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Gerardo Martino
Atlanta United
New York Red Bulls
Atlanta United
4-1-4-1 · 4-3-3
New York Red Bulls
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
38763 EUR · live
Home
4.4 · implied 22.7%
58.6%
+35.9 vs price
Away
1.83 · implied 54.6%
33.6%
-21.0 vs price
Draw
4.4 · implied 22.7%
8.2%
-14.5 vs price
Half time
109 EUR
Away
3.65 · implied 27.4%
58.5%
+31.1 vs price
Home
2.64 · implied 37.9%
41.1%
+3.3 vs price
Draw
2.74 · implied 36.5%
0.0%
-36.5 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
2119 EUR · live
Over
1.22 · implied 82.0%
72.0%
-10.0 vs price
Under
6.2 · implied 16.1%
28.7%
+12.6 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
320 EUR
Over
4.7 · implied 21.3%
52.5%
+31.2 vs price
Under
1.27 · implied 78.7%
47.5%
-31.3 vs price
15 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 4 clips
Player of the match
Match events
6'
⚽
E. Forsberg · assist A. Mehmeti0–1
Half-time · 0–1
48'
T. Jacob · Foul
68'
🔁
S. Gregersen ◂ M. Edwards
69'
⚽
T. Muyumba · assist A. Miranchuk1–1
71'
🔁
J. Ruvalcaba ◂ M. Jiménez
79'
🔁
J. Marshall-Rutty ◂ M. D. Santos
79'
🔁
M. Sofo ◂ E. Forsberg
79'
🔁
C. Harper ◂ C. Cowell
80'
🔁
S. Alzate ◂ C. Sanchez
80'
🔁
R. Hernández ◂ E. Báez
82'
F. Picault
82'
⚽
F. Picault · assist M. Almirón2–1
83'
E. Báez · Other reason
86'
🔁
E. M. Choupo-Moting ◂ A. Mehmeti
86'
🔁
L. Brennan ◂ M. Almirón
86'
🔁
S. Santos ◂ F. Picault
Full-time · 2–1
90'+5
M. Sofo · Foul
Coaches
Gerardo MartinoMichael Bradley 
Recent form
Atlanta UnitedLAPhiladelphia Union2-3
LANew England Revolution1-4
DACharlotte FC2-2
LANashville SC0-1
LAColumbus Crew0-2
New York Red BullsWHOrlando City SC3-2
LHCharlotte FC0-2
LAPhiladelphia Union1-3
WASporting Kansas City2-1
DHNew York City FC1-1
Where to watch
Apple TV (DE)
Match facts
Stadium
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
City
Atlanta
Kickoff
15 Aug, 23:30 UTC
Competition
MLS
Highlights & clips
Atlanta United
4-1-4-1 · 4-3-3
New York Red Bulls
1
L. Hoyos
7.5
5
S. Gregersen
6.8
↑ 68'
55
T. Jacob
7.0
6
J. Alonso
7.0
2
R. Hernández
6.8
↑ 80'
16
A. Gill
7.0
59
A. Miranchuk
6.3
7
S. Alzate
6.6
↑ 80'
8
T. Muyumba
8.0
20
L. Brennan
6.5
↑ 86'
19
S. Santos
6.4
↑ 86'
34
E. Horvath
6.4
12
D. Nealis
6.3
2
J. Che
7.1
14
J. Bazán
6.9
3
J. Marshall-Rutty
6.4
↑ 79'
48
R. Donkor
6.5
13
E. M. Choupo-Moting
6.5
↑ 86'
17
C. Harper
6.4
↑ 79'
37
M. Sofo
6.5
↑ 79'
11
J. Ruvalcaba
6.5
↑ 71'
16
J. Hall
6.8
Substitutes
42GJ. Hibbert
3DE. Báez↓ 80'7.0
47DM. Edwards↓ 68'6.3
10MM. Almirón↓ 86'8.5
48MC. Sanchez↓ 80'7.3
23MA. Torres
56MI. Suarez-Couri
22FF. Picault↓ 86'7.2
30FC. Togashi
Coach: Gerardo Martino
Substitutes
77GJ. McCarthy
56DM. D. Santos↓ 79'6.7
5DO. Valencia
26DT. Parker
15MA. Mehmeti↓ 86'7.0
10ME. Forsberg↓ 79'6.9
39MN. Benedetti
7FC. Cowell↓ 79'6.6
91FM. Jiménez↓ 71'6.1
Coach: Michael Bradley
Top stats
40%Possession60%
2.4Expected goals (xG)1.89
10Total shots11
3Shots on target3
5Big chances2
3Corners7
Shots
5Shots off target4
2Blocked shots4
5Shots inside box7
5Shots outside box4
0Hit woodwork0
1Big chances scored1
4Big chances missed1
0.56Goals prevented-0.75
Attack
23Touches in box32
41Final third entries69
4Offsides2
12Free kicks14
1Fouled in final third2
Passing
407Passes611
348Accurate passes538
29/54 (54%)Long balls15/27 (56%)
4/13 (31%)Crosses4/12 (33%)
16Throw-ins15
Duels
56Duels44
42/74 (57%)Ground duels32/74 (43%)
8/16 (50%)Aerial duels8/16 (50%)
20/23 (87%)Dribbles11/17 (65%)
5Dispossessed7
Defending
13Tackles8
46Tackles won100
16Interceptions5
19Clearances18
48Recoveries41
Discipline
14Fouls12
3Yellow cards1
Goalkeeping
2Saves1
2Big saves0
6Goal kicks6
1Punches0
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 68 bookmakers
BTTSBoth teams to score 68% · 1.43 @ betfair
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 66% · 1.46 @ 1xBet
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 84% · 1.14 @ betfair
CornersOver 9.5 corners 52% · 1.77 @ 10bet
CornersOver 8.5 corners 64% · 1.45 @ Betway
1X2Atlanta to win 46% · 2.40 @ merkurxtip
Who winsAtlanta to win (DNB) 60% · 1.68 @ merkurxtip
1X2NY Red Bulls to win 30% · 3.36 @ efbet.net
1X2Draw 24% · 3.10 @ betcity
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 58% · 1.68 @ Pinnacle
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 54% · 1.13 @ 888Sport
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.08
Atlanta United
3.82
Draw
3.12
New York Red Bulls
Double Chanceconsensus
1.35
Atlanta United or Draw ▲
1.24
Atlanta United or New York Red Bulls
1.72
Draw or New York Red Bulls ▼
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.40
Yes
2.82
No
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.01
Over 0.50
17.39
Under 0.50 ▼
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.11
Over 1.50
6.28
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.42
Over 2.50
2.76
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
1.99
Over 3.50
1.76
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
3.35
Over 4.50 ▲
1.31
Under 4.50 ▼
Draw No Betconsensus
1.56
Atlanta United ▲
2.30
New York Red Bulls ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 4.50consensus
1.01
Over 4.50
13.00
Under 4.50
Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus
1.04
Over 5.50
8.70
Under 5.50
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.09
Over 6.50 ▼
5.70
Under 6.50
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.22
Over 7.50 ▼
3.71
Under 7.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.41
Over 8.50 ▼
2.66
Under 8.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.76
Over 9.50
1.87
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.13
Over 10.50 ▼
1.62
Under 10.50
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
Over 1.5 goals
✓
84% confidence
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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