato, K. Bondoso, A. Parsemain
Prediction:
**1-1 draw.** Both defenses tighten when threatened; expect a stalemate neither side's form suggests they can break.
Where to watch
Sport TV1
Match facts
Stadium
Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota
City
Estoril
Kickoff
25 Oct, 15:30 UTC
Competition
Liga Portugal Betclic
Highlights & clips
Estoril Praia
4-3-3 · 4-2-3-1
Moreirense
1
J. Robles
5.3
22
P. Carvalho
7.0
↑ 46'
4
Ferro
7.2
6
X. Sintes
6.1
21
R. Jurišić
6.2
8
Xeka
6.8
↑ 69'
10
J. Holsgrove
7.5
3
F. Medrano
6.9
↑ 58'
99
R. Guitane
6.8
17
Peixinho
7.1
↑ 58'
7
A. Lacximicant
6.6
↑ 46'
13
A. Ferreira
7.4
76
D. Pinto
6.7
66
G. Batista
7.3
4
K. Monteiro
6.6
27
Kiko
6.8
8
M. Stjepanović
6.6
↑ 69'
65
G. Liberato
6.8
11
Landerson
6.7
↑ 69'
21
R. Alonso
6.6
↑ 59'
17
Á. Martínez
6.3
↑ 80'
99
Y. Maranhão
6.3
↑ 81'
Top stats
57%Possession43%
2.01Expected goals (xG)1.33
26Total shots13
7Shots on target4
3Big chances3
6Corners3
Shots
15Shots off target7
4Blocked shots2
20Shots inside box8
6Shots outside box5
1Hit woodwork1
1Big chances scored0
2Big chances missed3
-1.36Goals prevented0.25
Attack
39Touches in box18
70Final third entries40
1Offsides2
13Free kicks17
2Fouled in final third5
Passing
478Passes367
392Accurate passes290
36/60 (60%)Long balls12/48 (25%)
10/31 (32%)Crosses2/8 (25%)
25Throw-ins10
Duels
44Duels56
28/70 (40%)Ground duels42/70 (60%)
12/21 (57%)Aerial duels9/21 (43%)
4/12 (33%)Dribbles12/17 (71%)
5Dispossessed7
Defending
12Tackles13
67Tackles won69
12Interceptions17
8Clearances35
42Recoveries51
Discipline
17Fouls13
3Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
Goalkeeping
1Saves6
8Goal kicks10
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 24 bookmakers
Who winsEstoril to win (DNB) 64% · 1.34 @ Betano
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 70% · 1.39 @ 1xBet
1X2Estoril to win 48% · 2.25 @ William Hill
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 58% · 1.72 @ Pinnacle
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 51% · 1.17 @ William Hill
1X2Draw 27% · 2.50 @ 1xBet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 72% · 1.33 @ Bet365
BTTSBoth teams to score 52% · 3.50 @ Bet365
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 74% · 2.15 @ William Hill
CornersOver 8.5 corners 54% · 1.80 @ Bet365
1X2Moreirense to win 25% · 4.33 @ Bet365
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.83
Estoril Praia
3.60
Draw
4.20
Moreirense
Double Chanceconsensus
1.22
Estoril Praia or Draw
1.27
Estoril Praia or Moreirense
1.89
Draw or Moreirense
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.80
Yes
1.91
No
Home Win to Nilconsensus
3.00
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
7.50
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.03
Over 0.50
10.50
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.29
Over 1.50
3.40
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.96
Over 2.50
1.84
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.30
Over 3.50
1.33
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
6.66
Over 4.50
1.09
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.31
Estoril Praia
3.10
Moreirense
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.33
Over 7.50
2.77
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.70
Over 8.50
2.12
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
2.05
Over 9.50
1.70
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.55
Over 10.50
1.39
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
3.25
Over 11.50
1.21
Under 11.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.1%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.1%.
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