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Mikey Varas
San Diego FC
FC Dallas
San Diego FC
4-3-3 · 4-2-3-1
FC Dallas
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
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Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
19'
🔁
J. Sirois ◂ Daniel
Half-time · 0–0
46'
🔁
B. Kamungo ◂ J. Valiente
50'
⚽
A. Alvarado Jr · assist M. Duah1–0
61'
🔁
A. Julio ◂ R. Binyamin
61'
🔁
S. Moreno ◂ P. Delgado
73'
🔁
D. Vazquez ◂ M. Ingvartsen
73'
🔁
A. Godoy ◂ A. Alvarado Jr
79'
🔁
L. Farrington ◂ S. Ibeagha
81'
B. Kamungo · Foul
86'
🔁
L. Bombino ◂ K. Sargeant
87'
🔁
L. Morgan ◂ O. Valakari
88'
A. Julio · Foul
Full-time · 1–0
Coaches
Mikey VarasEric Quill 
Recent form
San Diego FCLAColorado Rapids0-1
LHVancouver Whitecaps2-4
DHFC Cincinnati3-3
WHAustin FC5-0
DASeattle Sounders FC1-1
FC DallasDAPortland Timbers2-2
WAColorado Rapids2-1
WASan Jose Earthquakes3-2
LHVancouver Whitecaps2-3
WHReal Salt Lake3-1
Where to watch
Betano
TSN5
Apple TV (DE)
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Match facts
Stadium
Snapdragon Stadium
City
San Diego
Referee
Victor Rivas
Kickoff
26 Jul, 01:30 UTC
Competition
MLS
Highlights & clips
San Diego FC
4-3-3 · 4-2-3-1
FC Dallas
1
C. Dos Santos
7.0
33
O. Verhoeven
6.8
97
C. McVey
7.3
26
M. Duah
7.5
27
L. Bombino
6.9
↑ 86'
20
A. Godoy
6.9
↑ 73'
6
J. Tverskov
8.3
9
L. Morgan
6.6
↑ 87'
10
A. Dreyer
7.4
19
D. Vazquez
7.0
↑ 73'
77
A. Mighten
6.0
40
J. Sirois
7.0
↑ 19'
18
S. Moore
6.7
3
O. Urhoghide
7.1
23
L. Farrington
6.7
↑ 79'
32
N. Norris
6.3
55
Kaick
6.4
12
C. Cappis
6.5
77
B. Kamungo
6.6
↑ 46'
10
S. Moreno
6.6
↑ 61'
11
A. Julio
6.3
↑ 61'
9
P. Musa
6.8
Top stats
74%Possession26%
1.56Expected goals (xG)0.42
19Total shots6
8Shots on target1
1Big chances1
8Corners4
Shots
3Shots off target2
8Blocked shots3
9Shots inside box3
10Shots outside box3
1Hit woodwork0
1Big chances missed1
0.03Goals prevented0.38
Attack
32Touches in box10
80Final third entries45
4Offsides0
10Free kicks10
Passing
834Passes287
756Accurate passes216
16/38 (42%)Long balls17/43 (40%)
4/11 (36%)Crosses1/10 (10%)
18Throw-ins14
Duels
51Duels49
28/50 (56%)Ground duels24/54 (44%)
3/11 (27%)Aerial duels8/11 (73%)
3/11 (27%)Dribbles1/12 (8%)
4Dispossessed6
Defending
15Tackles14
53Tackles won64
6Interceptions13
6Clearances23
47Recoveries38
Discipline
10Fouls10
0Yellow cards2
Goalkeeping
1Saves7
0Big saves1
7Goal kicks8
0Punches1
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 44 bookmakers
BTTSBoth teams to score 68% · 1.43 @ Pinnacle
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 66% · 1.47 @ Pinnacle
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 84% · 1.15 @ Unibet
CornersOver 9.5 corners 51% · 1.85 @ Interwetten
CornersOver 8.5 corners 63% · 1.52 @ Unibet
1X2Dallas to win 35% · 2.95 @ 10bet
1X2Draw 25% · 4.00 @ 1xBet
1X2San Diego FC to win 41% · 2.33 @ Pinnacle
Who winsSan Diego FC to win (DNB) 54% · 1.75 @ Betsson
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 60% · 1.61 @ Pinnacle
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 54% · 1.76 @ Pinnacle
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.09
San Diego FC ▼
3.76
Draw ▲
2.67
FC Dallas ▲
Double Chanceconsensus
1.43
San Diego FC or Draw ▲
1.26
San Diego FC or FC Dallas ▲
1.62
Draw or FC Dallas ▲
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.38
Yes ▲
2.84
No ▼
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.01
Over 0.50 ▼
17.93
Under 0.50 ▼
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.13
Over 1.50 ▲
6.00
Under 1.50 ▲
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.43
Over 2.50 ▼
2.75
Under 2.50 ▲
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.06
Over 3.50 ▼
1.74
Under 3.50 ▲
Total Goals 4.50consensus
3.40
Over 4.50 ▲
1.31
Under 4.50 ▼
Draw No Betconsensus
1.68
San Diego FC ▼
1.99
FC Dallas ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 4.50consensus
1.01
Over 4.50
12.25
Under 4.50
Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus
1.05
Over 5.50
8.20
Under 5.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.11
Over 6.50 ▲
5.35
Under 6.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.25
Over 7.50 ▼
3.47
Under 7.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.47
Over 8.50 ▲
2.49
Under 8.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.80
Over 9.50 ▼
1.89
Under 9.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.28
Over 10.50 ▲
1.54
Under 10.50 ▼
2.0 – 1.5Expected goals
1-1Most likely score
~10Expected corners
No bet in this match — nothing offers both a real edge and a worthwhile price. The full breakdown is below for the curious.
Every market recommended rows highlighted
| Our call | How likely | Bookmakers say | Their odds | Price check | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams to scoreBTTS | 68% | 68% | 1.36 | Overpriced | medium |
| Over 2.5 goalsGoals | 66% | 67% | 1.4 | Overpriced | medium |
| Over 1.5 goalsGoals | 84% | 84% | 1.11 | Overpriced | high |
| Over 9.5 cornersCorners | 51% | 51% | 1.8 | Overpriced | low |
| Over 8.5 cornersCorners | 63% | 63% | 1.46 | Overpriced | medium |
| Dallas to win1X2 | 35% | 35% | 2.71 | Overpriced | low |
| Draw1X2 | 25% | 25% | 3.79 | Overpriced | low |
| San Diego FC to win1X2 | 41% | 41% | 2.3 | Overpriced | low |
| San Diego FC to win (DNB)Who wins | 54% | 54% | 1.73 | Overpriced | low |
| Under 10.5 cornersCorners | 60% | 60% | 1.55 | Overpriced | medium |
| Under 3.5 goalsGoals | 54% | 53% | 1.78 | Fair | low |
Where we disagree most with the bookmakers: San Diego FC to win (DNB) — we say 66%, they say 54%.
Probability vs league average
| Market | This match | League avg | Diff | More likely? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 84% | 79% | +5% | Yes |
| Over 2.5 goals | 66% | 60% | +6% | Yes |
| Over 3.5 goals | 46% | 37% | +9% | Yes |
| Both teams to score | 68% | 60% | +8% | Yes |
| Home win | 41% | 46% | -5% | No |
| Draw | 25% | 24% | +1% | Yes |
| Away win | 35% | 30% | +5% | Yes |
How to read this: "72% · high" means we expect it to happen about 72 times out of 100 — football always keeps the rest. "Worth it above X" is the minimum odds where the pick makes mathematical sense; "Overpriced" means the bookmaker pays less than that. Not betting advice — no outcome is guaranteed.
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