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Robin Fraser
Toronto FC
Charlotte FC
Toronto FC
4-2-3-1 · 4-3-3
Charlotte FC
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Over/Under 2.5 goals
6373 EUR · live
Over
1.07 · implied 93.5%
57.8%
-35.6 vs price
Under
14.0 · implied 7.1%
42.7%
+35.6 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
52 EUR
Under
1.16 · implied 86.2%
98.7%
+12.5 vs price
Over
0.0%
13 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 7 clips
Player of the match
Match events
8'
⚽
R. Aloko · assist A. Westwood0–1
13'
⚽
M. Cimermancic · assist J. Sargent1–1
20'
⚽
I. Toklomati · assist L. Abada1–2
Half-time · 1–2
56'
W. Zimmerman · Professional foul last man
58'
⚽
H. Kessler · assist A. Westwood1–3
60'
🔁
M. Pereira ◂ A. Coello
69'
🔁
A. Saint-Maximin ◂ L. Abada
69'
🔁
T. Smalls ◂ R. Aloko
76'
⚽
D. Sallói · assist T. Corbeanu2–3
79'
🔁
L. D. L. Torre ◂ P. Biel
79'
🔁
A. Goodwin ◂ I. Toklomati
82'
🔁
D. Etienne ◂ M. Cimermancic
83'
🔁
Z. Monlouis ◂ B. Kuscevic
85'
M. Pereira · Argument
Full-time · 3–3
90'
⚽
N. Dorsch · assist D. Etienne3–3
90'+4
🔁
D. Diani ◂ B. Bronico
90'+5
🔁
K. Franklin ◂ N. Dorsch
Coaches
Robin FraserDean Smith 
Recent form
Toronto FCWHNew England Revolution2-1
DANew York City FC1-1
LADC United1-2
DANew England Revolution0-0
DACF Montréal0-0
Charlotte FCWHColumbus Crew3-1
LAChicago Fire1-2
WANew York Red Bulls2-0
DHAtlanta United2-2
WHNew England Revolution1-0
Where to watch
MLS Pass on Apple TV
MLS Pass on Apple TV
MLS Pass on Apple TV
Apple TV (DE)
MLS Pass on Apple TV
MLS Pass on Apple TV
MLS Pass on Apple TV
MLS Pass on Apple TV
MLS Pass on Apple TV
Match facts
Stadium
BMO Field
City
Toronto
Kickoff
19 Aug, 23:30 UTC
Competition
MLS
Highlights & clips
Toronto FC
4-2-3-1 · 4-3-3
Charlotte FC
1
L. Gavran
6.8
22
R. Laryea
6.7
25
W. Zimmerman
5.6
12
Z. Monlouis
6.7
↑ 83'
38
J. Gilman
6.2
3
M. Pereira
7.1
↑ 60'
19
K. Franklin
↑ 90'
7
T. Corbeanu
7.6
11
D. Etienne
6.8
↑ 82'
20
D. Sallói
6.6
9
J. Sargent
6.9
1
K. Kahlina
6.6
35
W. Cleary
6.5
22
H. Kessler
8.1
3
T. Ream
6.7
23
D. Schnegg
6.1
8
A. Westwood
7.2
17
L. D. L. Torre
6.5
↑ 79'
28
D. Diani
6.6
↑ 90'
10
A. Saint-Maximin
7.0
↑ 69'
7
A. Goodwin
6.4
↑ 79'
25
T. Smalls
6.5
↑ 69'
Substitutes
23GW. Yarbrough
13DB. Kuscevic↓ 83'6.8
44DR. Edwards
6MN. Dorsch↓ 90'7.8
71MM. Cimermancic↓ 82'7.5
14MA. Coello↓ 60'6.7
78MM. Henry
99FJ. Vilsaint
17FE. Aristizábal
Coach: Robin Fraser
Substitutes
21GT. Miller
14DN. Byrne
4DA. Privett
44DA. Morrison
16MP. Biel↓ 79'6.4
13MB. Bronico↓ 90'6.0
37FR. Aloko↓ 69'8.2
9FI. Toklomati↓ 79'7.0
11FL. Abada↓ 69'6.1
Coach: Dean Smith
Top stats
46%Possession54%
1.84Expected goals (xG)1.41
16Total shots16
6Shots on target10
1Big chances4
6Corners5
Shots
6Shots off target6
4Blocked shots0
10Shots inside box11
6Shots outside box5
0Hit woodwork1
1Big chances scored2
1Big chances missed2
-1.33Goals prevented-0.78
Attack
19Touches in box26
45Final third entries45
0Offsides2
10Free kicks10
1Fouled in final third1
Passing
430Passes516
378Accurate passes465
25/50 (50%)Long balls16/35 (46%)
3/21 (14%)Crosses9/21 (43%)
12Throw-ins15
Duels
55Duels45
28/50 (56%)Ground duels22/50 (44%)
11/21 (52%)Aerial duels10/21 (48%)
4/7 (57%)Dribbles6/14 (43%)
4Dispossessed7
Defending
15Tackles7
60Tackles won57
14Interceptions6
17Clearances16
42Recoveries42
Discipline
10Fouls10
1Yellow cards0
1Red cards0
Goalkeeping
7Saves3
1Big saves0
7Goal kicks10
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 63 bookmakers
CornersOver 9.5 corners 54%
CornersOver 8.5 corners 65%
BTTSBoth teams to score 60% · 1.59 @ betfair
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 57% · 2.40 @ BetMGM.uk
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 78% · 1.57 @ BetMGM.uk
1X2Draw 26% · 2.81 @ efbet.net
1X2Charlotte to win 32% · 3.30 @ betcity
Who winsToronto to win (DNB) 57% · 1.73 @ merkurxtip
1X2Toronto to win 42% · 2.66 @ efbet.net
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 66% · 1.06 @ Bet365
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 57%
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.27
Toronto FC ▲
3.57
Draw ▲
2.87
Charlotte FC ▲
Double Chanceconsensus
1.39
Toronto FC or Draw ▲
1.28
Toronto FC or Charlotte FC ▲
1.60
Draw or Charlotte FC ▲
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.52
Yes ▼
2.39
No ▲
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.19
Over 1.50 ▲
4.45
Under 1.50 ▲
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.63
Over 2.50 ▲
2.22
Under 2.50 ▼
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.54
Over 3.50 ▼
1.48
Under 3.50 ▲
Draw No Betconsensus
1.67
Toronto FC ▲
2.11
Charlotte FC ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
2.86
Over 11.50
1.35
Under 11.50
Total Corners (O/U) 12.50consensus
3.90
Over 12.50 ▲
1.20
Under 12.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 13.50consensus
5.28
Over 13.50 ▲
1.11
Under 13.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 14.50consensus
8.30
Over 14.50 ▼
1.06
Under 14.50 ▲
European Handicap 2.00consensus
1.11
Toronto FC +2
8.24
Draw +2 ▲
13.43
Charlotte FC -2 ▲
Odd / Even Goalsconsensus
1.83
E ▲
1.90
Over ▲
Total Cards 4.50consensus
1.68
Over 4.50
2.05
Under 4.50
Total Cards 5.50consensus
2.56
Over 5.50 ▲
1.45
Under 5.50 ▼
Total Yellow Cards 4.50consensus
1.96
OVER ▲
1.66
UNDER ▼
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.8%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.8%.
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