New York City FC vs Nashville SC — live & stats

Where the money is

176694 EUR matched · captured 1 week, 4 days ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 84216 EUR · live

Away 2.36 · implied 42.4%

60.6%

+18.2 vs price

Home 3.5 · implied 28.6%

28.6%

-0.0 vs price

Draw 3.5 · implied 28.6%

10.9%

-17.7 vs price

Half time 240 EUR

Draw 2.5 · implied 40.0%

86.3%

+46.2 vs price

Away 3.05 · implied 32.8%

10.4%

-22.4 vs price

Home 3.8 · implied 26.3%

2.9%

-23.4 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 18987 EUR · live

Over 2.18 · implied 45.9%

54.2%

+8.4 vs price

Under 1.8 · implied 55.6%

46.0%

-9.5 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals 1195 EUR

Under 1.17 · implied 85.5%

78.6%

-6.9 vs price

Over 7.0 · implied 14.3%

21.3%

+7.1 vs price

14 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Goal On target Off target Blocked ● size = xG

Tap a player for their full match card.

Highlights 1 clip

Player of the match

Match events

13' A. Najar

Half-time · 0–0

49' P. Yazbek · Foul

53' H. Mukhtar · Foul

66' 🔁 M. Corcoran ◂ P. Yazbek

68' K. O'Toole · Foul

70' 🔁 A. O'Neill ◂ J. Sands

76' 🔁 M. Jones ◂ Luighi

81' 🔁 A. Qasem ◂ E. Saad

81' 🔁 S. Mohammed ◂ C. Espinoza

89' 🔁 D. Lovitz ◂ A. Najar

89' 🔁 B. Acosta ◂ E. Tagseth

Full-time · 0–0

90' M. Jones · Foul

90'⁺² B. Acosta · Foul

Coaches

Pascal Jansen

B.J. Callaghan

Recent form

New York City FC

DAToronto FC1-1

DANew England Revolution1-1

LAFC Cincinnati1-2

LHPhiladelphia Union2-3

DHToronto FC1-1

Nashville SC

WHFC Cincinnati4-0

WHColumbus Crew3-2

WANew York Red Bulls1-0

WHInter Miami CF4-1

DADC United2-2

Where to watch

Apple TV

Match facts

Stadium

Yankee Stadium

City

Bronx

Referee

Rosendo Mendoza

5.04 yellows/match · 48 matches

Kickoff

04 Sep, 23:30 UTC

Competition

MLS

Highlights & clips

New York City FC 4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1 Nashville SC

49 M. Freese 7.7 24 T. Gray 7.1 13 T. Martins 7.0 34 Raul Gustavo 7.0 22 K. O'Toole 6.3 21 A. O'Neill 6.8 ↑ 70' 8 A. Perea 7.1 26 A. Ojeda 6.9 7 N. Fernández 7.6 9 B. Traore 7.3 88 M. Jones 6.3 ↑ 76' 99 B. Schwake 6.8 2 D. Lovitz ↑ 89' 4 J. Palacios 7.6 3 M. Woledzi 7.8 27 R. Baker-Whiting 7.5 16 M. Corcoran 6.9 ↑ 66' 6 B. Acosta ↑ 89' 14 S. Mohammed 6.5 ↑ 81' 10 H. Mukhtar 6.0 37 A. Qasem 6.3 ↑ 81' 9 S. Surridge 6.4

Substitutes

30GT. Romero 35DM. Ilenič 23DM. Murray 2DN. Cavallo 6MJ. Sands↓ 70'6.8 27MC. Flax 32MJ. Shore 20FLuighi↓ 76'6.0 16FA. Martínez

Coach: Pascal Jansen

Substitutes

1GJ. Willis 31DA. Najar↓ 89'7.2 5DJ. Maher 22DJ. Bauer 7MC. Espinoza↓ 81'7.5 8MP. Yazbek↓ 66'6.8 20ME. Tagseth↓ 89'6.6 19MA. Muyl 11FE. Saad↓ 81'6.7

Coach: B.J. Callaghan

Top stats

43%Possession57%

1.03Expected goals (xG)1.6

6Total shots13

1Shots on target2

1Big chances1

3Corners3

Shots

2Shots off target6

3Blocked shots5

5Shots inside box8

1Shots outside box5

0Hit woodwork1

1Big chances missed1

0.34Goals prevented0.18

Attack

19Touches in box34

45Final third entries49

1Offsides4

13Free kicks14

0Fouled in final third3

Passing

347Passes450

275Accurate passes384

17/50 (34%)Long balls21/44 (48%)

2/6 (33%)Crosses9/17 (53%)

15Throw-ins21

Duels

47Duels53

34/67 (51%)Ground duels33/67 (49%)

6/18 (33%)Aerial duels12/18 (67%)

9/13 (69%)Dribbles10/14 (71%)

5Dispossessed9

Defending

13Tackles9

62Tackles won78

3Interceptions7

23Clearances17

41Recoveries43

Discipline

14Fouls13

2Yellow cards4

Goalkeeping

3Saves1

9Goal kicks3

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 26 bookmakers

NY City 34%

27%

Nashville 40%

1X2Nashville to win 40% · 2.80 @ 10bet

BTTSBoth teams to score 57% · 3.00 @ 10bet

GoalsOver 2.5 goals 53% · 4.33 @ 10bet

1X2Draw 27% · 2.65 @ Unibet

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 68% · 1.36 @ betfair

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 76% · 2.05 @ 10bet

CornersUnder 9.5 corners 56% · 1.67 @ 10bet

CornersOver 8.5 corners 56% · 1.75 @ Pinnacle

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 68% · 1.41 @ Pinnacle

Who winsNY City to win (DNB) 54% · 2.25 @ Bet365

1X2NY City to win 34% · 3.00 @ William Hill

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

2.83

New York City FC

3.50

Draw

2.31

Nashville SC

Double Chanceconsensus

1.50

New York City FC or Draw

1.25

New York City FC or Nashville SC

1.40

Draw or Nashville SC

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

1.60

Yes

2.20

No

Home Clean Sheetconsensus

3.55

YES

1.25

NO

Away Clean Sheetconsensus

3.50

YES

1.25

NO

Home Win to Nilconsensus

4.88

YES

Away Win to Nilconsensus

4.42

YES

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.03

Over 0.50

11.00

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.23

Over 1.50

4.00

Under 1.50

Total Goals 2.50consensus

1.77

Over 2.50

2.02

Under 2.50

Total Goals 3.50consensus

2.95

Over 3.50

1.39

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

5.71

Over 4.50

1.13

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

2.23

New York City FC

1.61

Nashville SC

Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus

1.40

Over 7.50

2.71

Under 7.50

Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus

1.71

Over 8.50

2.04

Under 8.50

Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus

2.14

Over 9.50

1.64

Under 9.50

Full odds via API →

No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.8%.

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

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